Kastela vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 73-68

20-15 20-19 16-19 17-15

Position#10

Record4-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game93.4

Kastela 🏆

Alkar

Position#12

Record7-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game76.0

Premijer ligaRound 11

Other2014-15

Meetings · Kastela v Alkar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

56-93

-37

H08/01

Croatian Cup

GKK Sibenik

102-86

102

+16

A04/10

Premijer liga

Zagreb

101-90

101

+11

H11/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

110-116 OT

110

116

-6

A18/10

Premijer liga

Split

85-83

H29/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

75-85

-10

A08/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

96-85

+11

H15/11

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

77-109

109

-32

A22/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

88-97

-9

H29/11

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

88-90

-2

A06/12

Premijer liga

17-23

10-31

20-20

9-19

31-23

25-23

20-24

26-16

18-24

22-20

20-16

41-30

27-34

28-32

31-16

13-17

15-27

24-21

25-26

21-9

14-23

19-19

27-27

15-16

31-22

26-20

24-21

15-22

10-34

22-25

23-23

22-27

26-28

23-20

23-23

16-26

19-25

20-19

15-17

34-29

181.2Avg total

87.8Scored

93.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	91.3	93.4	184.8	-2.1	44%
Season at home (4)	92.5	88.8	181.2	+3.8	75%
Season away (5)	90.4	97.2	187.6	-6.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	93.4	181.2	-5.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	93.2	178.0	-8.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	94.4	88.2	182.6	+6.2	80%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	87.3	103.3	190.7	-16.0	0%
vs Weaker (1)	88.0	90.0	178.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

61-73

-12

A21/05

Premijer liga

Split

72-62

+10

H04/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

81-64

+17

A11/10

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

69-59

+10

H18/10

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

67-87

-20

A26/10

Premijer liga

Kvarner

92-78

+14

H31/10

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

86-65

+21

A08/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

83-89

-6

H22/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

89-87

A01/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

96-93

H06/12

Premijer liga

10-17

17-21

15-16

19-19

13-10

18-16

24-15

17-21

18-17

23-14

17-14

23-19

18-13

20-21

16-13

15-12

20-25

18-24

11-20

18-18

15-16

21-19

27-22

29-21

30-20

24-17

14-12

18-16

23-22

24-20

15-23

21-24

21-13

24-17

21-31

23-26

19-18

26-34

33-24

18-17

155.3Avg total

79.6Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.7	76.0	157.7	+5.7	78%
Season at home (5)	82.4	76.2	158.6	+6.2	80%
Season away (4)	80.8	75.8	156.5	+5.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	75.7	155.3	+3.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	82.4	171.6	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.2	81.3	155.6	-7.1	42%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	77.3	76.8	154.1	+0.5	56%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	66.5	152.5	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KastelaAlkar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	20.8	26.3	47.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.4	24.8	46.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (5)	20.2	27.8	48.0	-7.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	26.3	47.1	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.4	46.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.2	24.8	49.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.0	30.3	47.3	-13.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.9	38.0	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.2	19.3	37.6	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	19%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	20.5	47.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	21.9	23.0	44.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (5)	22.8	23.6	46.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	23.0	44.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	20.8	44.8	+3.2	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	23.0	25.3	48.3	-2.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.8	40.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.9	19.8	41.6	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	13.0	34.5	+8.5	100%	-

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zadar

27-54

-27

H08/01

Croatian Cup

GKK Sibenik

56-46

+10

A04/10

Premijer liga

Zagreb

40-44

-4

H11/10

Premijer liga

Zabok

55-66

-11

A18/10

Premijer liga

Split

39-48

-9

H29/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

33-42

-9

A08/11

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

57-42

+15

H15/11

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

32-59

-27

A22/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

49-48

H29/11

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

39-44

-5

A06/12

Premijer liga

92.0Avg total

42.7Scored

49.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	42.7	49.3	92.0	-6.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	42.4	47.2	89.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (5)	43.0	51.4	94.4	-8.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	49.3	92.0	-6.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	47.0	89.0	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	48.2	45.6	93.8	+2.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	40.0	55.7	95.7	-15.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kvarner

27-38

-11

A21/05

Premijer liga

Split

31-26

H04/10

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

41-31

+10

A11/10

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

38-34

H18/10

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

38-49

-11

A26/10

Premijer liga

Kvarner

36-35

H31/10

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

54-37

+17

A08/11

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

47-42

H22/11

Premijer liga

Zagreb

45-30

+15

A01/12

Premijer liga

Zabok

45-52

-7

H06/12

Premijer liga

77.6Avg total

40.2Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.7	78.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	39.8	79.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	39.6	77.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.4	77.6	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.2	84.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-3.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.7	40.1	78.8	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.0	33.5	81.5	+14.5	100%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (5)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.8	20.8	38.5	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (5)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.8	20.6	44.4	+3.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.7	20.0	36.7	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	29.0	63.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	15.0	33.5	+3.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (5)	45.2	42.4	87.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	46.2	89.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.2	42.6	88.8	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	43.7	42.0	85.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	46.0	95.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.9	75.5	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	37.2	76.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	38.7	74.4	-2.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	38.3	77.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.2	87.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.1	41.1	78.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.9	36.2	74.1	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	33.0	71.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kastela wins

Alkar wins

No previous meetings.

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/14	A	Slavonski Brod	88-90
29/11/14	H	Kvarner	88-97
22/11/14	A	Gorica	77-109
15/11/14	H	Jolly Sibenik	96-85
08/11/14	A	Osijek	75-85
29/10/14	H	Split	85-83
18/10/14	A	Zabok	110-116 OT
11/10/14	H	Zagreb	101-90
04/10/14	A	GKK Sibenik	102-86
08/01/14	H	Zadar	56-93

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/14	H	Zabok	96-93
01/12/14	A	Zagreb	89-87
22/11/14	H	GKK Sibenik	83-89
08/11/14	A	Slavonski Brod	86-65
31/10/14	H	Kvarner	92-78
26/10/14	A	Gorica	67-87
18/10/14	H	Jolly Sibenik	69-59
11/10/14	A	Osijek	81-64
04/10/14	H	Split	72-62
21/05/14	A	Kvarner	61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	44%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	75%	20%
Points / game	91.3	92.5	90.4
Allowed / game	93.4	88.8	97.2
Point differential	-2.1	+3.8	-6.8
Avg total	184.8	181.2	187.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Alkar

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	78%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	78%	80%	75%
Points / game	81.7	82.4	80.8
Allowed / game	76.0	76.2	75.8
Point differential	+5.7	+6.2	+5.0
Avg total	157.7	158.6	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	60%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alkar	9	7	2	78%	81.7	76.0	+5.7
2	Kvarner	9	7	2	78%	85.8	80.4	+5.3
3	GKK Sibenik	9	6	3	67%	83.0	79.6	+3.4
4	Zagreb	10	6	4	60%	88.8	79.3	+9.5
5	Gorica	10	5	5	50%	81.8	80.5	+1.3
6	Kastela	9	4	5	44%	91.3	93.4	-2.1
7	Zabok	9	4	5	44%	78.6	83.3	-4.8
8	Jolly Sibenik	10	4	6	40%	77.8	80.1	-2.3
9	Split	9	3	6	33%	74.1	75.1	-1.0
10	Osijek	9	3	6	33%	73.0	79.0	-6.0
11	Slavonski Brod	9	2	7	22%	69.9	79.9	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kastela	20	20	16	17	73
Alkar	15	19	19	15	68

← all games of the day

Kastela vs Alkar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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