Kataja vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 79-76

15-19 21-22 15-16 28-19

Position#1

Record34-12

FormLWWWW

Points / game92.2

Allowed / game81.8

Kataja 🏆

ToPo Helsinki

Position#8

Record20-26

FormWLLLL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game78.5

KorisliigaKorisliiga - Quarter-finals

Other2008-09

Meetings · Kataja v ToPo Helsinki

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ToPo Helsinki winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

91-67

+24

H17/03

Korisliiga

Forssan Koripojat

101-84

101

+17

H21/03

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

103-78

103

+25

A25/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

79-89

-10

H01/04

Korisliiga

Honka

63-94

-31

A04/04

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

85-89

-4

H08/04

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

#10

105-85

105

+20

A11/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

101-70

101

+31

H13/04

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

84-66

+18

H18/04

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

96-64

+32

A20/04

Korisliiga

23-16

20-15

26-21

22-15

24-22

25-21

29-21

23-20

22-14

28-21

22-23

31-20

20-22

15-29

23-16

21-22

11-26

12-19

18-26

22-23

15-15

21-23

21-24

28-27

29-20

18-27

27-20

31-18

19-12

27-16

26-14

29-28

30-10

19-18

18-23

17-15

24-22

21-10

15-15

36-17

169.4Avg total

90.8Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (46)	92.2	81.8	174.0	+10.4	74%
Season at home (23)	90.8	79.5	170.3	+11.3	78%
Season away (23)	93.7	84.1	177.8	+9.6	70%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	78.6	169.4	+12.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	74.8	169.0	+19.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	82.2	82.3	164.5	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	99.8	81.3	181.1	+18.5	83%

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToPo Helsinki Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

79-63

+16

A18/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

62-72

-10

H21/03

Korisliiga

Honka

77-82

-5

A25/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

70-64

H01/04

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

#10

71-61

+10

A03/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

91-85 OT

H08/04

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

59-83

-24

A11/04

Korisliiga

Karkkila

#11

66-75

-9

H13/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

66-84

-18

A18/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

64-96

-32

H20/04

Korisliiga

23-14

17-19

20-18

19-12

14-22

20-18

15-17

13-15

28-24

14-19

13-20

22-19

17-14

8-24

28-12

12-17

18-10

21-26

20-8

23-19

13-23

18-17

21-16

11-22

18-23

11-22

19-16

23-18

14-18

14-22

15-17

10-30

18-19

23-18

15-17

22-24

10-21

15-15

17-36

147.0Avg total

70.5Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (46)	73.0	78.5	151.5	-5.5	43%
Season at home (23)	73.3	75.7	148.9	-2.4	61%
Season away (23)	72.7	81.3	154.1	-8.6	26%
Last 10 (10)	70.5	76.5	147.0	-6.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	84.6	153.8	-15.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	71.5	80.7	152.1	-9.2	35%
vs Similar (8)	78.6	72.8	151.4	+5.9	62%
vs Weaker (2)	78.0	64.5	142.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KatajaToPo Helsinki

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.6	42.4	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	15.8	39.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.1	37.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.1	37.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.1	38.3	-1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.1	19.8	43.9	+4.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	20.7	15.8	36.5	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	18.4	34.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.8	35.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.7	20.3	37.0	-3.6	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	15.2	33.1	+2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	50%	-

KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

43-31

+12

H17/03

Korisliiga

Forssan Koripojat

49-43

H21/03

Korisliiga

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

50-35

+15

A25/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

35-51

-16

H01/04

Korisliiga

Honka

23-45

-22

A04/04

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

36-38

-2

H08/04

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

#10

47-47

A11/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

46-28

+18

H13/04

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

49-28

+21

H18/04

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

45-32

+13

A20/04

Korisliiga

80.1Avg total

42.3Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	39.5	85.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	37.9	82.0	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.9	40.9	87.8	+6.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	37.8	80.1	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	34.6	79.2	+10.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	40.0	36.5	76.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	47.0	40.2	87.2	+6.7	75%	-

