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Vilkaviskis vs Kedainiu SC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-66
24-16 16-21 14-19 23-10
Position#7
Record16-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#6
Record18-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game86.8
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kedainiu SC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 71
A20/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 71
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 71
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 71
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
99-66
99
66
+33
109avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
84avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-25
19-20
27-20
25-21
26-11
14-19
23-25
18-18
20-16
20-19
19-19
23-17
15-15
15-13
19-9
23-19
21-24
17-26
23-15
15-31
20-18
20-18
15-21
22-18
26-17
29-12
22-19
12-17
21-20
22-25
22-21
19-13
14-29
15-17
19-12
23-12
21-20
19-14
15-17
155.4Avg total
80.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.378.4160.7+4.053%
Season at home (15)81.575.7157.1+5.867%
Season away (15)83.281.1164.3+2.140%
Last 10 (10)80.175.3155.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)78.274.2152.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.777.0154.7+0.747%
vs Weaker (13)87.078.0165.0+9.069%
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 84
A13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
73-94
73
94
-21
58avg 84
H20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
65-92
65
92
-27
62avg 84
H03/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
107-113 OT
107
113
-6
89avg 84
A08/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
78-91
78
91
-13
78avg 84
H10/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A15/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
H17/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
104-76
104
76
+28
113avg 84
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
82-120
82
120
-38
72avg 84
A29/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
80avg 84
H31/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
19-18
20-15
22-31
23-22
18-24
18-23
14-25
15-27
19-24
18-21
13-20
21-18
17-19
25-19
31-38
20-29
23-22
19-18
16-22
30-15
16-27
16-22
22-19
19-20
25-18
26-17
21-27
23-16
30-21
27-20
24-19
15-27
13-31
22-40
32-22
25-15
27-24
16-20
9-18
178.4Avg total
85.8Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.786.8175.5+1.962%
Season at home (15)84.885.7170.5-0.960%
Season away (14)92.987.9180.9+5.064%
Last 10 (10)85.892.6178.4-6.840%
Last 5 (5)90.089.2179.2+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.091.5171.5-11.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)88.388.7176.9-0.458%
vs Weaker (8)92.081.1173.1+10.975%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.7-3.7
VilkaviskisKedainiu SC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/01
NKL
78.3Avg total
40.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.380.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.279.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.581.7+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.278.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.339.376.6-1.933%-
vs Weaker (13)45.338.583.8+6.877%-
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H03/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H10/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A29/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/01
NKL
86.5Avg total
42.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.842.786.5+1.159%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.543.086.5+0.553%-
Last 30 away (14)44.242.486.6+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.386.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.550.092.5-7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.943.786.6-0.753%-
vs Weaker (8)46.238.584.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.9
52.0%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.4
27.9%
32.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.215.3
68.9%
69.3%15.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.4
54.9%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.4
28.4%
32.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.912.6
63.3%
69.3%12.6
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
WLLWLLWWWL
Kedainiu SC
WLWWWLLLLL
#7
League position
#6
+5.5
Net rating
-8.5
91.7
Offensive rating
94.2
86.2
Defensive rating
102.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.9%
3-point %
28.4%
61.5%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 94.2Defence86.2 · 102.6Shooting48.3% · 49.9%3-point %27.9% · 28.4%Ball care19.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds36.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Kedainiu SC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vilkaviskis wins
0
Kedainiu SC wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Kedainiu SC v Vilkaviskis74-95
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HUkmerges Stekas78-63
27/01/26ARytas 267-71
24/01/26AKretinga77-83
22/01/26HOmega-Tauras99-66
17/01/26HVytis VDU70-88
15/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga90-94 OT
10/01/26AJurbarkas72-54
08/01/26APlunges Olimpas77-72
03/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-76
20/12/25ATelsiai83-86
Kedainiu SClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HSilute89-85 OT
29/01/26AJurbarkas82-120
22/01/26AAlytaus Alytus104-76
17/01/26HTelsiai91-82
15/01/26AMazeikiai84-83
10/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga78-91
08/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas 2107-113 OT
03/01/26HSuduva-Mantinga65-92
20/12/25HRytas 273-94
13/12/25AKretinga85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game82.381.583.2
Allowed / game78.475.781.1
Point differential+4.0+5.8+2.1
Avg total160.7157.1164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLLLWW60%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game88.784.892.9
Allowed / game86.885.787.9
Point differential+1.9-0.9+5.0
Avg total175.5170.5180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3026487%90.175.4+14.7
2 Vytis VDU3122971%88.083.7+4.4
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 230201067%86.285.0+1.2
4 Kedainiu SC29181162%88.786.8+1.9
5 Neptunas 230171357%79.376.7+2.6
6 Telsiai30171357%84.984.4+0.5
7 Mazeikiai31171455%83.580.6+2.9
8 Vilkaviskis30161453%82.378.4+4.0
9 Rytas 230161453%83.481.1+2.3
10 Jurbarkas30161453%79.577.5+2.0
11 Kretinga30141647%85.186.0-0.9
12 Silute30131743%86.690.0-3.5
13 Omega-Tauras30121840%84.989.2-4.3
14 BC Olimpas Palanga30111937%79.484.3-4.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas2982128%80.789.9-9.2
16 Plunges Olimpas3072323%80.586.7-6.2
17 Alytaus Alytus3052517%78.586.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2416142377
Kedainiu SC1621191066
← all games of the day
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