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Kentucky vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-61
38-30 43-31
Position#50
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game46.0
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
TX A&M Commerce
USA
Position#290
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game46.0
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#125
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A04/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H11/03
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H17/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A19/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
35-33
39-19
27-35
36-37
46-37
40-29
46-25
30-34
36-34
40-36
48-43
34-39
39-41
38-31
23-22
26-29
43-46
37-29
49-17
139.9Avg total
74.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.046.0132.0+40.0100%
Season at home (1)86.046.0132.0+40.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.865.1139.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)75.466.6142.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.662.0122.6-1.460%
vs Similar (12)74.571.7146.2+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.563.8140.2+12.769%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
H02/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
46-78
46
78
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
46-73
46
73
-27
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-42
28-30
38-50
40-34
38-38
32-32
36-36
36-35
38-36
46-44
27-40
48-39
37-39
41-39
35-35
43-44
27-42
19-36
17-41
29-32
149.4Avg total
70.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)46.075.5121.5-29.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)46.075.5121.5-29.50%
Last 10 (10)70.778.7149.4-8.020%
Last 5 (5)66.680.4147.0-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.576.8144.2-9.331%
vs Similar (8)74.178.6152.8-4.525%
vs Weaker (9)73.065.6138.6+7.467%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: -0.3-0.3
KentuckyTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#125
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H18/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A04/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Providence
#92
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H17/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A19/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H07/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.867.6+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.032.168.2+3.955%-
Last 30 away (10)32.534.166.6-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.631.867.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.867.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.228.459.6+2.860%-
vs Similar (12)34.934.269.1+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.233.269.4+3.146%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A09/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
32.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.235.768.9-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.535.072.5+2.542%-
Last 30 away (18)30.336.266.5-5.828%-
Last 10 (10)32.939.972.8-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)28.639.468.0-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.837.068.8-5.231%-
vs Similar (8)33.235.969.1-2.638%-
vs Weaker (9)35.233.768.9+1.633%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
No previous meetings.
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HNew Mexico State86-46
19/03/23AKansas State69-75
17/03/23HProvidence61-53
11/03/23HVanderbilt73-80
04/03/23AArkansas88-79
02/03/23HVanderbilt66-68
25/02/23HAuburn86-54
23/02/23AFlorida82-74
18/02/23HTennessee66-54
16/02/23AMississippi St.71-68
TX A&M Commercelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23ATexas Tech46-73
07/11/23ATexas A&M46-78
05/03/23HMcNeese State78-79
02/03/23HTexas A&M-CC88-93 OT
25/02/23AIncarnate Word75-79
24/02/23ATexas A&M-CC84-80
21/02/23ANicholls State72-71
18/02/23HSE Louisiana76-78 OT
17/02/23HNew Orleans78-84
11/02/23ANorthwestern St.64-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game46.046.0-
Point differential+40.0+40.0-
Avg total132.0132.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game46.0-46.0
Allowed / game75.5-75.5
Point differential-29.5--29.5
Avg total121.5-121.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU110100%106.060.0+46.0
2 Kentucky110100%86.046.0+40.0
3 Tennessee110100%80.042.0+38.0
4 Arkansas110100%93.059.0+34.0
5 Alabama110100%105.073.0+32.0
6 Texas110100%88.056.0+32.0
7 Texas A&M110100%78.046.0+32.0
8 Oklahoma110100%89.059.0+30.0
9 South Carolina110100%82.053.0+29.0
10 Missouri110100%101.079.0+22.0
11 Florida110100%93.073.0+20.0
12 Mississippi St.110100%71.056.0+15.0
13 Ole Miss110100%69.059.0+10.0
14 Auburn1010%82.088.0-6.0
15 Vanderbilt1010%62.068.0-6.0
16 Georgia1010%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC110100%111.046.0+65.0
2 UTRGV110100%110.059.0+51.0
3 New Orleans110100%100.070.0+30.0
4 McNeese State220100%86.060.0+26.0
5 SE Louisiana110100%90.071.0+19.0
6 Lamar21150%90.572.0+18.5
7 Northwestern St.21150%86.071.0+15.0
8 Stephen F. Austin21150%79.067.5+11.5
9 Nicholls State1010%81.091.0-10.0
10 TX A&M Commerce2020%46.075.5-29.5
11 Incarnate Word1010%56.088.0-32.0
12 Houston Christian1010%63.0110.0-47.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky384381
TX A&M Commerce303161
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