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Kentucky W vs Morehead State W Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 75-59
25-17 18-10 20-19 12-13
Position#79
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Kentucky W 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State W
USA
Position#181
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA Women
Women2025-26
Meetings · Kentucky W v Morehead State W
02 Nov 2026
KENT85
MORE42
03 Nov 2025
KENT75
MORE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kentucky WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss W
#72
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A11/02
NCAA Women
Texas Longhorns W
#6
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H14/02
NCAA Women
Georgia W
#271
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H16/02
NCAA Women
Missouri Tigers W
#229
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A21/02
NCAA Women
LSU Tigers W
#21
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H23/02
NCAA Women
Tennessee Volunteers W
#73
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H28/02
NCAA Women
South Carolina W
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A02/03
NCAA Women
Oklahoma Sooners W
#47
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H07/03
NCAA Women
Liberty W
#28
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H21/03
NCAA Women
Kansas State W
#44
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
H23/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-13
10-17
10-18
14-16
11-17
10-24
14-10
30-15
15-15
17-10
22-15
18-18
13-16
23-13
19-18
14-12
24-14
6-23
14-16
20-9
25-17
29-19
8-13
14-21
19-20
20-17
13-20
19-18
12-8
18-24
16-19
23-14
21-20
20-16
15-28
20-15
11-18
22-21
16-15
137.3Avg total
69.2Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.268.1137.3+1.140%
Last 5 (5)74.272.6146.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.168.7135.9-1.629%
vs Similar (10)79.270.9150.1+8.380%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.957.6134.5+19.392%
This opponent (Morehead State W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead State WUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana W
#90
L
52-72
52
72
-20
H28/01
NCAA Women
Tennessee Tech W
#29
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H30/01
NCAA Women
SE Missouri State W
#337
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H06/02
NCAA Women
UALR W
#218
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H08/02
NCAA Women
Lindenwood W
#62
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/02
NCAA Women
Western Illinois W
#182
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
A15/02
NCAA Women
Siu Edwardsville W
#333
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H20/02
NCAA Women
Eastern Illinois W
#115
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H22/02
NCAA Women
Tennessee State W
#314
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A27/02
NCAA Women
UT Martin W
#230
W
100-77
100
77
+23
A01/03
NCAA Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
23-20
7-19
11-18
15-25
21-16
11-20
26-21
20-14
11-9
15-18
17-16
17-3
14-15
19-19
13-29
13-24
10-14
18-7
20-23
14-10
18-16
16-19
16-19
24-25
15-24
21-16
15-18
16-14
9-15
23-20
14-12
26-9
11-19
16-21
8-23
26-21
31-19
26-20
17-17
139.9Avg total
68.3Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.371.6139.9-3.330%
Last 5 (5)74.274.2148.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.380.9145.3-16.613%
vs Similar (6)63.263.8127.0-0.733%
vs Weaker (6)74.364.5138.8+9.867%
This opponent (Kentucky W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
Kentucky WMorehead State W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kentucky WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss W
#72
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/02
NCAA Women
Texas Longhorns W
#6
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H14/02
NCAA Women
Georgia W
#271
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/02
NCAA Women
Missouri Tigers W
#229
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/02
NCAA Women
LSU Tigers W
#21
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H23/02
NCAA Women
Tennessee Volunteers W
#73
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H28/02
NCAA Women
South Carolina W
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A02/03
NCAA Women
Oklahoma Sooners W
#47
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H07/03
NCAA Women
Liberty W
#28
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/03
NCAA Women
Kansas State W
#44
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/03
NCAA Women
67.4Avg total
36.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.229.166.3+8.069%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.128.865.8+8.367%-
Last 30 away (11)37.429.767.1+7.673%-
Last 10 (10)36.031.467.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.068.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.632.667.1+2.043%-
vs Similar (10)37.832.970.7+4.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.224.062.2+14.283%-
This opponent (Morehead State W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead State WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana W
#90
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/01
NCAA Women
Tennessee Tech W
#29
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/01
NCAA Women
SE Missouri State W
#337
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H06/02
NCAA Women
UALR W
#218
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H08/02
NCAA Women
Lindenwood W
#62
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A13/02
NCAA Women
Western Illinois W
#182
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A15/02
NCAA Women
Siu Edwardsville W
#333
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/02
NCAA Women
Eastern Illinois W
#115
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H22/02
NCAA Women
Tennessee State W
#314
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A27/02
NCAA Women
UT Martin W
#230
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A01/03
NCAA Women
67.2Avg total
34.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.234.968.0-1.732%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.433.668.0+0.929%-
Last 30 away (14)31.936.168.1-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.767.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.472.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.139.870.9-8.713%-
vs Similar (6)32.029.861.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (6)36.331.267.5+5.250%-
This opponent (Kentucky W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky W wins
0
Morehead State W wins
No previous meetings.
