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Kedainiu SC vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 72-75
18-16 21-20 19-21 14-18
Position#6
Record12-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game84.1
Kedainiu SC
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record6-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.0
LithuaniaNKL· Sport Center
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kedainiu SC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
96avg 89
A19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
104-79
104
79
+25
102avg 89
A25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
99-81
99
81
+18
95avg 89
H28/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
97avg 89
A30/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
69avg 89
H06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 89
A15/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
92avg 89
H20/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
67avg 89
A22/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
74-95
74
95
-21
68avg 89
H27/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
85avg 89
A29/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
24-25
28-26
18-17
24-20
29-22
27-22
24-15
18-22
32-28
24-18
25-13
25-21
26-28
24-20
20-22
20-23
17-11
22-12
16-21
17-11
19-22
30-18
26-18
20-17
27-30
23-19
23-14
18-30
23-24
19-18
20-11
21-25
20-25
20-16
13-29
26-5
20-24
21-28
20-16
170.0Avg total
89.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.984.1175.9+7.880%
Season at home (7)91.385.4176.7+5.986%
Season away (8)92.482.9175.2+9.575%
Last 10 (10)89.280.8170.0+8.480%
Last 5 (5)85.280.0165.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.091.0186.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)90.483.4173.9+7.078%
vs Weaker (5)93.883.8177.6+10.080%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
62-81
62
81
-19
46avg 70
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 70
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 70
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
51avg 70
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 70
A13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
69-92
69
92
-23
58avg 70
H15/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 70
A20/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
66-90
66
90
-24
58avg 70
H22/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 70
A27/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 70
H29/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
16-23
16-21
18-23
24-21
18-14
22-12
12-19
17-20
13-18
29-9
14-13
14-17
9-8
12-14
23-19
21-19
19-25
25-19
29-24
11-17
22-19
18-30
18-26
19-18
19-23
15-21
24-21
10-20
24-16
17-31
15-23
12-22
17-23
18-20
23-27
18-24
20-24
12-19
23-17
153.4Avg total
73.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.181.0157.1-4.938%
Season at home (8)74.878.2153.0-3.538%
Season away (8)77.583.8161.2-6.238%
Last 10 (10)73.180.3153.4-7.240%
Last 5 (5)71.088.2159.2-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.682.5159.1-5.928%
vs Weaker (11)83.882.2166.0+1.645%
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
Kedainiu SCNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A19/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H28/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A30/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A22/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H27/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A29/11
NKL
88.4Avg total
44.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)45.542.387.8+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.942.988.7+3.057%-
Last 30 away (8)45.141.987.0+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.588.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.684.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.043.987.9+0.144%-
vs Weaker (5)47.038.285.2+8.880%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A08/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/11
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H22/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H29/11
NKL
72.0Avg total
33.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.979.1-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.439.478.8-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)36.942.579.4-5.614%-
Last 10 (10)33.538.572.0-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.275.6-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.440.377.8-2.933%-
vs Weaker (11)39.541.180.5-1.627%-
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.8
55.2%
54.5%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
32.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.413.3
72.3%
69.3%13.3
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
54.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.7
27.6%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.013.0
65.0%
69.3%13.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kedainiu SC
WLLWWWWWWW
Neptunas 2
LLLLLWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+10.1
Net rating
-9.0
109.5
Offensive rating
96.3
99.5
Defensive rating
105.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
47.2%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
27.6%
67.5%
Assist %
56.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 96.3Defence99.5 · 105.4Shooting54.4% · 47.2%3-point %35.4% · 27.6%Ball care19.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Kedainiu SC   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kedainiu SC wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Neptunas 2 v Kedainiu SC69-92
Kedainiu SClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25APlunges Olimpas87-73
27/11/25HVilkaviskis74-95
22/11/25ATelsiai80-83
20/11/25HMazeikiai93-80
15/11/25ANeptunas 292-69
06/11/25HAlytaus Alytus75-67
30/10/25ASuduva-Mantinga95-91
28/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas 299-81
25/10/25ABC Olimpas Palanga104-79
19/10/25ARytas 293-90
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HSuduva-Mantinga73-84
27/11/25AVytis VDU70-92
22/11/25HPlunges Olimpas66-90
20/11/25ASilute77-83
15/11/25HKedainiu SC69-92
13/11/25AAlytaus Alytus94-87
08/11/25AJurbarkas71-68 OT
06/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga73-60
30/10/25HRytas 276-66
27/10/25HTelsiai62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game91.991.392.4
Allowed / game84.185.482.9
Point differential+7.8+5.9+9.5
Avg total175.9176.7175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game76.174.877.5
Allowed / game81.078.283.8
Point differential-4.9-3.5-6.2
Avg total157.1153.0161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1512380%91.984.1+7.8
2 Suduva-Mantinga1713476%86.378.3+8.0
3 Vytis VDU1511473%85.480.0+5.4
4 Telsiai1712571%85.683.1+2.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21711665%86.384.5+1.8
6 Vilkaviskis1710759%86.481.5+4.8
7 Omega-Tauras179853%90.088.4+1.6
8 Mazeikiai168850%84.382.8+1.5
9 Rytas 2168850%82.681.4+1.2
10 Jurbarkas168850%76.678.2-1.7
11 Kretinga178947%84.984.8+0.1
12 Silute1771041%87.088.8-1.8
13 Neptunas 21661038%76.181.0-4.9
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1751229%79.586.4-6.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas1541127%81.590.4-8.9
16 Plunges Olimpas1641225%80.885.7-4.9
17 Alytaus Alytus1731418%78.984.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kedainiu SC1821191472
Neptunas 21620211875
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