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NC Wilmington vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 56-86
34-33 22-53
Position#60
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · NC Wilmington v Appalachian State
30 Nov 2024
NC W76
APPA61
21 Nov 2023
NC W56
APPA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A18/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#313
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Drexel
#172
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#590
W
105-66
105
66
+39
H07/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A11/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#560
W
116-80
116
80
+36
H15/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-42
37-33
41-36
35-33
36-25
17-32
34-38
39-30
42-43
29-28
27-24
31-39
55-31
50-35
45-26
38-40
56-37
60-43
35-37
37-35
149.0Avg total
79.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.873.2170.0+23.5100%
Season at home (3)101.375.7177.0+25.7100%
Season away (1)83.066.0149.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.269.8149.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)89.071.2160.2+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.674.0136.6-11.420%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.763.5136.2+9.283%
vs Weaker (19)75.464.6140.0+10.889%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
71-81 OT
71
81
-10
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-19
21-26
26-40
31-34
33-31
49-44
35-32
28-42
42-25
36-27
29-29
35-44
37-34
24-34
44-21
43-28
36-48
42-43
32-43
31-20
137.5Avg total
69.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.773.7152.3+5.033%
Season at home (1)87.049.0136.0+38.0100%
Season away (2)74.586.0160.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)69.368.2137.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.272.4144.6-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.067.0127.0-7.020%
vs Similar ◀ (9)61.466.9128.3-5.411%
vs Weaker (16)76.563.1139.6+13.475%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -0.2-0.2
NC WilmingtonAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A18/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#313
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H24/02
NCAA
Towson
#94
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H26/02
NCAA
Drexel
#172
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#590
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H07/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A11/11
NCAA
Columbia International
#560
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
40.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.730.264.9+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.430.468.8+8.081%-
Last 30 away (14)30.430.160.5+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.973.9+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.074.6+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.437.068.4-5.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.328.361.7+5.050%-
vs Weaker (19)35.929.165.0+6.984%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A15/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.063.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.827.560.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)34.432.466.8+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.266.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.070.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.830.456.2-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.330.662.9+1.867%-
vs Weaker (16)36.829.566.2+7.275%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC Wilmington wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HMurray State83-81 OT
15/11/23HColumbia International116-80
11/11/23AUNC Asheville83-66
07/11/23HMount Olive Trojans105-66
08/03/23ACharleston58-63
06/03/23AHofstra79-73 OT
05/03/23HDrexel73-68
26/02/23HTowson53-57
24/02/23HStony Brook76-69
18/02/23ADelaware66-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23AOregon State71-81 OT
11/11/23ANorthern Illinois78-91
07/11/23HOakland City87-49
02/03/23ASouth Alabama61-68
25/02/23AGeorgia Southern64-73
23/02/23AGeorgia State78-52
18/02/23HOld Dominion63-74
16/02/23HTexas State82-75
11/02/23ASouth Alabama57-74
10/02/23ALouisiana Monroe52-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.8101.383.0
Allowed / game73.275.766.0
Point differential+23.5+25.7+17.0
Avg total170.0177.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game78.787.074.5
Allowed / game73.749.086.0
Point differential+5.0+38.0-11.5
Avg total152.3136.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Drexel53260%65.260.8+4.4
3 Hofstra42250%82.565.2+17.2
4 Elon63350%77.380.2-2.8
5 Stony Brook52340%69.271.4-2.2
6 Northeastern52340%71.274.4-3.2
7 Charleston52340%69.474.2-4.8
8 William & Mary62433%77.070.0+7.0
9 Hampton62433%77.278.2-1.0
10 Towson62433%57.064.5-7.5
11 Campbell41325%60.265.8-5.5
12 Monmouth41325%59.077.5-18.5
13 N. Carolina A&T3030%60.391.3-31.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%93.885.8+8.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette42250%85.574.0+11.5
3 Georgia State42250%79.076.5+2.5
4 Marshall42250%72.872.8+0.0
5 Louisiana Monroe42250%67.873.8-6.0
6 Texas State42250%66.872.8-6.0
7 South Alabama63350%75.882.0-6.2
8 Troy52340%87.870.0+17.8
9 Southern Miss52340%65.260.0+5.2
10 Appalachian State31233%78.773.7+5.0
11 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern5050%69.283.4-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Wilmington342256
Appalachian State335386
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