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Keravnos vs Nitra Blue Wings Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 88-79
Projected total 166.9
Scheduled
Position#18
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.7
Vs
75%
25%
■ KER 75%■ NITR 25%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#35
Record2-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game88.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Costas Papaellinas Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Keravnos host Nitra Blue Wings in the FIBA Europe Cup on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring Keravnos at 75% versus 25% for Nitra, a reflection of Keravnos' 4-2 season record, 80.8 points per game and 76.7 allowed, and their 18th place league position compared to Nitra's 2-4 record, 78.8 points per game and 88.2 allowed from 35th place; Keravnos have already beaten Nitra 88-78 on 14 October 2026 and are coming off a 4-1 run in their last five games, including a 86-65 win over Parnu and an 80-73 victory over Apoel BC, while Nitra has won three of their last five, with recent wins over Szczecin and Spisski Rytieri but a loss to Vienna Basket; the projected score is 88-79, with Keravnos expected to score 88 points and Nitra 79, a total of 166.9, and the model gives Keravnos a 75% chance to cover the line, with a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos win
75.2%fair 1.33
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nitra Blue Wings win
24.8%fair 4.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
97avg 87
A10/10
Division A
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
88-78
88
78
+10
92avg 87
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 87
H18/10
Division A
Szczecin
#16
L
65-78
65
78
-13
57avg 87
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 87
A24/10
Division A
Vienna Basket
#32
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 87
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
99avg 87
H31/10
Division A
Nancy
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A07/11
Division A
Parnu
#39
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
26-20
20-14
18-14
23-21
22-16
18-26
25-15
24-22
19-21
35-18
13-21
18-22
21-19
16-19
10-18
19-19
21-18
32-15
18-23
26-22
22-25
22-20
15-16
18-29
26-14
22-29
28-12
17-20
21-22
18-23
17-21
17-21
23-19
24-11
16-22
17-21
22-20
15-11
32-13
161.3Avg total
84.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.876.7157.5+4.267%
Season at home (2)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Season away (4)83.078.0161.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)84.776.6161.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)75.178.0153.1-2.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.874.4166.2+17.490%
This opponent (Nitra Blue Wings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nitra Blue WingsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWings
Date
Competition
Iskra Svit
#11
W
91-65
91
65
+26
93avg 73
H10/10
Extraliga
Keravnos
#18
L
78-88
78
88
-10
62avg 73
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#1
L
79-122
79
122
-43
66avg 73
A17/10
Extraliga
Nancy
#4
L
60-99
60
99
-39
52avg 73
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Levice
#2
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 73
H24/10
Extraliga
Parnu
#39
W
82-80
82
80
+2
75avg 73
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
66avg 73
H31/10
Extraliga
Vienna Basket
#32
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spisski Rytieri
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H07/11
Extraliga
Szczecin
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-19
26-15
21-12
21-23
16-22
26-18
15-25
17-30
18-31
28-33
16-28
16-28
11-18
13-29
20-24
21-15
19-26
15-23
18-21
32-12
13-20
20-26
17-22
17-26
17-25
28-22
22-19
20-19
20-23
21-17
19-25
24-14
23-28
15-25
22-16
27-20
18-23
20-29
27-18
169.1Avg total
80.3Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.888.2167.0-9.333%
Season at home (4)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
Season away (2)70.593.5164.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)80.388.8169.1-8.540%
Last 5 (5)84.485.8170.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.689.9168.4-11.333%
vs Similar (12)77.279.8157.0-2.742%
vs Weaker (9)85.473.1158.6+12.389%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1354%1406%1458%15011%15512%16012%16511%17010%1758%1805%1854%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1252%1356%14511%15512%16510%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 167 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
66.5%
Under 160
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
54.2%
Under 165
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
41.7%
Under 170
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Keravnos total 80.5
Over 80.5
75.6%
Under 80.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keravnos total 84.5
Over 84.5
62.5%
Under 84.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keravnos total 88.5
Over 88.5
47.8%
Under 88.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nitra Blue Wings total 76.5
Over 76.5
59.1%
Under 76.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nitra Blue Wings total 80.5
Over 80.5
44.0%
Under 80.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nitra Blue Wings total 84.5
Over 84.5
29.9%
Under 84.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-67%-36%+09%+310%+610%+99%+128%+157%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+360%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-66%+010%+69%+127%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Keravnos's side (positive = Keravnos win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.8; Keravnos win by 1+ in 70% of simulations.
Spread Keravnos -3
KER -3
69.0%
NITR +3
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
KER
No market prices yet.
NITR
No market prices yet.
Spread Keravnos 0
KER 0
75.2%
NITR 0
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
KER
No market prices yet.
NITR
No market prices yet.
Spread Keravnos +3
KER +3
81.2%
NITR -3
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
KER
No market prices yet.
NITR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
KeravnosNitra Blue Wings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A10/10
Division A
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/10
Division A
Szczecin
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
Division A
Vienna Basket
#32
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H31/10
Division A
Nancy
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/11
Division A
Parnu
#39
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.8Avg total
43.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.783.0+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.783.6+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.939.682.5+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.583.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.140.479.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.737.984.5+8.876%-
This opponent (Nitra Blue Wings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nitra Blue WingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iskra Svit
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/10
Extraliga
Keravnos
#18
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Prievidza
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A17/10
Extraliga
Nancy
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Levice
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
Extraliga
Parnu
#39
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kosice Wolves
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H31/10
Extraliga
Vienna Basket
#32
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spisski Rytieri
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Extraliga
Szczecin
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.5Avg total
39.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.479.4+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.338.479.7+2.867%-
Last 30 away (12)38.240.879.0-2.542%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.183.5-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.084.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.844.183.9-4.344%-
vs Similar (12)36.839.075.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker (9)44.835.179.9+9.789%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.2
55.4%
53.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.2
39.3%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
72.8%13.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nitra Blue Wingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nitra Blue Wings: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
53.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.9
32.8%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
72.8%14.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
WWLWWWLWWW
Nitra Blue Wings
WWLLWLLLLW
#18
League position
#35
+20.3
Net rating
-9.0
106.5
Offensive rating
90.2
86.2
Defensive rating
99.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
32.8%
72.9%
Assist %
61.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 90.2Defence86.2 · 99.2Shooting56.7% · 48.9%3-point %39.3% · 32.8%Ball care14.4% · 15.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Keravnos   ■ Nitra Blue Wings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keravnos wins
0
Nitra Blue Wings wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Nitra Blue Wings v Keravnos78-88
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AParnu86-65
07/11/26AApoel BC80-73
03/11/26ANancy73-86
31/10/26HAnorthosis94-84
27/10/26AVienna Basket85-83
24/10/26AApollon90-75
21/10/26HSzczecin65-78
18/10/26HMorphou91-82
14/10/26ANitra Blue Wings88-78
10/10/26AAchilleas K.95-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSzczecin92-90
07/11/26HSpisski Rytieri84-83
04/11/26HVienna Basket80-84
31/10/26HKosice Wolves84-92
28/10/26HParnu82-80
24/10/26HLevice73-85
20/10/26ANancy60-99
17/10/26ABC Prievidza79-122
14/10/26HKeravnos78-88
10/10/26HIskra Svit91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game80.876.583.0
Allowed / game76.774.078.0
Point differential+4.2+2.5+5.0
Avg total157.5150.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nitra Blue Wings
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.883.070.5
Allowed / game88.285.593.5
Point differential-9.3-2.5-23.0
Avg total167.0168.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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