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Kedainiu SC vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-69
15-19 28-20 21-18 16-12
Position#6
Record20-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#7
Record18-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.9
LithuaniaNKL· Sport Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kedainiu SC v Vilkaviskis
19 Feb 2026
KEDA80
VILK69
27 Nov 2025
KEDA74
VILK95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kedainiu SC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
107-113 OT
107
113
-6
89avg 83
A08/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
78-91
78
91
-13
78avg 83
H10/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A15/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
H17/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
104-76
104
76
+28
113avg 83
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
82-120
82
120
-38
72avg 83
A29/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
80avg 83
H31/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
53avg 83
A05/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
80avg 83
H07/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
78avg 83
A10/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
17-19
25-19
31-38
20-29
23-22
19-18
16-22
30-15
16-27
16-22
22-19
19-20
25-18
26-17
21-27
23-16
30-21
27-20
24-19
15-27
13-31
22-40
32-22
25-15
27-24
16-20
9-18
16-24
21-16
19-14
10-23
19-22
16-25
25-16
25-17
22-9
18-21
29-15
12-25
174.4Avg total
86.7Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.785.8173.4+1.962%
Season at home (16)84.885.4170.2-0.662%
Season away (16)90.586.1176.6+4.462%
Last 10 (10)86.787.7174.4-1.060%
Last 5 (5)80.686.4167.0-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.091.5171.5-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.688.7175.3-2.150%
vs Weaker (10)90.279.9170.1+10.380%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 71
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 71
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
99-66
99
66
+33
109avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
84avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 71
H05/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 71
A07/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-16
20-19
19-19
23-17
15-15
15-13
19-9
23-19
21-24
17-26
23-15
15-31
20-18
20-18
15-21
22-18
26-17
29-12
22-19
12-17
21-20
22-25
22-21
19-13
14-29
15-17
19-12
23-12
21-20
19-14
15-17
24-16
16-21
14-19
23-10
20-17
26-20
27-17
17-21
152.9Avg total
79.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.477.9160.3+4.556%
Season at home (16)81.275.1156.2+6.169%
Season away (16)83.680.7164.3+2.944%
Last 10 (10)79.773.2152.9+6.560%
Last 5 (5)77.871.6149.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.176.7153.8+0.347%
vs Weaker (13)86.778.2164.9+8.569%
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Kedainiu SCVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H10/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A29/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A10/02
NKL
83.5Avg total
41.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.986.4+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.243.987.1-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)43.741.985.6+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.944.687.6-1.744%-
vs Weaker (10)44.538.583.0+6.070%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H05/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/02
NKL
77.7Avg total
39.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.979.9+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.037.778.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.040.181.1+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.877.7+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.076.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.438.776.1-1.340%-
vs Weaker (13)45.038.183.1+6.977%-
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.9
52.4%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.6
28.8%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
69.3%15.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.3
54.8%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.1
30.6%
32.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.514.4
67.0%
69.3%14.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kedainiu SC
WWLWLWWWLL
Vilkaviskis
WWWLLWLLWW
#6
League position
#7
-6.9
Net rating
+10.8
89.5
Offensive rating
93.6
96.4
Defensive rating
82.7
48.4%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
39.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.8%
3-point %
30.6%
67.8%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 93.6Defence96.4 · 82.7Shooting48.4% · 51.6%3-point %28.8% · 30.6%Ball care17.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.5% · 39.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Kedainiu SC   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kedainiu SC wins
2
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26Vilkaviskis v Kedainiu SC77-66
27/11/25Kedainiu SC v Vilkaviskis74-95
Kedainiu SClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26AUkmerges Stekas81-70
07/02/26HPlunges Olimpas85-80
05/02/26AVilkaviskis66-77
31/01/26HSilute89-85 OT
29/01/26AJurbarkas82-120
22/01/26AAlytaus Alytus104-76
17/01/26HTelsiai91-82
15/01/26AMazeikiai84-83
10/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-91
08/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2107-113 OT
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AAlytaus Alytus90-75
05/02/26HKedainiu SC77-66
29/01/26HUkmerges Stekas78-63
27/01/26ARytas 267-71
24/01/26AKretinga77-83
22/01/26HOmega-Tauras99-66
17/01/26HVytis VDU70-88
15/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga90-94 OT
10/01/26AJurbarkas72-54
08/01/26APlunges Olimpas77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game87.784.890.5
Allowed / game85.885.486.1
Point differential+1.9-0.6+4.4
Avg total173.4170.2176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%31%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%69%44%
Points / game82.481.283.6
Allowed / game77.975.180.7
Point differential+4.5+6.1+2.9
Avg total160.3156.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3329488%90.674.8+15.8
2 Vytis VDU3324973%88.784.1+4.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 233221167%87.084.3+2.8
4 Kedainiu SC32201262%87.785.8+1.9
5 Vilkaviskis32181456%82.477.9+4.5
6 Neptunas 234191556%79.177.1+1.9
7 Mazeikiai33181555%83.881.3+2.4
8 Rytas 233181555%83.181.1+2.0
9 Telsiai33181555%85.085.2-0.2
10 Jurbarkas34181653%80.678.4+2.2
11 Kretinga34161847%83.585.3-1.8
12 Silute34142041%86.690.4-3.9
13 Omega-Tauras34142041%84.688.6-4.0
14 BC Olimpas Palanga34132138%79.583.7-4.2
15 Plunges Olimpas3382524%80.586.5-6.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas3382524%78.988.8-9.8
17 Alytaus Alytus3462818%78.986.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kedainiu SC1528211680
Vilkaviskis1920181269
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