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Keilor Thunder W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 May 2022
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 85-75
26-26 22-15 13-16 24-18
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#9
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.5
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenRound 6
Women2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Ballarat W
14 Jun 2025
KEIL93
BALL70
03 Aug 2024
KEIL96
BALL75
04 May 2024
KEIL20
BALL0
14 Apr 2023
KEIL64
BALL54
28 May 2022
KEIL85
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A29/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A30/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
60-93
60
93
-33
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-27
14-17
15-23
14-22
21-16
18-7
15-10
20-30
18-30
11-13
20-20
23-34
22-19
12-21
30-27
14-17
20-23
16-20
10-33
30-20
13-20
23-15
19-22
19-28
14-24
16-15
16-16
155.1Avg total
71.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.184.0155.1-12.929%
Season at home (3)69.785.3155.0-15.733%
Season away (4)72.283.0155.2-10.825%
Last 10 (7)71.184.0155.1-12.929%
Last 5 (5)73.289.4162.6-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.091.2160.2-22.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)76.566.0142.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A01/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A01/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-26
16-22
9-17
16-23
22-11
24-18
16-18
20-19
14-25
19-17
16-20
28-16
11-23
23-11
16-17
26-22
15-11
17-15
22-17
9-20
14-30
18-24
29-21
16-14
18-15
13-9
22-16
18-26
23-22
23-18
9-19
28-22
8-12
19-18
27-18
25-15
21-20
15-16
16-12
147.1Avg total
73.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.872.5147.2+2.262%
Season at home (4)75.575.8151.2-0.250%
Season away (4)74.069.2143.2+4.875%
Last 10 (10)73.973.2147.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)74.273.4147.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.279.1144.3-13.913%
vs Similar (6)72.078.0150.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)77.666.1143.7+11.489%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
Keilor Thunder WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A30/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
84.6Avg total
37.6Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)37.647.084.6-9.414%-
Last 30 at home (3)37.342.079.3-4.733%-
Last 30 away (4)37.850.888.5-13.00%-
Last 10 (7)37.647.084.6-9.414%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.087.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.050.287.2-13.20%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H23/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A22/05
NBL1 South Women
75.9Avg total
37.0Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.674.3-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.438.974.3-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)35.938.374.2-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.975.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.275.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.840.674.4-6.820%-
vs Similar (6)37.240.577.7-3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.734.171.8+3.678%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
0
Ballarat W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22ANunawading W65-83
21/05/22HDandenong Rangers W85-77
15/05/22HMt. Gambier W60-93
07/05/22AGeelong W87-101
30/04/22ALaunceston W69-93
29/04/22AHobart Chargers W68-55
23/04/22HBendigo W64-86
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22AWaverley W77-63
21/05/22HMelbourne Tigers W82-70
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers W73-85
14/05/22AKilsyth W69-54
07/05/22ABendigo W70-95
01/05/22ASandringham W80-65
30/04/22HEltham W78-67
23/04/22HGeelong W69-81
01/08/21ABendigo Braves W78-70
31/07/21HEltham W63-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game71.169.772.2
Allowed / game84.085.383.0
Point differential-12.9-15.7-10.8
Avg total155.1155.0155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game74.875.574.0
Allowed / game72.575.869.2
Point differential+2.2-0.2+4.8
Avg total147.2151.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W76186%85.169.4+15.7
2 Mt. Gambier W76186%83.169.7+13.4
3 Launceston W65183%87.769.7+18.0
4 Nunawading W86275%80.464.5+15.9
5 Geelong W86275%81.171.8+9.4
6 Ringwood W75271%67.359.1+8.1
7 Knox W85362%75.861.9+13.9
8 Ballarat W85362%74.872.5+2.2
9 Frankston W74357%69.769.9-0.1
10 Waverley W74357%71.977.7-5.9
11 Casey Cavaliers W84450%82.675.1+7.5
12 Sandringham W84450%69.873.6-3.9
13 Kilsyth W93633%62.369.8-7.4
14 Keilor Thunder W72529%71.184.0-12.9
15 Eltham W61517%66.375.3-9.0
16 Diamond Valley W61517%62.382.2-19.8
17 Dandenong Rangers W71614%71.782.4-10.7
18 Melbourne Tigers W71614%53.774.6-20.9
19 Hobart Chargers W7070%57.176.6-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2622132485
Ballarat W2615161875
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