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New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-76
0-0 37-33 0-0 42-43
Position#178
Record15-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#113
Record18-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico State v Kennesaw State
16 Jan 2027
NEW v KENN
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
NEW 79
KENN76
23 Jan 2025
NEW 56
KENN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kennesaw State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
53-76
53
76
-23
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A05/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-34
0-0
40-39
0-0
24-43
0-0
29-33
0-0
31-32
0-0
41-31
0-0
39-32
0-0
33-40
0-0
32-30
0-0
43-47
0-0
32-29
0-0
47-41
0-0
35-25
0-0
32-38
0-0
26-48
0-0
44-45
0-0
42-36
0-0
34-40
0-0
24-33
0-0
44-35
149.7Avg total
73.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.872.2147.9+3.652%
Season at home (16)76.468.6145.1+7.862%
Season away (13)74.976.5151.5-1.638%
Last 10 (10)73.076.7149.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)75.677.4153.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.770.7143.3+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.377.1151.4-2.740%
vs Weaker (7)76.669.7146.3+6.957%
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H27/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-36
0-0
35-33
0-0
43-24
0-0
33-29
0-0
22-37
0-0
36-40
0-0
49-45
0-0
38-45
0-0
42-45
0-0
37-38
0-0
44-34
0-0
47-53
0-0
23-25
0-0
35-30
0-0
32-29
0-0
42-36
0-0
50-25
0-0
40-57
0-0
25-35
0-0
46-43
149.5Avg total
75.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.776.3160.0+7.560%
Season at home (17)88.172.6160.8+15.582%
Season away (13)78.081.0159.0-3.031%
Last 10 (10)75.673.9149.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)76.873.4150.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.0108.0197.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.274.8150.0+0.550%
vs Weaker (15)86.979.5166.5+7.467%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.5-1.5
New Mexico StateKennesaw State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
30.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.767.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.730.865.5+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)33.637.070.6-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)30.934.265.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.266.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.533.364.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.536.770.1-3.227%-
vs Weaker (7)34.329.764.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/03
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.376.8+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.634.479.0+10.271%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.774.0-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.570.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.664.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.056.097.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.137.773.8-1.650%-
vs Weaker (15)42.135.677.7+6.560%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Mexico State wins
3
Kennesaw State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63
14/02/26AJacksonville State79-70
12/02/26HLiberty75-77
08/02/26AUTEP88-91 OT
05/02/26ALouisiana Tech72-63
31/01/26AKennesaw State53-76
29/01/26HDelaware64-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AUTEP71-78
28/02/26HDelaware90-82
27/02/26HLiberty74-65
21/02/26HLouisiana Tech58-55
19/02/26AMissouri State91-87
14/02/26HSam Houston St.79-83
12/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
08/02/26AJacksonville State58-77
31/01/26HNew Mexico State76-53
29/01/26HWestern Kentucky72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%62%38%
Points / game75.876.474.9
Allowed / game72.268.676.5
Point differential+3.6+7.8-1.6
Avg total147.9145.1151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%6%15%
Kennesaw State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLLWWW82%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %60%82%31%
Points / game83.788.178.0
Allowed / game76.372.681.0
Point differential+7.5+15.5-3.0
Avg total160.0160.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%41%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3125681%78.570.2+8.3
2 Sam Houston St.31211068%83.074.4+8.5
3 Kennesaw State30181260%83.776.3+7.5
4 Louisiana Tech31181358%69.964.6+5.2
5 Western Kentucky31181358%79.075.5+3.5
6 Middle Tenn. St.31171455%75.672.5+3.1
7 New Mexico State29151452%75.872.2+3.6
8 Jacksonville State31151648%73.068.4+4.6
9 Florida International31151648%80.978.0+2.9
10 Missouri State31141745%75.373.9+1.3
11 UTEP31112035%69.372.4-3.1
12 Delaware31102132%67.774.0-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Mexico State03704279
Kennesaw State03304376
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