Kataja vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 77-76

21-23 22-19 16-11 18-23

Position#1

Record34-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game73.8

Kataja 🏆

ToPo Helsinki

Position#5

Record24-20

FormLWWLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game79.9

KorisliigaKorisliiga - Semi-finals

Other2011-12

Meetings · Kataja v ToPo Helsinki

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ToPo Helsinki winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kataja

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

87-105

105

-18

A09/03

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

96-75

+21

A14/03

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

80-78

H17/03

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

96-83

+13

A21/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

67-64

H26/03

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

70-90

-20

A30/03

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

105-85

105

+20

H01/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

90-59

+31

H10/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

75-63

+12

A12/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

85-68

+17

H14/04

Korisliiga

19-21

14-28

33-32

21-24

24-17

35-12

18-23

19-23

22-22

23-16

20-18

15-22

25-18

18-23

31-26

22-16

17-10

21-22

12-18

17-14

19-23

17-20

13-29

21-18

29-16

24-22

26-23

26-24

22-16

28-14

15-12

25-17

14-10

17-25

25-15

19-13

24-13

22-18

22-19

17-18

162.1Avg total

85.1Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	83.4	73.8	157.2	+9.6	79%
Season at home (22)	87.2	72.3	159.5	+14.9	95%
Season away (21)	79.4	75.4	154.9	+4.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	77.0	162.1	+8.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	73.0	158.0	+12.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	79.7	72.8	152.5	+6.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	84.4	75.5	159.9	+9.0	83%

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToPo Helsinki Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Namika Lahti

#11

101-87

101

+14

A16/03

Korisliiga

Kataja

83-96

-13

H21/03

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

67-84

-17

A24/03

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

79-72

A28/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

86-89

-3

H30/03

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

91-98

-7

H04/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

100-72

100

+28

A10/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

78-59

+19

H12/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

57-85

-28

A14/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

82-72

+10

H16/04

Korisliiga

30-20

23-25

30-20

18-22

18-25

23-18

26-31

16-22

17-16

19-22

16-17

15-29

13-18

19-11

28-18

19-25

26-19

19-25

22-21

19-24

23-23

24-31

18-22

26-22

24-16

18-19

29-26

29-11

31-16

22-18

14-17

11-8

8-21

24-24

10-22

15-18

26-19

18-17

22-18

16-18

163.8Avg total

82.4Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	83.0	79.9	162.9	+3.2	55%
Season at home (22)	85.5	81.2	166.7	+4.3	59%
Season away (22)	80.6	78.5	159.1	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	81.4	163.8	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	77.2	158.8	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	78.7	88.0	166.7	-9.3	0%
vs Similar (12)	79.6	81.5	161.1	-1.9	50%
vs Weaker (15)	85.9	82.1	168.1	+3.8	67%

This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KatajaToPo Helsinki

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	17.1	41.2	+6.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	16.6	38.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.6	37.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.5	16.9	38.4	+4.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.9	43.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	24.7	42.3	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	19.2	41.6	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.7	41.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	21.3	40.6	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	67%	-

KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

33-49

-16

A09/03

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

59-29

+30

A14/03

Korisliiga

LoKoKo

45-38

H17/03

Korisliiga

ToPo Helsinki

43-41

A21/03

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

38-32

H26/03

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

36-43

-7

A30/03

Korisliiga

Namika Lahti

#11

53-38

+15

H01/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

50-30

+20

H10/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

31-35

-4

A12/04

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

46-31

+15

H14/04

Korisliiga

80.0Avg total

43.4Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	36.4	78.5	+5.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	36.4	82.8	+10.0	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	36.5	73.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	36.6	80.0	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	35.4	78.6	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	42.7	37.8	80.5	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	41.9	36.1	78.0	+5.8	71%	-

This opponent (ToPo Helsinki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToPo HelsinkiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Namika Lahti

