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Kastela vs Novi Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-62
25-11 28-20 19-18 27-13
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game68.8
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Novi Zagreb
Croatia
Position#11
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game73.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Novi Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
77avg 79
H18/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
75-45
75
45
+30
75avg 79
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-65
96
65
+31
98avg 79
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 79
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 79
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 79
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 79
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 79
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
55avg 79
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 79
A20/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
19-20
14-21
17-12
14-19
13-9
27-7
21-10
26-17
28-16
24-17
18-15
26-18
22-17
17-19
30-16
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
19-22
28-20
15-16
11-22
21-16
26-20
26-20
19-16
17-22
17-17
22-20
13-19
10-20
23-12
17-20
15-18
150.4Avg total
82.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.268.8152.0+14.473%
Season at home (5)77.672.0149.6+5.660%
Season away (6)87.866.2154.0+21.783%
Last 10 (10)82.667.8150.4+14.870%
Last 5 (5)82.072.2154.2+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)78.080.7158.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.573.2157.7+11.269%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
95avg 65
H19/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
89-51
89
51
+38
86avg 65
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
65avg 65
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
54-61
54
61
-7
44avg 65
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
69avg 65
H16/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 65
A23/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 65
A06/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 65
H13/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
55avg 65
H16/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
47avg 65
A20/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
13-17
27-21
26-22
23-15
19-12
18-16
29-8
21-9
11-19
17-21
13-13
12-16
17-20
14-10
11-15
23-17
14-25
19-19
16-19
15-25
21-20
20-7
20-21
14-25
23-24
16-19
17-14
23-15
18-25
16-17
11-17
16-18
16-16
18-18
16-24
8-27
13-18
20-28
15-23
144.9Avg total
71.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.873.6145.5-1.836%
Season at home (5)74.074.2148.2-0.240%
Season away (6)70.073.2143.2-3.233%
Last 10 (10)71.573.4144.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)67.280.2147.4-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.082.0147.0-17.00%
vs Similar (4)68.569.8138.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (3)85.367.7153.0+17.767%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
KastelaNovi Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/12
Prva Liga
77.2Avg total
43.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.179.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.238.382.5+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)39.937.977.8+2.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.034.277.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.677.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.046.383.3-9.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.237.180.2+6.165%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H16/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A20/12
Prva Liga
72.5Avg total
34.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)34.938.773.6-3.836%-
Last 30 at home (5)36.235.471.6+0.860%-
Last 30 away (6)33.841.575.3-7.717%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.972.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.676.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.842.074.8-9.225%-
vs Similar (4)33.537.871.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.3
55.4%
53.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.7
35.0%
32.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws15.412.2
79.2%
71.6%12.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.5
48.6%
53.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.3
30.7%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.012.2
67.8%
71.6%12.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LLWLWWWWWW
Novi Zagreb
LLLLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#11
+20.0
Net rating
-1.7
111.4
Offensive rating
94.3
91.4
Defensive rating
96.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
23.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
30.7%
64.5%
Assist %
68.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 94.3Defence91.4 · 96.0Shooting53.9% · 47.3%3-point %35.0% · 30.7%Ball care17.6% · 23.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kastela   ■ Novi Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kastela wins
0
Novi Zagreb wins
No previous meetings.
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AKK Zagreb65-70
13/12/25HSkrljevo69-78
06/12/25ACrikvenica92-72
29/11/25HMladost73-80
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
09/11/25AAmfora95-70
02/11/25HJazine96-65
26/10/25ASonik Puntamika75-45
18/10/25HMarsonia77-72
Novi Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ASkrljevo56-96
16/12/25HJazine66-76
13/12/25HMladost68-74
06/12/25AOmis70-82
23/11/25AMarsonia76-73
16/11/25HDakovo72-80
08/11/25AKK Zagreb54-61
02/11/25HCrikvenica72-65 OT
26/10/25AOsijek89-51
19/10/25HAmfora92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL73%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game83.277.687.8
Allowed / game68.872.066.2
Point differential+14.4+5.6+21.7
Avg total152.0149.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%20%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game71.874.070.0
Allowed / game73.674.273.2
Point differential-1.8-0.2-3.2
Avg total145.5148.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo119282%93.374.0+19.3
2 Mladost119282%80.170.5+9.6
3 Kastela118373%83.268.8+14.4
4 KK Zagreb118373%76.275.2+1.0
5 Gorica116555%81.375.9+5.4
6 Dakovo116555%82.477.7+4.6
7 Omis116555%80.275.8+4.4
8 Jazine116555%75.378.3-3.0
9 Crikvenica115645%75.776.5-0.7
10 Marsonia114736%75.775.6+0.1
11 Novi Zagreb114736%71.873.6-1.8
12 Sonik Puntamika113827%69.075.2-6.2
13 Amfora113827%77.588.4-10.9
14 Osijek110110%65.2101.3-36.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2528192799
Novi Zagreb1120181362
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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