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Novi Zagreb vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-74
23-15 18-25 16-17 11-17
Position#11
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game71.1
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 10· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Novi Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 69
A12/10
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
95avg 69
H19/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
89-51
89
51
+38
86avg 69
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
65avg 69
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
54-61
54
61
-7
44avg 69
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
69avg 69
H16/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 69
A23/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 69
A06/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
14-21
18-19
19-10
26-16
13-17
27-21
26-22
23-15
19-12
18-16
29-8
21-9
11-19
17-21
13-13
12-16
17-20
14-10
11-15
23-17
14-25
19-19
16-19
15-25
21-20
20-7
20-21
14-25
23-24
16-19
17-14
145.5Avg total
75.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.070.5145.5+4.550%
Season at home (3)78.773.7152.3+5.067%
Season away (5)72.868.6141.4+4.240%
Last 10 (8)75.070.5145.5+4.550%
Last 5 (5)68.872.2141.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)70.082.0152.0-12.00%
vs Similar (4)68.569.8138.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (3)85.367.7153.0+17.767%
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
L
84-94
84
94
-10
76avg 74
H17/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#14
W
93-56
93
56
+37
88avg 74
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
79-59
79
59
+20
74avg 74
H19/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
67-72 OT
67
72
-5
57avg 74
A25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 74
H31/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
72-67
72
67
+5
68avg 74
A09/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
80-57
80
57
+23
73avg 74
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 74
A22/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
82avg 74
A29/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
89avg 74
H06/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-25
27-20
16-23
30-23
19-10
22-15
22-8
21-19
24-12
23-8
11-20
15-17
10-12
13-16
24-17
26-11
24-18
25-17
14-35
13-16
14-15
24-13
21-23
23-15
15-13
20-23
22-6
21-24
23-19
15-19
17-18
22-19
20-28
16-15
22-11
26-24
23-14
27-27
12-23
155.2Avg total
81.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.671.1152.7+10.478%
Season at home (4)86.573.0159.5+13.5100%
Season away (5)77.669.6147.2+8.060%
Last 10 (10)81.873.4155.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)81.274.4155.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.586.9167.5-6.446%
vs Similar (5)80.468.8149.2+11.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.469.4150.8+12.075%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Novi ZagrebMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/10
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/12
Prva Liga
74.6Avg total
36.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)36.238.474.6-2.138%-
Last 30 at home (3)36.034.370.3+1.767%-
Last 30 away (5)36.440.877.2-4.420%-
Last 10 (8)36.238.474.6-2.138%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.074.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)33.537.871.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#11
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H17/05
Premijer liga
Osijek
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A11/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H31/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A09/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/12
Prva Liga
77.0Avg total
41.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.780.8-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.140.581.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.240.880.1-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.077.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.647.088.6-5.423%-
vs Similar (5)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.834.973.8+3.950%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.9
47.0%
53.0%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.4
33.3%
32.7%28.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.1
69.3%
71.6%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.1
54.9%
53.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.013.1
65.5%
71.6%13.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Novi Zagreb
LWLLWWWL
Mladost
WWLWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#3
+5.6
Net rating
+11.5
98.3
Offensive rating
107.8
92.7
Defensive rating
96.3
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
21.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.3%
3-point %
32.5%
67.8%
Assist %
65.2%
50%
Form (last 8/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 107.8Defence92.7 · 96.3Shooting48.4% · 52.4%3-point %33.3% · 32.5%Ball care21.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 8/10)50% · 70%
■ Novi Zagreb   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Novi Zagreb wins
0
Mladost wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AOmis70-82
23/11/25AMarsonia76-73
16/11/25HDakovo72-80
08/11/25AKK Zagreb54-61
02/11/25HCrikvenica72-65 OT
26/10/25AOsijek89-51
19/10/25HAmfora92-76
12/10/25ASonik Puntamika75-76
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HSkrljevo98-95 OT
29/11/25AKastela80-73
22/11/25AOmis76-80
16/11/25HJazine80-57
09/11/25AMarsonia72-67
31/10/25HDakovo89-81
25/10/25AKK Zagreb67-72 OT
19/10/25HCrikvenica79-59
11/10/25AOsijek93-56
17/05/25HDubrovnik84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.078.772.8
Allowed / game70.573.768.6
Point differential+4.5+5.0+4.2
Avg total145.5152.3141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game81.686.577.6
Allowed / game71.173.069.6
Point differential+10.4+13.5+8.0
Avg total152.7159.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo108280%93.075.8+17.2
2 Kastela108280%85.068.7+16.3
3 Mladost97278%81.671.1+10.4
4 Gorica96367%83.775.1+8.6
5 KK Zagreb96367%75.977.3-1.4
6 Dakovo95456%82.378.2+4.1
7 Novi Zagreb84450%75.070.5+4.5
8 Omis94544%79.877.8+2.0
9 Crikvenica83538%74.678.2-3.6
10 Jazine83538%74.281.4-7.1
11 Amfora83538%82.489.6-7.2
12 Sonik Puntamika93633%69.474.8-5.3
13 Marsonia92722%70.477.9-7.4
14 Osijek9090%63.699.7-36.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Novi Zagreb2318161168
Mladost1525171774
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