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Porvoon Tarmo

#12

40-33

A18/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

34-40

-6

H21/03

Korisliiga

Honka

42-43

-1

A25/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

34-28

H01/04

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

#10

30-27

A03/04

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

36-42

-6

H08/04

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

29-45

-16

A11/04

Korisliiga

Karkkila

#11

37-36

H13/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

28-49

-21

A18/04

Korisliiga

Kataja

32-45

-13

H20/04

Korisliiga

73.0Avg total

34.2Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	35.5	72.6	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	40.0	74.9	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	38.8	73.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	43.4	75.8	-11.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.6	40.1	74.8	-5.5	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	32.8	71.0	+5.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	33.5	74.5	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	19.9	44.1	+4.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	19.9	45.0	+5.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.5	19.9	43.4	+3.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	25.4	19.0	44.4	+6.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	19.7	36.9	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.9	35.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.0	20.4	36.4	-4.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.5	22.1	48.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	21.6	46.5	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	27.8	22.6	50.4	+5.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	20.5	46.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	21.0	49.2	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	27.5	22.0	49.5	+5.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.7	36.4	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.1	19.4	37.6	-1.3	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	15.0	30.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.7	42.0	92.7	+8.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.0	41.5	91.5	+8.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	51.3	42.4	93.8	+8.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.5	40.8	89.3	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	40.2	89.8	+9.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	42.2	45.8	88.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	52.8	41.0	93.9	+11.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	38.3	74.0	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.0	39.3	73.3	-5.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	37.3	74.7	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	36.7	71.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	39.2	72.8	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.2	39.6	74.8	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	31.0	68.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kataja wins

ToPo Helsinki wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/09	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	64-96
18/04/09	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	84-66
15/03/09	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	74-116
24/01/09	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	69-103
27/11/08	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	81-77
13/10/08	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	88-85

Katajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/09	A	ToPo Helsinki	96-64
18/04/09	H	ToPo Helsinki	84-66
13/04/09	H	Namika Lahti	101-70
11/04/09	A	Lappeenranta	105-85
08/04/09	H	Kouvot Kouvola	85-89
04/04/09	A	Honka	63-94
01/04/09	H	Pyrinto Tampere	79-89
25/03/09	A	Porvoon Tarmo	103-78
21/03/09	H	Forssan Koripojat	101-84
17/03/09	H	KTP Kotka Basket	91-67

ToPo Helsinkilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/09	H	Kataja	64-96
18/04/09	A	Kataja	66-84
13/04/09	H	Karkkila	66-75
11/04/09	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	59-83
08/04/09	H	Namika Lahti	91-85 OT
03/04/09	A	Lappeenranta	71-61
01/04/09	H	Kouvot Kouvola	70-64
25/03/09	A	Honka	77-82
21/03/09	H	Pyrinto Tampere	62-72
18/03/09	A	Porvoon Tarmo	79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja

Korisliiga 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	74%
Home	WLLWW	78%
Away	WWLWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	46	23	23
Win %	74%	78%	70%
Points / game	92.2	90.8	93.7
Allowed / game	81.8	79.5	84.1
Point differential	+10.4	+11.3	+9.6
Avg total	174.0	170.3	177.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	52%	48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	60% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

ToPo Helsinki

Korisliiga 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	43%
Home	LWWLL	61%
Away	WLWLL	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	46	23	23
Win %	43%	61%	26%
Points / game	73.0	73.3	72.7
Allowed / game	78.5	75.7	81.3
Point differential	-5.5	-2.4	-8.6
Avg total	151.5	148.9	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	13%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (14)	78% (9)	20% (5)
Overtime %	9%	13%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kataja	46	34	12	74%	92.2	81.8	+10.4
2	Honka	46	30	16	65%	77.7	70.8	+6.9
3	Kouvot Kouvola	46	29	17	63%	79.9	74.2	+5.6
4	Namika Lahti	46	28	18	61%	81.2	77.7	+3.5
5	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	46	28	18	61%	79.1	76.3	+2.9
6	Pyrinto Tampere	46	24	22	52%	83.8	82.1	+1.7
7	KTP Kotka Basket	46	23	23	50%	78.3	78.2	+0.0
8	ToPo Helsinki	46	20	26	43%	73.0	78.5	-5.5
9	Forssan Koripojat	44	18	26	41%	80.2	82.8	-2.6
10	Lappeenranta	44	18	26	41%	79.6	83.5	-3.8
11	Karkkila	44	13	31	30%	74.3	82.8	-8.5
12	Porvoon Tarmo	44	7	37	16%	73.9	85.6	-11.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kataja	15	21	15	28	79
ToPo Helsinki	19	22	16	19	76

← all games of the day

Kataja vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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