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Keilor Thunder W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 72-78
22-18 12-14 22-26 16-20
Position#11
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game52.4
Allowed / game74.5
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 7
Women2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Melbourne Tigers W
15 Apr 2023
KEIL52
MELB81
04 Jun 2022
KEIL72
MELB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A29/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A30/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
60-93
60
93
-33
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-27
14-17
15-23
14-22
21-16
18-7
15-10
20-30
18-30
11-13
20-20
23-34
22-19
12-21
30-27
14-17
20-23
16-20
10-33
30-20
13-20
23-15
19-22
19-28
14-24
16-15
16-16
26-26
22-15
13-16
24-18
15-15
29-20
19-18
21-24
156.3Avg total
74.1Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.182.2156.3-8.144%
Season at home (4)73.582.8156.2-9.250%
Season away (5)74.681.8156.4-7.240%
Last 10 (9)74.182.2156.3-8.144%
Last 5 (5)75.881.0156.8-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.788.5160.2-16.817%
vs Similar (1)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.566.0142.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#5
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#1
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A31/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
44-94
44
94
-50
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
41-80
41
80
-39
H01/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
48-85
48
85
-37
H08/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H22/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
43-74
43
74
-31
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
23-18
14-11
16-18
10-22
25-19
17-10
26-21
7-26
14-28
9-24
14-16
6-24
13-15
8-18
14-23
11-23
8-15
18-19
11-11
12-28
4-28
16-17
16-12
13-14
22-8
16-13
18-16
22-28
12-8
18-19
18-27
18-11
12-21
8-11
18-19
13-25
5-23
12-13
13-13
133.8Avg total
58.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)52.474.5126.9-22.112%
Season at home (4)53.569.5123.0-16.025%
Season away (4)51.279.5130.8-28.20%
Last 10 (10)58.475.4133.8-17.030%
Last 5 (5)57.270.8128.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)56.374.3130.6-18.020%
vs Similar (5)75.084.2159.2-9.220%
vs Weaker (15)86.172.4158.5+13.760%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -9.5-9.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -9.5-9.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Keilor Thunder WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A30/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/05
NBL1 South Women
84.4Avg total
39.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)39.445.084.4-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (4)40.041.881.8-1.850%-
Last 30 away (5)39.047.686.6-8.620%-
Last 10 (9)39.445.084.4-5.633%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.682.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.848.787.5-9.817%-
vs Similar (1)44.035.079.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A31/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
19-39
19
39
-20
H01/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
16-56
16
56
-40
H08/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A28/05
NBL1 South Women
68.4Avg total
27.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.777.0-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.540.275.7-4.743%-
Last 30 away (16)37.041.178.1-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)27.241.268.4-14.010%-
Last 5 (5)26.638.865.4-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)25.440.365.7-14.910%-
vs Similar (5)38.041.079.0-3.020%-
vs Weaker (15)43.040.883.8+2.247%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
0
Melbourne Tigers W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/22AWaverley W84-77
28/05/22HBallarat W85-75
22/05/22ANunawading W65-83
21/05/22HDandenong Rangers W85-77
15/05/22HMt. Gambier W60-93
07/05/22AGeelong W87-101
30/04/22ALaunceston W69-93
29/04/22AHobart Chargers W68-55
23/04/22HBendigo W64-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/22AMt. Gambier W43-74
22/05/22HSandringham W56-62
21/05/22ABallarat W70-82
15/05/22HHobart Chargers W69-51
08/05/22HNunawading W48-85
07/05/22ASandringham W48-68
01/05/22HEltham W41-80
22/04/22ACasey Cavaliers W44-94
31/07/21AKnox W78-72
11/07/21HLaunceston W87-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game74.173.574.6
Allowed / game82.282.881.8
Point differential-8.1-9.2-7.2
Avg total156.3156.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game52.453.551.2
Allowed / game74.569.579.5
Point differential-22.1-16.0-28.2
Avg total126.9123.0130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W87188%82.066.4+15.6
2 Nunawading W97278%79.164.4+14.7
3 Bendigo W97278%82.970.0+12.9
4 Ringwood W97278%70.760.6+10.1
5 Geelong W97278%80.771.8+8.9
6 Launceston W75271%84.670.1+14.4
7 Knox W106460%74.861.8+13.0
8 Frankston W74357%69.769.9-0.1
9 Casey Cavaliers W95456%81.672.9+8.7
10 Ballarat W105550%74.574.2+0.3
11 Waverley W84450%72.578.5-6.0
12 Keilor Thunder W94544%74.182.2-8.1
13 Sandringham W104640%70.776.3-5.6
14 Kilsyth W93633%62.369.8-7.4
15 Eltham W72529%68.675.3-6.7
16 Dandenong Rangers W82625%74.884.0-9.2
17 Diamond Valley W81712%62.982.8-19.9
18 Melbourne Tigers W81712%52.474.5-22.1
19 Hobart Chargers W8080%56.976.1-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2212221672
Melbourne Tigers W1814262078
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