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Kentucky vs NC Wilmington Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-80
33-41 40-39
Position#50
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#60
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC Wilmington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#127
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H11/03
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H17/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A19/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H07/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
39-41
38-31
23-22
26-29
43-46
37-29
49-17
38-30
43-31
48-41
36-48
58-37
43-30
41-38
36-39
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
157.8Avg total
86.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.472.3166.7+22.186%
Season at home (7)94.472.3166.7+22.186%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.471.4157.8+15.070%
Last 5 (5)98.879.8178.6+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.362.7123.0-2.367%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.473.3148.8+2.158%
vs Weaker (15)82.769.0151.7+13.773%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#172
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#590
W
105-66
105
66
+39
H07/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A11/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#560
W
116-80
116
80
+36
H15/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
56-86
56
86
-30
H21/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A25/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
39-30
42-43
29-28
27-24
31-39
55-31
50-35
45-26
38-40
56-37
60-43
35-37
37-35
34-33
22-53
37-25
34-30
36-29
30-45
150.2Avg total
79.0Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.972.6155.4+10.371%
Season at home (4)90.078.2168.2+11.875%
Season away (3)73.365.0138.3+8.367%
Last 10 (10)79.071.2150.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)78.475.2153.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.674.0136.6-11.420%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.569.0137.5-0.567%
vs Weaker (19)75.665.1140.7+10.584%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -0.8-0.8
KentuckyNC Wilmington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#127
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H17/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A19/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
78.3Avg total
43.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.472.0+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.134.674.8+5.565%-
Last 30 away (10)32.534.166.6-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.278.3+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)51.638.890.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.026.758.7+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.834.670.4+1.250%-
vs Weaker (15)40.135.976.0+4.360%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#172
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#590
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H07/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A11/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#560
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A25/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A01/12
NCAA
72.4Avg total
40.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.966.1+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.770.3+6.880%-
Last 30 away (15)31.730.161.9+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.372.4+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.271.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.437.068.4-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.330.764.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker (19)36.729.466.1+7.389%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
NC Wilmington wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
21/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks96-88 OT
18/11/23HStonehill101-67
15/11/23HKansas84-89
11/11/23HTX A&M Commerce81-61
07/11/23HNew Mexico State86-46
19/03/23AKansas State69-75
17/03/23HProvidence61-53
11/03/23HVanderbilt73-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23AEast Carolina66-74
25/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast71-55
21/11/23HAppalachian State56-86
20/11/23HMurray State83-81 OT
15/11/23HColumbia International116-80
11/11/23AUNC Asheville83-66
07/11/23HMount Olive Trojans105-66
08/03/23ACharleston58-63
06/03/23AHofstra79-73 OT
05/03/23HDrexel73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW86%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %86%86%-
Points / game94.494.4-
Allowed / game72.372.3-
Point differential+22.1+22.1-
Avg total166.7166.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%14%-
NC Wilmington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game82.990.073.3
Allowed / game72.678.265.0
Point differential+10.3+11.8+8.3
Avg total155.4168.2138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma770100%87.463.6+23.9
2 South Carolina770100%76.764.3+12.4
3 Ole Miss770100%73.366.3+7.0
4 Kentucky76186%94.472.3+22.1
5 Texas76186%81.365.9+15.4
6 Mississippi St.76186%73.460.3+13.1
7 Auburn65183%81.064.8+16.2
8 Missouri86275%74.666.6+8.0
9 Texas A&M86275%75.268.1+7.1
10 Alabama75271%94.976.3+18.6
11 LSU85362%74.568.6+5.9
12 Arkansas85362%80.675.2+5.4
13 Georgia85362%71.670.9+0.8
14 Tennessee74357%76.367.0+9.3
15 Florida74357%84.175.7+8.4
16 Vanderbilt73443%70.374.6-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hofstra75271%84.970.3+14.6
2 NC Wilmington75271%82.972.6+10.3
3 Elon85362%84.177.0+7.1
4 Drexel85362%64.159.4+4.8
5 Charleston74357%72.473.7-1.3
6 Northeastern94544%74.676.0-1.4
7 Monmouth94544%69.877.0-7.2
8 William & Mary83538%77.574.6+2.9
9 Campbell83538%62.063.5-1.5
10 Towson83538%57.163.2-6.1
11 Hampton72529%77.078.4-1.4
12 Stony Brook72529%68.070.9-2.9
13 N. Carolina A&T7070%68.392.0-23.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky334073
NC Wilmington413980
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