Kentucky Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HKansas State W79-80 OT
21/03/25HLiberty W79-78
07/03/25HOklahoma Sooners W65-69
02/03/25ASouth Carolina W66-78
28/02/25HTennessee Volunteers W82-58
23/02/25HLSU Tigers W58-65
21/02/25AMissouri Tigers W73-65
16/02/25HGeorgia W84-55
14/02/25HTexas Longhorns W49-67
11/02/25AOle Miss W57-66
Morehead State Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AUT Martin W100-77
27/02/25ATennessee State W61-72
22/02/25HEastern Illinois W62-61
20/02/25HSiu Edwardsville W75-83
15/02/25AWestern Illinois W73-78 OT
13/02/25ALindenwood W61-68
08/02/25HUALR W63-66
06/02/25HSE Missouri State W63-57
30/01/25HTennessee Tech W73-82
28/01/25HSouthern Indiana W52-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky W
NCAA Women 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Morehead State W
NCAA Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston W110100%135.041.0+94.0
2 Florida State W110100%112.039.0+73.0
3 South Dakota W110100%104.033.0+71.0
4 Youngstown State W110100%104.033.0+71.0
5 Texas A&M-CC W110100%100.030.0+70.0
6 Austin Peay W110100%115.046.0+69.0
7 Presbyterian College W110100%113.045.0+68.0
8 East Texas A&M Lions W110100%113.048.0+65.0
9 Mcneese State W110100%100.038.0+62.0
10 Oakland W110100%90.032.0+58.0
11 Jacksonville St. W110100%92.035.0+57.0
12 Nebraska Cornhuskers W110100%103.046.0+57.0
13 SE Louisiana W110100%105.049.0+56.0
14 Binghamton W110100%86.035.0+51.0
15 Iowa State W110100%85.036.0+49.0
16 Chattanooga Mocs W110100%82.034.0+48.0
17 North Carolina W110100%90.042.0+48.0
18 St. Bonaventure W110100%82.034.0+48.0
19 Ole Miss W110100%87.046.0+41.0
20 New Hampshire Wildcats W110100%72.032.0+40.0
21 George Washington W110100%86.047.0+39.0
22 UCF W110100%75.036.0+39.0
23 Clemson W110100%76.038.0+38.0
24 Army W110100%86.050.0+36.0
25 Miami Hurricanes W110100%83.048.0+35.0
26 James Madison W110100%80.048.0+32.0
27 Marquette W110100%89.057.0+32.0
28 Oral Roberts W110100%97.065.0+32.0
29 Stephen F. Austin W110100%85.054.0+31.0
30 Duquesne W110100%89.060.0+29.0
31 Georgia W110100%73.044.0+29.0
32 Penn State W110100%83.055.0+28.0
33 Georgia Southern W110100%98.072.0+26.0
34 Utah Utes W110100%88.062.0+26.0
35 South Florida W110100%81.056.0+25.0
36 UTEP Miners W110100%84.060.0+24.0
37 Samford Bulldogs W110100%75.053.0+22.0
38 Bryant University W110100%71.050.0+21.0
39 Butler W110100%74.053.0+21.0
40 East Carolina W110100%82.063.0+19.0
41 Sam Houston St. W110100%58.039.0+19.0
42 Drake W110100%83.065.0+18.0
43 Oklahoma Sooners W110100%84.067.0+17.0
44 Iona W110100%65.050.0+15.0
45 LIU Sharks W110100%75.060.0+15.0
46 Robert Morris W110100%78.063.0+15.0
47 St. John's (N.Y.) W110100%68.053.0+15.0
48 Marshall Thundering W110100%53.039.0+14.0
49 Auburn W110100%71.058.0+13.0
50 Miami (Ohio) W110100%63.053.0+10.0
51 Quinnipiac Bobcats W110100%65.055.0+10.0
52 Alabama W110100%82.073.0+9.0
53 Fordham W110100%60.051.0+9.0
54 Vanderbilt W110100%74.065.0+9.0
55 Boise State W110100%59.051.0+8.0
