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Kilsyth vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 104-75
34-15 23-24 26-19 21-17
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.0
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Kilsyth v Eltham
10 May 2025
KILS104
ELTH75
06 Jul 2024
KILS68
ELTH87
09 Jul 2023
KILS67
ELTH77
23 Jul 2022
KILS88
ELTH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A11/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A12/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
22-21
19-20
23-10
26-19
25-17
16-20
13-23
23-16
18-29
18-27
25-16
19-24
27-17
17-11
22-25
19-10
18-19
17-18
18-20
17-26
19-19
20-30
28-21
19-27
22-16
21-21
22-21
23-18
20-21
21-23
22-18
27-19
23-23
21-29
19-18
16-28
8-25
16-16
21-13
162.7Avg total
81.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.883.0163.8-2.250%
Season at home (3)73.076.3149.3-3.367%
Season away (5)85.487.0172.4-1.640%
Last 10 (10)81.281.5162.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)81.086.4167.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.291.2169.5-13.018%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.776.5155.2+2.267%
vs Weaker (1)84.085.0169.0-1.00%
This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
105-71
105
71
+34
H26/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
A03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
20-15
32-21
15-10
13-13
17-13
10-21
29-16
20-24
15-22
16-22
15-22
21-22
15-16
20-22
16-22
25-30
18-7
31-21
20-14
20-25
19-26
21-21
20-17
18-22
19-13
18-20
29-29
22-12
32-21
24-20
27-18
30-25
25-18
16-21
16-23
22-17
19-25
21-18
25-25
166.4Avg total
84.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.484.9175.3+5.657%
Season at home (3)88.079.3167.3+8.767%
Season away (4)92.289.0181.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)84.781.7166.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)93.488.0181.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.089.5162.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.783.1167.8+1.670%
vs Weaker (18)89.080.7169.7+8.367%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
KilsythEltham
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A14/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A11/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H03/05
NBL1 South
82.8Avg total
41.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.983.7-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.542.081.5-2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)41.843.885.6-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.582.8-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.483.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.045.486.4-4.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.339.479.8+0.975%-
vs Weaker (1)41.043.084.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H26/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/05
NBL1 South
79.2Avg total
40.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.781.8+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.140.284.3+3.858%-
Last 30 away (18)40.839.380.1+1.661%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.079.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.886.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.838.978.7+0.960%-
vs Weaker (18)44.039.183.1+4.967%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kilsyth wins
4
Eltham wins
DateGameScore
06/07/24Kilsyth v Eltham68-87
20/04/24Eltham v Kilsyth99-59
09/07/23Kilsyth v Eltham67-77
23/07/22Kilsyth v Eltham88-62
01/06/19Eltham v Kilsyth79-74
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HCasey Cavaliers61-82
26/04/25ASandringham Sabres90-89
17/04/25HRingwood86-80
12/04/25ANW Tasmania84-85
11/04/25AHobart Chargers84-96
06/04/25HNunawading72-67
04/04/25AMelbourne Tigers85-77
29/03/25AKnox84-88
14/07/24ADiamond Valley80-79
13/07/24HBendigo Braves86-72
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HMelbourne Tigers87-85
03/05/25ADiamond Valley104-100 OT
26/04/25HBallarat105-71
25/04/25ANunawading91-95 OT
12/04/25AMt Gambier80-89
05/04/25ADandenong94-72
29/03/25HRingwood72-82
17/08/24AKnox66-90
16/08/24AForestville Eagles69-63
10/08/24ABallarat79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game80.873.085.4
Allowed / game83.076.387.0
Point differential-2.2-3.3-1.6
Avg total163.8149.3172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game90.488.092.2
Allowed / game84.979.389.0
Point differential+5.6+8.7+3.2
Avg total175.3167.3181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox76186%93.078.3+14.7
2 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
3 Frankston75271%94.087.6+6.4
4 Ballarat75271%86.987.4-0.6
5 Mt Gambier85362%94.983.1+11.8
6 Bendigo Braves85362%88.991.2-2.4
7 Eltham74357%90.484.9+5.6
8 Melbourne Tigers63350%84.276.8+7.3
9 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
10 Geelong84450%82.285.4-3.1
11 Nunawading84450%86.489.6-3.2
12 Waverley84450%91.495.9-4.5
13 Hobart Chargers94544%83.784.4-0.8
14 Ringwood73443%92.085.9+6.1
15 NW Tasmania83538%87.484.2+3.1
16 Diamond Valley83538%84.193.2-9.1
17 Keilor Thunder83538%84.694.6-10.0
18 Sandringham Sabres92722%83.092.2-9.2
19 Dandenong81712%86.995.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth34232621104
Eltham1524191775
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