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Kennesaw State vs Midway Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-57
0-0 58-23 0-0 58-34
Position#13
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Kennesaw State 🏆
USA
Vs
99%
■ KENN 99%■ MIDW 1%
Pythia win probability
Projected 94-65
Projected total 159.0
Midway
USA
Position#411
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Kennesaw State hosts Midway on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Kennesaw State the clear favourite, rating them 99% to win because of their strong 3-2 record in the last five games and their 94-point projection versus Midway's 65. Kennesaw State is 3-2 at home, averaging 94 points and allowing 65, while Midway is 0-5 on the road, averaging 65 points and conceding 94, a points balance that favours the home side. In the last five meetings Kennesaw State has won three and lost two, and the most recent result for Kennesaw State was a 71-60 win over Louisiana Tech on 14 March 2026, while Midway's last three outings were losses to Liberty, Bellarmine and Eastern Kentucky. The model assigns a 99% probability to a Kennesaw State victory and 1% to a Midway win, projects a final score of 94-65 and a total of 159.0 points, and gives a 0% chance that the home team covers the main spread. The game ends with Kennesaw State's 94-point performance against Midway's 65-point effort.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kennesaw State winWon
98.9%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Midway winLost
1.1%fair 87.30
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kennesaw StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A13/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A15/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-34
0-0
47-53
0-0
23-25
0-0
35-30
0-0
32-29
0-0
42-36
0-0
50-25
0-0
40-57
0-0
25-35
0-0
46-43
0-0
33-37
0-0
43-42
0-0
46-41
0-0
50-46
0-0
31-37
0-0
48-36
0-0
35-32
0-0
36-28
0-0
27-33
0-0
37-40
150.9Avg total
77.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.073.9150.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)77.274.4151.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.073.0137.0-9.00%
vs Similar (16)76.674.8151.3+1.856%
vs Weaker (13)86.479.8166.2+6.662%
MidwayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#342
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A21/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
53-94
53
94
-41
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
44-98
44
98
-54
A06/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
60-101
60
101
-41
A26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
60-116
60
116
-56
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A29/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A04/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
60-122
60
122
-62
A07/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
60-99
60
99
-39
A04/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A16/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-38
0-0
25-39
0-0
33-36
0-0
20-58
0-0
13-46
0-0
31-52
0-0
27-54
0-0
33-47
0-0
32-62
0-0
28-54
0-0
23-55
0-0
41-41
0-0
44-32
0-0
40-57
0-0
18-60
0-0
42-62
0-0
30-45
0-0
30-54
0-0
27-50
0-0
30-45
158.5Avg total
59.8Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)59.898.7158.5-38.90%
Last 5 (5)65.0100.2165.2-35.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)59.697.8157.3-38.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
86.1%
Under 142
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
77.8%
Under 147
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Over 152
Over 152
67.3%
Under 152
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kennesaw State total 73Actual: Kennesaw State over 73
Over 73
98.3%
Under 73
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kennesaw State total 77Actual: Kennesaw State over 77
Over 77
95.7%
Under 77
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kennesaw State total 81Actual: Kennesaw State over 81
Over 81
90.5%
Under 81
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Midway total 66Actual: Midway under 66
Over 66
47.6%
Under 66
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Midway total 70Actual: Midway under 70
Over 70
31.6%
Under 70
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Midway total 74Actual: Midway under 74
Over 74
18.6%
Under 74
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kennesaw State -3Actual: Kennesaw State -3
KENN -3
98.3%
MIDW +3
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
KENN
No market prices yet.
MIDW
No market prices yet.
Spread Kennesaw State 0Actual: Kennesaw State 0
KENN 0
98.9%
MIDW 0
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
KENN
No market prices yet.
MIDW
No market prices yet.
Spread Kennesaw State +3Actual: Kennesaw State +3
KENN +3
99.3%
MIDW -3
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
KENN
No market prices yet.
MIDW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-25-12+0+12+25Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -20.0-20.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -18.9-18.9
-25-12+0+12+25Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -20.0-20.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -18.9-18.9
Kennesaw StateMidway
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A13/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A20/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.474.6+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.534.077.5+9.577%-
Last 30 away (17)34.338.272.5-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)34.632.867.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.070.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.033.060.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (16)36.137.473.6-1.350%-
vs Weaker (13)41.835.377.1+6.562%-
MidwayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#342
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
13-46
13
46
-33
A06/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#362
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
32-62
32
62
-30
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A29/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A04/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
18-60
18
60
-42
A07/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A16/12
NCAA
75.6Avg total
27.8Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)28.247.675.8-19.412%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (17)28.247.675.8-19.412%-
Last 10 (10)27.847.875.6-20.010%-
Last 5 (5)28.448.476.8-20.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.547.776.2-19.212%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kennesaw State wins
0
Midway wins
No previous meetings.
Kennesaw Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AGonzaga64-73
15/03/26ALouisiana Tech71-60
13/03/26ASam Houston St.79-73
13/03/26AWestern Kentucky96-87
07/03/26ANew Mexico State76-79
06/03/26AUTEP71-78
28/02/26HDelaware90-82
27/02/26HLiberty74-65
21/02/26HLouisiana Tech58-55
19/02/26AMissouri State91-87
Midwaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25ALiberty57-95
04/12/25ABellarmine60-99
07/11/25AEastern Kentucky60-122
04/11/25AMorehead State84-89
29/12/24AJames Madison64-96
22/12/24ACleveland State60-116
26/11/24ABellarmine60-101
06/12/23AAustin Peay44-98
22/11/23AMorehead State53-94
21/11/23ABellarmine56-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kennesaw State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Midway
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kennesaw State058058116
Midway02303457
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