#11

53-45

A16/03

Korisliiga

Kataja

41-43

-2

H21/03

Korisliiga

Lappeenranta

36-38

-2

A24/03

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

32-29

A28/03

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

45-44

H30/03

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#10

47-54

-7

H04/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

42-35

A10/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

53-34

+19

H12/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

32-45

-13

A14/04

Korisliiga

Kauhajoen Karhu

44-36

H16/04

Korisliiga

82.8Avg total

42.5Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	41.1	84.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	42.5	86.9	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	40.3	82.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.8	84.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	38.0	41.3	79.3	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.9	42.3	85.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.6	40.1	84.7	+4.5	67%	-

This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.4	40.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.8	39.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.5	40.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.9	40.7	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.4	34.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	21.5	41.5	-1.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	38.7	79.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	40.4	82.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	37.6	79.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	41.7	38.7	80.4	+3.0	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.9	80.0	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	39.9	78.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	41.9	81.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.1	81.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.4	74.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	40.7	46.7	87.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.7	39.2	75.8	-2.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.7	41.1	81.9	-0.4	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kataja wins

ToPo Helsinki wins

Date	Game	Score
21/03/12	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	83-96
01/02/12	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	96-91
07/12/11	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	62-72
23/11/11	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	74-57
19/02/11	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	87-85
07/01/11	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	90-92
17/11/10	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	95-72
29/09/10	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	97-65
22/03/10	ToPo Helsinki v Kataja	99-91
07/02/10	Kataja v ToPo Helsinki	99-105

Katajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/12	H	Salon Vilpas	85-68
12/04/12	A	Salon Vilpas	75-63
10/04/12	H	Salon Vilpas	90-59
01/04/12	H	Namika Lahti	105-85
30/03/12	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	70-90
26/03/12	H	Pyrinto Tampere	67-64
21/03/12	A	ToPo Helsinki	96-83
17/03/12	H	LoKoKo	80-78
14/03/12	A	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	96-75
09/03/12	A	KTP Kotka Basket	87-105

ToPo Helsinkilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/12	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	82-72
14/04/12	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	57-85
12/04/12	H	Kauhajoen Karhu	78-59
10/04/12	A	Kauhajoen Karhu	100-72
04/04/12	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	91-98
30/03/12	H	Kouvot Kouvola	86-89
28/03/12	A	Salon Vilpas	79-72
24/03/12	A	Lappeenranta	67-84
21/03/12	H	Kataja	83-96
16/03/12	A	Namika Lahti	101-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja

Korisliiga 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	95%
Away	LWWLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	79%	95%	62%
Points / game	83.4	87.2	79.4
Allowed / game	73.8	72.3	75.4
Point differential	+9.6	+14.9	+4.0
Avg total	157.2	159.5	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	68%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	100% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

ToPo Helsinki

Korisliiga 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	55%
Home	LLLWW	59%
Away	WLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	22	22
Win %	55%	59%	50%
Points / game	83.0	85.5	80.6
Allowed / game	79.9	81.2	78.5
Point differential	+3.2	+4.3	+2.0
Avg total	162.9	166.7	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	27%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	57% (7)	40% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kataja	43	34	9	79%	83.4	73.8	+9.6
2	LoKoKo	43	31	12	72%	82.3	77.8	+4.4
3	Pyrinto Tampere	45	31	14	69%	83.0	76.6	+6.4
4	ToPo Helsinki	44	24	20	55%	83.0	79.9	+3.2
5	Kauhajoen Karhu	44	24	20	55%	83.8	81.7	+2.1
6	KTP Kotka Basket	45	20	25	44%	84.2	85.4	-1.2
7	Lappeenranta	43	17	26	40%	78.5	81.1	-2.6
8	Salon Vilpas	43	16	27	37%	73.2	78.3	-5.0
9	Kouvot Kouvola	40	14	26	35%	73.5	77.3	-3.8
10	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	40	13	27	32%	77.4	85.0	-7.6
11	Namika Lahti	40	11	29	28%	78.9	86.0	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kataja	21	22	16	18	77
ToPo Helsinki	23	19	11	23	76

← all games of the day

Kataja vs ToPo Helsinki Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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