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Kastela vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-80
19-22 28-20 15-16 11-22
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game67.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v Mladost
23 Apr 2026
KAST64
MLAD58
29 Nov 2025
KAST73
MLAD80
27 Apr 2025
KAST89
MLAD62
16 Apr 2025
KAST87
MLAD66
10 Feb 2024
KAST84
MLAD66
04 Feb 2023
KAST70
MLAD57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
60avg 85
A24/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 85
H27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
67-71
67
71
-4
64avg 85
A30/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
90avg 85
A11/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-72
77
72
+5
77avg 85
H18/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
75-45
75
45
+30
75avg 85
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-65
96
65
+31
98avg 85
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 85
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 85
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 85
A22/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
9-12
24-26
13-16
24-27
23-12
22-12
20-11
18-14
14-27
16-10
19-20
23-24
12-16
30-19
24-20
27-19
19-20
14-21
17-12
14-19
13-9
27-7
21-10
26-17
28-16
24-17
18-15
26-18
22-17
17-19
30-16
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
149.8Avg total
83.6Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.065.3153.3+22.7100%
Season at home (3)82.067.3149.3+14.7100%
Season away (4)92.563.8156.2+28.8100%
Last 10 (10)83.666.2149.8+17.480%
Last 5 (5)90.061.2151.2+28.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)89.078.7167.7+10.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)87.572.9160.4+14.773%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Samobor
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
55avg 73
H10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
95-105
95
105
-10
79avg 73
A14/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
84-94
84
94
-10
76avg 73
H17/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#14
W
93-56
93
56
+37
88avg 73
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
79-59
79
59
+20
74avg 73
H19/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
67-72 OT
67
72
-5
57avg 73
A25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 73
H31/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
72-67
72
67
+5
68avg 73
A09/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
80-57
80
57
+23
73avg 73
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 73
A22/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-32
19-20
17-14
20-20
28-34
15-23
27-23
25-25
20-26
21-25
27-20
16-23
30-23
19-10
22-15
22-8
21-19
24-12
23-8
11-20
15-17
10-12
13-16
24-17
26-11
24-18
25-17
14-35
13-16
14-15
24-13
21-23
23-15
15-13
20-23
22-6
21-24
23-19
15-19
17-18
156.6Avg total
80.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.467.4146.9+12.071%
Season at home (3)82.765.7148.3+17.0100%
Season away (4)77.068.8145.8+8.250%
Last 10 (10)80.975.7156.6+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.871.4148.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.087.5166.5-8.536%
vs Similar (6)78.070.5148.5+7.567%
vs Weaker (13)82.070.2152.2+11.877%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
KastelaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A24/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A26/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
75.3Avg total
41.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.880.7+5.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.037.283.2+8.873%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.478.3+1.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.034.375.3+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.630.875.4+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (3)40.047.087.0-7.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.236.780.8+7.562%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#1
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A14/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H17/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H31/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A09/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
Prva Liga
78.3Avg total
39.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.480.2-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.581.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.840.379.1-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.478.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.068.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.947.888.7-6.918%-
vs Similar (6)38.338.276.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (13)39.535.274.6+4.354%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.9
58.1%
53.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.1
37.8%
32.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws15.510.6
68.4%
71.6%10.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.0
53.4%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.8%
32.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.912.7
63.8%
71.6%12.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWWWWWLWL
Mladost
LWWWLWWLLL
#2
League position
#3
+22.8
Net rating
+7.2
111.4
Offensive rating
107.8
88.6
Defensive rating
100.6
57.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.8%
3-point %
32.8%
76.0%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 107.8Defence88.6 · 100.6Shooting57.4% · 51.7%3-point %37.8% · 32.8%Ball care19.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 35.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Kastela   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kastela wins
3
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
30/04/25Mladost v Kastela71-67
27/04/25Kastela v Mladost89-62
24/04/25Mladost v Kastela72-64
16/04/25Kastela v Mladost87-66
19/01/25Mladost v Kastela94-93
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
06/11/22Mladost v Kastela75-83
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
09/11/25AAmfora95-70
02/11/25HJazine96-65
26/10/25ASonik Puntamika75-45
18/10/25HMarsonia77-72
11/10/25AGorica89-79
30/04/25AMladost67-71
27/04/25HMladost89-62
24/04/25AMladost64-72
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AOmis76-80
16/11/25HJazine80-57
09/11/25AMarsonia72-67
31/10/25HDakovo89-81
25/10/25AKK Zagreb67-72 OT
19/10/25HCrikvenica79-59
11/10/25AOsijek93-56
17/05/25HDubrovnik84-94
14/05/25ADubrovnik95-105
10/05/25HSamobor74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.082.092.5
Allowed / game65.367.363.8
Point differential+22.7+14.7+28.8
Avg total153.3149.3156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game79.482.777.0
Allowed / game67.465.768.8
Point differential+12.0+17.0+8.2
Avg total146.9148.3145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kastela770100%88.065.3+22.7
2 Skrljevo76186%96.773.9+22.9
3 Gorica75271%86.073.3+12.7
4 Mladost75271%79.467.4+12.0
5 Novi Zagreb74357%75.768.9+6.9
6 Dakovo74357%84.381.3+3.0
7 KK Zagreb74357%68.673.0-4.4
8 Amfora63350%83.389.2-5.8
9 Omis73443%80.378.6+1.7
10 Crikvenica73443%75.076.3-1.3
11 Jazine73443%73.781.3-7.6
12 Sonik Puntamika72529%69.474.9-5.4
13 Marsonia7070%66.680.3-13.7
14 Osijek8080%60.098.9-38.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela1928151173
Mladost2220162280
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