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Kentucky vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-85
46-38 53-47
Position#107
Record8-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#279
Record5-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kentucky v Bellarmine
23 Dec 2025
KENT99
BELL85
29 Nov 2022
KENT60
BELL41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-94
59
94
-35
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-53
42-43
47-19
52-34
27-44
39-39
50-20
38-26
43-28
61-26
31-31
33-36
20-43
39-51
52-31
51-36
32-39
40-21
25-32
53-34
150.7Avg total
82.1Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.866.3150.1+17.467%
Season at home (11)83.463.6147.0+19.773%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.168.6150.7+13.560%
Last 5 (5)75.270.8146.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.891.8164.5-19.00%
vs Similar (18)77.677.1154.7+0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.156.4150.5+37.8100%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Hanover
#540
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H15/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
99-60
99
60
+39
H04/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
41-52
41-25
53-30
38-51
48-43
30-37
49-49
35-31
35-27
35-38
39-31
45-30
54-30
34-47
34-34
38-44
38-36
27-36
52-28
154.1Avg total
79.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.777.2154.9+0.545%
Season at home (6)84.770.3155.0+14.367%
Season away (5)69.485.4154.8-16.020%
Last 10 (10)79.674.5154.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)79.270.8150.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.182.7153.8-11.611%
vs Similar (10)74.377.1151.4-2.830%
vs Weaker (1)99.060.0159.0+39.0100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +10.2+10.22nd half: +8.3+8.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +10.2+10.22nd half: +8.3+8.3
KentuckyBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H20/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.072.5+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.031.469.4+6.665%-
Last 30 away (10)36.242.378.5-6.130%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.071.3+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.267.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.847.279.0-15.50%-
vs Similar (18)35.337.873.1-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.122.667.8+22.5100%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#292
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A09/11
NCAA
Hanover
#540
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H15/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H18/12
NCAA
73.8Avg total
35.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.138.072.0-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.336.572.9-0.233%-
Last 30 away (15)31.839.471.2-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.573.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.074.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.639.372.9-5.711%-
vs Similar (10)33.137.670.7-4.540%-
vs Weaker (1)45.030.075.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kentucky wins
0
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22Kentucky v Bellarmine60-41
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)78-66
14/12/25HIndiana72-60
10/12/25HN. Carolina Central103-67
06/12/25HGonzaga59-94
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67
27/11/25HTennessee Tech104-54
22/11/25HLoyola Maryland88-46
18/11/25HMichigan State66-83
15/11/25HEastern Illinois99-53
12/11/25ALouisville88-96
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HChattanooga Mocs79-64
13/12/25HNorthern Kentucky76-80
06/12/25AMurray State68-81
04/12/25HMidway99-60
26/11/25HHouston Christian74-69
25/11/25ACitadel70-58
20/11/25ANotre Dame79-86
15/11/25HWofford86-94
13/11/25HHanover94-55
09/11/25AKansas State71-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %67%73%0%
Points / game83.883.488.0
Allowed / game66.363.696.0
Point differential+17.4+19.7-8.0
Avg total150.1147.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game77.784.769.4
Allowed / game77.270.385.4
Point differential+0.5+14.3-16.0
Avg total154.9155.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt12120100%94.172.2+21.9
2 Georgia1211192%99.871.8+28.0
3 LSU1211192%88.971.8+17.2
4 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
5 Texas A&M129375%95.076.8+18.2
6 Tennessee129375%82.264.5+17.7
7 Arkansas129375%89.574.9+14.6
8 Oklahoma129375%86.972.7+14.2
9 Alabama129375%93.981.9+12.0
10 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
11 Kentucky128467%83.866.3+17.4
12 Florida128467%84.370.2+14.1
13 South Carolina128467%79.868.3+11.4
14 Auburn128467%84.277.8+6.5
15 Mississippi St.128467%80.176.2+3.9
16 Ole Miss127558%74.268.4+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lipscomb127558%83.374.6+8.8
2 Austin Peay105550%76.369.2+7.1
3 West Georgia126650%76.280.7-4.4
4 Bellarmine115645%77.777.2+0.5
5 North Alabama115645%70.775.5-4.8
6 Florida Gulf Coast125742%83.183.6-0.5
7 Queens Royals125742%84.087.6-3.6
8 Central Arkansas135838%76.374.2+2.2
9 Eastern Kentucky134931%79.179.5-0.4
10 Stetson134931%68.880.7-11.9
11 North Florida1221017%78.890.2-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky465399
Bellarmine384785
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