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Kentucky vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-69
37-36 36-33
Position#86
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game64.1
vs
Position#174
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H12/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A12/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
H17/03
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
106-63
106
63
+43
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
40-38
22-33
40-36
37-37
34-34
49-26
46-37
38-22
39-30
34-36
28-26
49-30
57-33
25-41
47-47
54-23
42-33
21-21
39-20
147.5Avg total
80.1Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.364.1147.4+19.171%
Season at home (5)86.855.0141.8+31.8100%
Season away (2)74.587.0161.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)80.167.4147.5+12.760%
Last 5 (5)82.266.8149.0+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.088.0160.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.270.6144.8+3.744%
vs Weaker (20)81.465.3146.8+16.190%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A17/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A19/03
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A24/03
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
91-60
91
60
+31
A16/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
46-27
32-37
44-31
28-31
27-32
40-28
35-28
42-45
46-38
38-32
53-28
28-46
34-41
33-31
30-32
37-27
41-41
45-34
23-36
142.2Avg total
73.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.070.0146.0+6.071%
Season at home (5)75.868.6144.4+7.280%
Season away (2)76.573.5150.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.868.4142.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)73.870.2144.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.170.7144.9+3.457%
vs Similar ◀ (20)71.270.8142.0+0.450%
vs Weaker (3)83.776.7160.3+7.0100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +4.5+4.5
KentuckyMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A12/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/03
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H30/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
36.6Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.669.1+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.530.270.8+10.382%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.567.0+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)36.630.266.8+6.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.266.8+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.041.066.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.033.468.4+1.644%-
vs Weaker (20)39.230.469.6+8.980%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#14
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A17/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A19/03
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A24/03
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H07/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.268.9+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.333.370.7+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)32.035.167.1-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.769.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.070.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.436.969.3-4.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)34.932.667.5+2.255%-
vs Weaker (3)38.738.777.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
Michigan wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22HBellarmine60-41
23/11/22HNorth Florida96-56
21/11/22AGonzaga72-88
18/11/22HSouth Carolina St106-63
16/11/22AMichigan State77-86 OT
12/11/22HDuquesne77-52
07/11/22HHoward95-63
17/03/22HSt. Peters79-85 OT
12/03/22ATennessee62-69
12/03/22HVanderbilt77-71
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22HVirginia68-70
24/11/22HJackson State78-68
21/11/22HOhio70-66 OT
18/11/22AArizona State62-87
16/11/22APittsburgh91-60
12/11/22HEastern Michigan88-83
07/11/22HIPFW75-56
24/03/22AVillanova55-63
19/03/22ATennessee76-68
17/03/22AColorado State75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%100%0%
Points / game83.386.874.5
Allowed / game64.155.087.0
Point differential+19.1+31.8-12.5
Avg total147.4141.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%50%
Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game76.075.876.5
Allowed / game70.068.673.5
Point differential+6.0+7.2+3.0
Avg total146.0144.4150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas660100%80.555.2+25.3
2 Missouri880100%92.671.9+20.8
3 Auburn880100%73.058.0+15.0
4 Arkansas87188%79.962.4+17.5
5 Mississippi St.87188%67.852.0+15.8
6 Alabama87188%83.568.5+15.0
7 LSU87188%72.061.4+10.6
8 Tennessee76186%72.353.1+19.1
9 Georgia97278%69.261.6+7.7
10 Oklahoma86275%65.858.5+7.2
11 Ole Miss86275%69.163.5+5.6
12 Kentucky75271%83.364.1+19.1
13 Florida85362%80.071.2+8.8
14 Texas A&M85362%77.671.2+6.4
15 Vanderbilt84450%67.866.5+1.2
16 South Carolina84450%63.871.4-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maryland880100%80.861.0+19.8
2 Purdue770100%77.160.9+16.3
3 Indiana87188%82.260.5+21.8
4 Iowa76186%86.467.9+18.6
5 Illinois86275%80.960.5+20.4
6 Rutgers86275%73.154.1+19.0
7 UCLA86275%82.664.1+18.5
8 Ohio State86275%80.563.2+17.2
9 Penn State86275%76.967.2+9.6
10 Wisconsin86275%66.459.9+6.5
11 Washington86275%69.864.0+5.8
12 Northwestern75271%64.156.7+7.4
13 Michigan75271%76.070.0+6.0
14 USC85362%71.565.9+5.6
15 Nebraska85362%70.865.2+5.5
16 Michigan State85362%71.170.6+0.5
17 Minnesota74357%62.163.1-1.0
18 Oregon84450%68.864.4+4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky373673
Michigan363369
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