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Vilkaviskis vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-63
23-12 21-20 19-14 15-17
Position#7
Record15-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#16
Record8-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game90.4
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Ukmerges Stekas
05 Nov 2026
VILK97
UKME74
29 Jan 2026
VILK78
UKME63
16 Jan 2025
VILK89
UKME82
05 Oct 2023
VILK88
UKME60
11 Feb 2023
VILK80
UKME64
06 Oct 2022
VILK59
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
L
59-79
59
79
-20
50avg 71
H18/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 71
A20/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 71
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 71
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 71
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
99-66
99
66
+33
109avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 71
A27/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
16-26
14-21
16-21
16-21
21-25
19-20
27-20
25-21
26-11
14-19
23-25
18-18
20-16
20-19
19-19
23-17
15-15
15-13
19-9
23-19
21-24
17-26
23-15
15-31
20-18
20-18
15-21
22-18
26-17
29-12
22-19
12-17
21-20
22-25
22-21
19-13
14-29
15-17
19-12
155.1Avg total
78.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.578.9161.4+3.652%
Season at home (14)81.776.6158.3+5.164%
Season away (15)83.281.1164.3+2.140%
Last 10 (10)78.276.9155.1+1.340%
Last 5 (5)80.680.4161.0+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.386.7170.0-3.30%
vs Similar (15)77.777.0154.7+0.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.879.2167.0+8.567%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 75
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
91avg 75
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 75
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
83-99
83
99
-16
69avg 75
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 75
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
no box
H17/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
83avg 75
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 75
A24/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
71-88
71
88
-17
54avg 75
H27/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
10-18
11-21
34-20
15-29
29-17
22-29
29-20
7-21
24-16
22-17
11-17
20-27
16-23
22-21
25-28
16-30
26-18
17-20
25-13
22-22
14-33
17-32
26-26
12-25
11-27
16-19
15-20
13-22
16-20
26-21
26-18
15-13
26-21
26-29
23-22
16-24
15-19
21-18
19-27
170.5Avg total
79.6Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.490.4171.7-9.029%
Season at home (13)79.587.8167.4-8.338%
Season away (15)82.992.5175.5-9.620%
Last 10 (10)79.690.9170.5-11.330%
Last 5 (5)77.693.6171.2-16.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.390.3171.6-9.030%
vs Similar (3)79.089.3168.3-10.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
VilkaviskisUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H18/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/01
NKL
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.580.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.679.4+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.281.2+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.279.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.742.082.7-1.367%-
vs Similar (15)37.339.376.6-1.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.439.184.5+6.375%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H17/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H27/01
NKL
78.7Avg total
34.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.645.083.6-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.944.484.2-4.536%-
Last 30 away (16)37.545.683.1-8.112%-
Last 10 (10)34.244.578.7-10.310%-
Last 5 (5)32.045.277.2-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)38.145.083.1-6.926%-
vs Similar (3)43.045.788.7-2.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.9
51.4%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.4
27.5%
32.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.214.7
66.2%
69.3%14.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.3
51.4%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
32.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.910.8
60.3%
69.3%10.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LLWLLWWWLL
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#16
+5.2
Net rating
-5.6
92.2
Offensive rating
98.0
87.0
Defensive rating
103.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.5%
3-point %
37.0%
57.5%
Assist %
50.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 98.0Defence87.0 · 103.6Shooting47.7% · 52.8%3-point %27.5% · 37.0%Ball care19.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds36.8% · 25.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Vilkaviskis wins
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26ARytas 267-71
24/01/26AKretinga77-83
22/01/26HOmega-Tauras99-66
17/01/26HVytis VDU70-88
15/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga90-94 OT
10/01/26AJurbarkas72-54
08/01/26APlunges Olimpas77-72
03/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-76
20/12/25ATelsiai83-86
18/12/25HMazeikiai59-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26HJurbarkas71-88
24/01/26AOmega-Tauras90-85
22/01/26HTelsiai94-91 OT
17/01/26HSuduva-Mantinga54-91
15/01/26AKretinga79-113
11/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-81
08/01/26ASilute83-99
03/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-71
22/12/25ARytas 2103-111 OT
20/12/25AMazeikiai74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game82.581.783.2
Allowed / game78.976.681.1
Point differential+3.6+5.1+2.1
Avg total161.4158.3164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %29%38%20%
Points / game81.479.582.9
Allowed / game90.487.892.5
Point differential-9.0-8.3-9.6
Avg total171.7167.4175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %11%8%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2925486%89.574.6+14.9
2 Vytis VDU2921872%87.883.0+4.8
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22819968%86.084.8+1.2
4 Kedainiu SC27171063%89.085.6+3.3
5 Telsiai28161257%84.283.5+0.8
6 Neptunas 228151354%78.477.4+1.1
7 Jurbarkas28151354%77.977.1+0.8
8 Rytas 230161453%83.481.1+2.3
9 Vilkaviskis29151452%82.578.9+3.6
10 Mazeikiai28141450%83.580.9+2.6
11 Kretinga28141450%85.686.0-0.4
12 Silute28121643%86.289.9-3.7
13 Omega-Tauras28111739%85.989.5-3.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga28111739%79.384.0-4.7
15 Ukmerges Stekas2882029%81.490.4-9.0
16 Plunges Olimpas2862221%79.886.5-6.6
17 Alytaus Alytus2852318%77.485.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2321191578
Ukmerges Stekas1220141763
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