56 Wake Forest W110100%71.064.0+7.0
57 Baylor W110100%58.052.0+6.0
58 Middle Tennessee W110100%59.053.0+6.0
59 Arkansas-Pine Bluff W110100%69.064.0+5.0
60 UMass Lowell W110100%54.050.0+4.0
61 West Alabama W110100%62.059.0+3.0
62 Idaho Vandals W110100%87.085.0+2.0
63 Tulane Green Wave W110100%74.072.0+2.0
64 Holy Cross W110100%72.071.0+1.0
65 Boston College W1010%71.072.0-1.0
66 Campbell Fighting Camels W1010%72.074.0-2.0
67 Washington State W1010%85.087.0-2.0
68 UAB W1010%59.062.0-3.0
69 St. Anselm Hawks W1010%50.054.0-4.0
70 Memphis Tigers W1010%64.069.0-5.0
71 Duke W1010%52.058.0-6.0
72 Tennessee State W1010%53.059.0-6.0
73 Radford W1010%64.071.0-7.0
74 Eastern Oregon W1010%51.059.0-8.0
75 Adelphi Panthers W1010%51.060.0-9.0
76 California Golden Bears W1010%65.074.0-9.0
77 Stetson W1010%73.082.0-9.0
78 Boston University W1010%55.065.0-10.0
79 Coastal Carolina W1010%53.063.0-10.0
80 Charlotte 49ers W1010%58.071.0-13.0
81 Buffalo W1010%39.053.0-14.0
82 Le Moyne Dolphins W1010%53.068.0-15.0
83 Mercy Mavericks W1010%50.065.0-15.0
84 Northeastern W1010%60.075.0-15.0
85 UIC W1010%63.078.0-15.0
86 Belmont Bruins W1010%67.084.0-17.0
87 Eastern Illinois W1010%65.083.0-18.0
88 Southwestern Christian W1010%39.058.0-19.0
89 UNC Wilmington W1010%63.082.0-19.0
90 Central Connecticut State W1010%50.071.0-21.0
91 Wright State W1010%53.074.0-21.0
92 Montevallo Falcons W1010%53.075.0-22.0
93 Prairie View A&M W1010%60.084.0-24.0
94 Florida International W1010%56.081.0-25.0
95 Central Michigan W1010%72.098.0-26.0
96 Sioux Falls Cougars W1010%62.088.0-26.0
97 Bucknell W1010%55.083.0-28.0
98 Alabama State W1010%44.073.0-29.0
99 St. Francis (PA) W1010%60.089.0-29.0
100 Nelson Lions W1010%54.085.0-31.0
101 Friends University W1010%65.097.0-32.0
102 Kent State W1010%48.080.0-32.0
103 Winthrop W1010%57.089.0-32.0
104 Hofstra W1010%48.083.0-35.0
105 Pace Setters W1010%50.086.0-36.0
106 South Carolina Upstate W1010%38.076.0-38.0
107 Bethune-Cookman W1010%36.075.0-39.0
108 District of Columbia W1010%47.086.0-39.0
109 Worcester State W1010%32.072.0-40.0
110 Norfolk State W1010%46.087.0-41.0
111 King Tornado W1010%34.082.0-48.0
112 Mansfield Mountaineers W1010%34.082.0-48.0
113 N. Carolina Central W1010%42.090.0-48.0
114 St. Thomas (Minn.) W1010%36.085.0-49.0
115 SUNY Geneseo Knights W1010%35.086.0-51.0
116 Centenary Louisiana W1010%49.0105.0-56.0
117 La Grange W1010%35.092.0-57.0
118 Northwestern St. W1010%46.0103.0-57.0
119 Cleary University W1010%32.090.0-58.0
120 Pensacola Christian W1010%38.0100.0-62.0
121 North Texas-Dallas W1010%48.0113.0-65.0
122 Warren Wilson W1010%45.0113.0-68.0
123 Sewanee Tigers W1010%46.0115.0-69.0
124 CBS Ambassadors W1010%30.0100.0-70.0
125 Thiel W1010%33.0104.0-71.0
126 York W1010%33.0104.0-71.0
127 Florida A&M W1010%39.0112.0-73.0
128 Covenant W1010%41.0135.0-94.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 128 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kentucky W2518201275
Morehead State W1710191359
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