PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 68-70
45-34 23-36
Position#174
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#36
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game57.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H10/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A17/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A19/03
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A24/03
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
91-60
91
60
+31
A16/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-28
28-46
29-36
46-27
32-37
44-31
28-31
27-32
40-28
35-28
42-45
46-38
38-32
53-28
28-46
34-41
33-31
30-32
37-27
41-41
142.7Avg total
73.9Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.370.0147.3+7.383%
Season at home (4)77.868.2146.0+9.5100%
Season away (2)76.573.5150.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.968.8142.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)77.872.8150.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.170.7144.9+3.457%
vs Similar ◀ (20)72.269.8141.9+2.455%
vs Weaker (3)83.776.7160.3+7.0100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-24
0-0
31-26
0-0
13-33
0-0
30-30
0-0
27-19
0-0
33-38
0-0
26-24
0-0
29-31
0-0
17-21
0-0
34-31
0-0
38-30
0-0
35-31
0-0
42-21
0-0
47-21
0-0
30-33
0-0
56-46
0-0
29-31
0-0
41-30
0-0
40-22
0-0
32-23
124.5Avg total
66.6Scored
57.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.057.6135.6+20.4100%
Season at home (4)76.052.2128.2+23.8100%
Season away (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)66.657.9124.5+8.780%
Last 5 (5)78.057.6135.6+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.163.9120.0-7.729%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.763.2131.9+5.571%
vs Weaker (8)68.655.6124.2+13.088%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +6.1+6.1
MichiganVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#126
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A17/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#29
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A19/03
NCAA
Villanova
#20
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A24/03
NCAA
IPFW
#173
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H07/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.868.6+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.632.470.0+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)32.035.167.1-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.168.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.271.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.436.969.3-4.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.031.967.0+3.155%-
vs Weaker (3)38.738.777.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#265
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
13-33
13
33
-20
A11/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#17
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H16/03
NIT
North Texas
#12
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A20/03
NIT
St. Bonaventure
#4
L
17-21
17
21
-4
H22/03
NIT
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#130
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H25/11
NCAA
54.0Avg total
28.2Scored
25.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.027.557.5+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.524.955.5+5.671%-
Last 30 away (13)29.230.960.2-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)28.225.854.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.827.463.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.728.354.0-2.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.929.960.7+1.043%-
vs Weaker (8)32.523.956.4+8.675%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22HJackson State78-68
21/11/22HOhio70-66 OT
18/11/22AArizona State62-87
16/11/22APittsburgh91-60
12/11/22HEastern Michigan88-83
07/11/22HIPFW75-56
24/03/22AVillanova55-63
19/03/22ATennessee76-68
17/03/22AColorado State75-63
10/03/22HIndiana69-74
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22HMd.-East. Shore72-45
20/11/22HIllinois70-61
19/11/22ABaylor86-79
12/11/22HMonmouth89-42
08/11/22HN. Carolina Central73-61
22/03/22HSt. Bonaventure51-52
20/03/22ANorth Texas71-69 OT
16/03/22HMississippi St.60-57
11/03/22ANorth Carolina43-63
10/03/22HLouisville51-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game77.377.876.5
Allowed / game70.068.273.5
Point differential+7.3+9.5+3.0
Avg total147.3146.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.076.086.0
Allowed / game57.652.279.0
Point differential+20.4+23.8+7.0
Avg total135.6128.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana660100%88.859.3+29.5
2 Maryland770100%82.160.3+21.9
3 Purdue660100%76.859.5+17.3
4 Illinois76186%83.059.0+24.0
5 Iowa76186%86.467.9+18.6
6 Washington76186%70.463.7+6.7
7 Rutgers65183%76.852.8+24.0
8 Ohio State65183%79.361.0+18.3
9 Michigan65183%77.370.0+7.3
10 Penn State86275%76.967.2+9.6
11 UCLA75271%83.063.9+19.1
12 Northwestern75271%64.156.7+7.4
13 Wisconsin75271%64.457.4+7.0
14 Michigan State75271%73.970.7+3.1
15 USC74357%72.368.0+4.3
16 Nebraska74357%68.365.0+3.3
17 Minnesota74357%62.163.1-1.0
18 Oregon73443%68.065.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia550100%78.057.6+20.4
2 NC State87188%83.065.4+17.6
3 Virginia Tech87188%76.864.2+12.5
4 Wake Forest87188%81.269.2+12.0
5 Notre Dame65183%74.770.2+4.5
6 Duke86275%70.857.0+13.8
7 Clemson86275%75.866.6+9.1
8 North Carolina75271%82.675.1+7.4
9 Boston College75271%64.362.1+2.1
10 Miami (FL)149564%75.269.8+5.4
11 Pittsburgh85362%73.267.2+6.0
12 Georgia Tech74357%69.966.3+3.6
13 SMU Mustangs63350%67.365.2+2.2
14 Stanford73443%66.663.3+3.3
15 Syracuse73443%70.470.4+0.0
16 Florida State81712%66.175.4-9.2
17 California7070%58.465.9-7.4
18 Louisville7070%58.073.0-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan452368
Virginia343670
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.