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Keilor Thunder vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 87-84
23-19 14-18 31-22 19-25
Position#15
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#12
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game83.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Frankston
13 Apr 2025
KEIL87
FRAN84
17 Jul 2022
KEIL69
FRAN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
A22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-104
68
104
-36
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
36-17
28-26
26-19
26-12
14-27
8-23
24-13
29-19
31-11
27-28
25-35
18-20
12-17
17-24
25-22
12-27
15-24
20-25
20-22
23-23
16-25
12-28
17-28
26-11
21-24
16-24
34-23
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
22-29
12-19
15-17
22-22
24-22
26-31
25-30
28-28
176.7Avg total
84.9Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.895.0181.8-8.225%
Season at home (1)76.0100.0176.0-24.00%
Season away (3)90.393.3183.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)84.991.8176.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)83.096.8179.8-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.997.1180.0-14.223%
vs Similar (10)89.087.0176.0+2.070%
vs Weaker (7)88.089.7177.7-1.757%
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H30/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H04/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
98-66
98
66
+32
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
97-58
97
58
+39
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H03/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
103-80
103
80
+23
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H11/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
25-15
21-23
24-16
20-20
27-22
28-17
30-14
26-24
25-9
21-11
26-22
23-22
24-20
22-20
21-17
26-18
21-22
26-17
21-18
28-17
22-10
33-17
14-14
15-14
19-23
16-23
24-16
29-15
25-24
25-21
24-20
16-25
18-25
23-28
17-17
33-29
23-18
21-15
17-13
166.9Avg total
92.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.383.3173.7+7.067%
Season at home (2)98.577.5176.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)74.095.0169.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)92.374.6166.9+17.780%
Last 5 (5)88.476.8165.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.080.0183.0+23.0100%
vs Similar (9)89.489.9179.3-0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.579.2172.8+14.270%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.1+5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.1+5.1
Keilor ThunderFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
85.1Avg total
41.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.146.990.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.845.986.8-5.133%-
Last 30 away (18)44.647.692.2-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.385.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.288.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.250.791.9-9.523%-
vs Similar (10)45.045.590.5-0.540%-
vs Weaker (7)43.742.085.7+1.743%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H30/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/08
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H11/04
NBL1 South
85.6Avg total
46.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.342.189.4+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.342.291.5+7.278%-
Last 30 away (12)44.242.086.2+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)46.938.785.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.085.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.039.093.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (9)46.045.191.1+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.540.988.4+6.675%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
3
Frankston wins
DateGameScore
05/04/24Frankston v Keilor Thunder115-98
27/05/23Frankston v Keilor Thunder106-103
17/07/22Keilor Thunder v Frankston69-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25ADandenong103-111
05/04/25ABendigo Braves71-87
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
29/03/25ADiamond Valley97-82
13/07/24AKnox68-104
11/07/24HEltham67-98
07/07/24ASandringham Sabres72-83
05/07/24HDiamond Valley112-93
29/06/24HDandenong72-75
22/06/24ABendigo Braves111-85
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HDiamond Valley94-75
07/04/25ARingwood74-95
29/03/25HSandringham Sabres103-80
03/08/24HEltham74-76
20/07/24HBallarat97-58
12/07/24HHobart Chargers94-75
09/07/24ASandringham Sabres90-79
06/07/24AWaverley98-66
04/07/24HKilsyth105-73
30/06/24HBallarat94-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game86.876.090.3
Allowed / game95.0100.093.3
Point differential-8.2-24.0-3.0
Avg total181.8176.0183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game90.398.574.0
Allowed / game83.377.595.0
Point differential+7.0+21.0-21.0
Avg total173.7176.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Mt Gambier54180%93.271.8+21.4
3 Ballarat43175%89.084.8+4.2
4 Casey Cavaliers43175%84.280.2+4.0
5 Hobart Chargers43175%83.079.0+4.0
6 Waverley43175%94.292.2+2.0
7 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
8 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
9 Frankston32167%90.383.3+7.0
10 NW Tasmania42250%87.890.8-3.0
11 Bendigo Braves42250%83.589.8-6.2
12 Kilsyth52340%81.882.6-0.8
13 Eltham31233%82.081.0+1.0
14 Dandenong41325%90.897.2-6.5
15 Nunawading41325%82.890.2-7.5
16 Keilor Thunder41325%86.895.0-8.2
17 Geelong41325%83.291.8-8.5
18 Diamond Valley51420%79.494.6-15.2
19 Sandringham Sabres4040%72.293.0-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2314311987
Frankston1918222584
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