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Alytaus Alytus vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-94
19-21 25-19 19-25 24-29
Position#17
Record2-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#4
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game76.8
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Neptunas 2
21 Feb 2026
ALYT89
NEPT91
13 Nov 2025
ALYT87
NEPT94
17 Dec 2024
ALYT68
NEPT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 68
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 68
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
71-106
71
106
-35
62avg 68
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 68
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 68
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
98-72
98
72
+26
92avg 68
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
70-76
70
76
-6
54avg 68
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 68
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 68
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 68
H08/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
17-17
20-32
25-20
20-17
15-22
26-21
7-20
19-26
12-22
22-29
18-29
20-17
10-13
23-15
22-24
14-23
20-10
20-23
22-21
25-16
22-18
18-17
33-21
21-16
10-24
21-17
18-19
15-20
27-17
7-18
23-33
23-20
11-17
12-22
21-16
11-16
17-21
19-20
23-23
156.5Avg total
75.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.281.3156.5-6.120%
Season at home (7)77.477.7155.1-0.329%
Season away (3)70.089.7159.7-19.70%
Last 10 (10)75.281.3156.5-6.120%
Last 5 (5)75.478.2153.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.090.0162.9-17.08%
vs Similar (4)93.886.2180.0+7.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 70
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-71
98
71
+27
94avg 70
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
70avg 70
H09/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
91-70
91
70
+21
85avg 70
A11/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 70
A18/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
61-92
61
92
-31
48avg 70
A23/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
62-81
62
81
-19
46avg 70
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 70
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 70
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
51avg 70
A08/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
18-23
25-23
17-15
18-19
17-13
29-17
34-22
17-19
25-18
22-21
17-24
21-19
19-22
28-7
23-22
22-24
16-30
13-8
24-25
17-25
11-16
13-28
20-23
12-14
16-23
16-21
18-23
24-21
18-14
22-12
12-19
17-20
13-18
29-9
14-13
14-17
9-8
12-14
23-19
153.7Avg total
76.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.976.8153.7+0.150%
Season at home (5)78.072.0150.0+6.060%
Season away (5)75.881.6157.4-5.840%
Last 10 (10)76.976.8153.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)68.673.4142.0-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar (18)79.681.9161.4-2.339%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.679.1163.7+5.456%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
Alytaus AlytusNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A09/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H11/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H23/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H08/11
NKL
72.5Avg total
35.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.980.2-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.139.776.7-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)37.747.885.5-10.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.372.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.943.379.2-7.431%-
vs Similar (4)46.540.887.2+5.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A18/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A23/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A08/11
NKL
73.8Avg total
34.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.480.0-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.579.7+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.380.4-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)34.539.373.8-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.265.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (18)39.640.980.6-1.339%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.141.681.7-1.433%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.7
49.6%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
32.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
69.3%11.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.3
51.8%
54.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.86.9
25.7%
32.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.815.0
68.8%
69.3%15.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLWLWLLL
Neptunas 2
WWWLLLWLWL
#17
League position
#4
-7.2
Net rating
+0.4
101.2
Offensive rating
101.8
108.4
Defensive rating
101.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
25.7%
56.4%
Assist %
56.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 101.8Defence108.4 · 101.4Shooting49.5% · 46.4%3-point %32.8% · 25.7%Ball care18.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
2
Neptunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HMazeikiai70-80
06/11/25AKedainiu SC67-75
30/10/25AVytis VDU72-88
25/10/25HJurbarkas70-76
23/10/25HBC Olimpas Palanga98-72
16/10/25HRytas 276-77
11/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga75-69
09/10/25AKretinga71-106
04/10/25HPlunges Olimpas68-80
02/10/25HSilute85-90
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AJurbarkas71-68 OT
06/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga73-60
30/10/25HRytas 276-66
27/10/25HTelsiai62-81
23/10/25AMazeikiai61-92
18/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-87
11/10/25AUkmerges Stekas91-70
09/10/25HVilkaviskis81-82
04/10/25HKretinga98-71
02/10/25AOmega-Tauras81-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %20%29%0%
Points / game75.277.470.0
Allowed / game81.377.789.7
Point differential-6.1-0.3-19.7
Avg total156.5155.1159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game76.978.075.8
Allowed / game76.872.081.6
Point differential+0.1+6.0-5.8
Avg total153.7150.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC109190%95.286.1+9.1
2 Vytis VDU107370%82.878.4+4.4
3 Telsiai107370%85.781.9+3.8
4 Suduva-Mantinga96367%84.277.2+7.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 296367%88.083.1+4.9
6 Omega-Tauras117464%92.086.6+5.4
7 Vilkaviskis106460%85.680.2+5.4
8 Mazeikiai106460%82.580.5+2.0
9 Neptunas 2105550%76.976.8+0.1
10 Jurbarkas105550%74.076.4-2.4
11 Kretinga104640%83.384.9-1.6
12 Silute104640%84.286.4-2.2
13 Rytas 2114736%80.881.6-0.8
14 Ukmerges Stekas103730%81.692.5-10.9
15 BC Olimpas Palanga113827%78.087.4-9.4
16 Alytaus Alytus102820%75.281.3-6.1
17 Plunges Olimpas112918%80.486.7-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1925192487
Neptunas 22119252994
← all games of the day
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