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Jurbarkas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 68-71 (OT)
17-14 8-9 14-12 19-23 10-13
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#4
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.8
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Neptunas 2
05 Mar 2026
JURB69
NEPT63
08 Nov 2025
JURB68
NEPT71
20 Dec 2024
JURB84
NEPT95
25 Nov 2023
JURB88
NEPT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
62-92
62
92
-30
51avg 72
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
83avg 72
A02/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 72
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
50avg 72
A11/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
80avg 72
A16/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
65avg 72
H18/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
53-98
53
98
-45
37avg 72
A23/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
76-70
76
70
+6
77avg 72
A25/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
83-66
83
66
+17
86avg 72
H30/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
69-62
69
62
+7
58avg 72
A06/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
19-28
22-25
10-15
20-14
13-25
30-34
30-21
22-19
21-15
23-19
14-20
16-27
12-24
19-16
22-22
20-24
26-21
11-13
24-7
12-16
19-16
17-24
20-20
16-30
15-20
8-22
14-26
16-21
24-10
17-21
19-18
22-16
19-12
19-20
23-18
15-18
26-13
14-19
14-12
151.9Avg total
73.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.777.0151.7-2.356%
Season at home (3)77.071.7148.7+5.367%
Season away (6)73.579.7153.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)73.478.5151.9-5.150%
Last 5 (5)69.874.4144.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.479.5155.9-3.142%
vs Weaker (8)78.969.9148.8+9.088%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 70
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 70
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-71
98
71
+27
94avg 70
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
70avg 70
H09/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
91-70
91
70
+21
85avg 70
A11/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 70
A18/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
61-92
61
92
-31
48avg 70
A23/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
62-81
62
81
-19
46avg 70
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 70
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
73-60
73
60
+13
67avg 70
H06/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
22-24
22-26
20-14
21-30
18-23
25-23
17-15
18-19
17-13
29-17
34-22
17-19
25-18
22-21
17-24
21-19
19-22
28-7
23-22
22-24
16-30
13-8
24-25
17-25
11-16
13-28
20-23
12-14
16-23
16-21
18-23
24-21
18-14
22-12
12-19
17-20
13-18
29-9
14-13
156.1Avg total
77.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.677.8155.3-0.244%
Season at home (5)78.072.0150.0+6.060%
Season away (4)77.085.0162.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)77.878.3156.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)69.477.2146.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.781.7161.4-2.139%
vs Weaker (9)84.679.1163.7+5.456%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
JurbarkasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A02/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A11/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H18/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A23/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/11
NKL
75.7Avg total
36.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.875.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.234.573.7+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)35.740.476.1-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.375.7-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.939.277.1-1.247%-
vs Weaker (8)37.135.672.8+1.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A18/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A23/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H27/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/11
NKL
77.1Avg total
36.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.780.7-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.839.178.9+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.682.7-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.041.177.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.074.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.341.481.7-1.144%-
vs Weaker (9)40.141.681.7-1.433%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.1
49.2%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.3
28.1%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.611.9
64.0%
69.3%11.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.9
53.4%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.36.9
26.2%
32.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
69.3%16.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWWLLWLWLL
Neptunas 2
WWLLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#4
-7.8
Net rating
+0.1
95.6
Offensive rating
104.5
103.4
Defensive rating
104.4
46.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
28.1%
3-point %
26.2%
61.0%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 104.5Defence103.4 · 104.4Shooting46.4% · 47.6%3-point %28.1% · 26.2%Ball care21.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.8% · 33.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jurbarkas wins
1
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Jurbarkas v Neptunas 284-95
24/10/24Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas73-77
25/11/23Jurbarkas v Neptunas 288-75
07/10/23Neptunas 2 v Jurbarkas82-90
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25AVytis VDU69-62
30/10/25HPlunges Olimpas83-66
25/10/25AAlytaus Alytus76-70
23/10/25ARytas 253-98
18/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
16/10/25AKretinga81-65
11/10/25ASilute69-89
04/10/25HMazeikiai80-73
02/10/25AKedainiu SC93-94
21/03/25AVilkaviskis62-92
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga73-60
30/10/25HRytas 276-66
27/10/25HTelsiai62-81
23/10/25AMazeikiai61-92
18/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-87
11/10/25AUkmerges Stekas91-70
09/10/25HVilkaviskis81-82
04/10/25HKretinga98-71
02/10/25AOmega-Tauras81-91
09/03/25HVilkaviskis80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game74.777.073.5
Allowed / game77.071.779.7
Point differential-2.3+5.3-6.2
Avg total151.7148.7153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game77.678.077.0
Allowed / game77.872.085.0
Point differential-0.2+6.0-8.0
Avg total155.3150.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC109190%95.286.1+9.1
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 286275%88.482.1+6.2
3 Vilkaviskis96367%85.978.7+7.2
4 Suduva-Mantinga96367%84.277.2+7.0
5 Vytis VDU96367%82.777.9+4.8
6 Telsiai96367%84.983.6+1.3
7 Omega-Tauras106460%91.887.9+3.9
8 Mazeikiai95456%82.881.7+1.1
9 Jurbarkas95456%74.777.0-2.3
10 Neptunas 294544%77.677.8-0.2
11 Silute94544%84.386.7-2.3
12 Rytas 2104640%82.280.5+1.7
13 Kretinga93633%82.185.1-3.0
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%82.492.3-9.9
15 Alytaus Alytus92722%75.881.4-5.7
16 BC Olimpas Palanga102820%76.787.6-10.9
17 Plunges Olimpas112918%80.486.7-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Jurbarkas17814191068
Neptunas 214912231371
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