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Michigan State vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-77 (OT)
36-34 26-28 24-15
Position#108
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game59.5
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Kentucky
USA
Position#86
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game57.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#159
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A12/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
42-43
33-43
36-37
46-26
31-41
43-34
33-38
24-22
45-41
20-27
50-48
32-31
42-42
35-39
41-46
34-20
39-35
38-31
25-33
143.8Avg total
71.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.059.5127.5+8.550%
Season at home (1)73.055.0128.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)63.064.0127.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)71.772.1143.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.270.4141.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.373.7144.0-3.443%
vs Similar ◀ (20)72.169.0141.1+3.060%
vs Weaker (3)75.067.7142.7+7.3100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#147
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H12/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A12/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
H17/03
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H07/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-46
43-35
23-31
48-35
28-34
45-41
44-35
39-37
38-26
33-37
37-33
40-38
22-33
40-36
37-37
34-34
49-26
46-37
38-22
39-30
147.5Avg total
77.8Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.057.5143.5+28.5100%
Season at home (2)86.057.5143.5+28.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.869.7147.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)78.068.0146.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.968.6142.5+5.250%
vs Weaker (22)81.066.5147.5+14.586%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
Michigan StateKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#159
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Purdue
#23
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Davidson
#17
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H19/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A11/11
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.865.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.730.866.5+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)31.732.964.6-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.331.765.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.829.661.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.632.966.4+0.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)33.431.865.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker (3)36.329.766.0+6.7100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#147
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Florida
#131
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A05/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A12/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/03
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H12/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.469.3+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.630.971.5+9.789%-
Last 30 away (12)33.932.266.1+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.368.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.266.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.133.168.2+2.050%-
vs Weaker (22)39.030.869.7+8.286%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/22AGonzaga63-64
08/11/22HNorthern Arizona73-55
20/03/22ADuke76-85
19/03/22HDavidson74-73
12/03/22APurdue70-75
11/03/22AWisconsin69-63
10/03/22HMaryland76-72
06/03/22HMaryland77-67
04/03/22AOhio State69-80
02/03/22AMichigan70-87
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/22HDuquesne77-52
07/11/22HHoward95-63
17/03/22HSt. Peters79-85 OT
12/03/22ATennessee62-69
12/03/22HVanderbilt77-71
05/03/22AFlorida71-63
02/03/22HOle Miss83-72
26/02/22AArkansas73-75
24/02/22HLSU71-66
19/02/22HAlabama90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game68.073.063.0
Allowed / game59.555.064.0
Point differential+8.5+18.0-1.0
Avg total127.5128.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game57.557.5-
Point differential+28.5+28.5-
Avg total143.5143.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana220100%94.551.0+43.5
2 Iowa220100%100.564.5+36.0
3 Illinois330100%92.056.7+35.3
4 Ohio State220100%86.554.5+32.0
5 Rutgers330100%78.750.0+28.7
6 UCLA330100%85.058.3+26.7
7 Purdue220100%73.548.5+25.0
8 Maryland220100%71.050.0+21.0
9 Northwestern330100%74.354.3+20.0
10 Penn State330100%83.765.0+18.7
11 Wisconsin220100%72.554.5+18.0
12 Nebraska220100%77.063.5+13.5
13 Michigan220100%81.569.5+12.0
14 Washington330100%74.062.0+12.0
15 Minnesota32167%62.061.0+1.0
16 USC21150%78.566.0+12.5
17 Oregon21150%68.057.0+11.0
18 Michigan State21150%68.059.5+8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas220100%77.044.0+33.0
2 Alabama220100%85.056.5+28.5
3 Kentucky220100%86.057.5+28.5
4 Texas A&M220100%82.056.0+26.0
5 Arkansas220100%75.053.0+22.0
6 Missouri330100%90.376.3+14.0
7 Ole Miss220100%76.562.5+14.0
8 Auburn220100%68.555.5+13.0
9 LSU220100%67.557.5+10.0
10 South Carolina220100%70.067.5+2.5
11 Florida32167%81.066.3+14.7
12 Mississippi St.32167%65.754.7+11.0
13 Georgia32167%72.068.7+3.3
14 Tennessee21150%70.560.5+10.0
15 Oklahoma21150%58.555.0+3.5
16 Vanderbilt2020%57.568.0-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Michigan State36262486
Kentucky34281577
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