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KK Triglav Kranj vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-98
17-39 24-24 18-17 23-18
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game73.8
KK Triglav Kranj
Slovenia
Vs
51%
49%
■ KK T 51%■ POLZ 49%
Pythia win probability
Projected 78-78
Projected total 155.7
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game67.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 6· Sportna dvorana Planina
Other2026-27
Meetings · KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela
31 Oct 2026
KK T82
POLZ98
07 Mar 2026
KK T94
POLZ87
02 Nov 2025
KK T99
POLZ68
30 Mar 2024
KK T66
POLZ81
22 Dec 2023
KK T96
POLZ72
26 Mar 2022
KK T81
POLZ95
09 Oct 2021
KK T84
POLZ97
20 Mar 2021
KK T85
POLZ91
28 Dec 2020
KK T70
POLZ79
11 Jan 2017
KK T79
POLZ88
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
KK Triglav Kranj host Polzela in the Liga Nova KBM. Pythia makes KK Triglav Kranj the favourite at 51% and projects 78-78, about 156 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. KK Triglav Kranj are 1-3 this season (74.8 scored, 73.8 allowed a game), form LLWLL; Polzela are 4-1 this season (80.0 scored, 67.6 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Triglav Kranj winLost
51.1%fair 1.96
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winWon
48.9%fair 2.05
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK Triglav KranjSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKranj
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 76
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
82-58
82
58
+24
81avg 76
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 76
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
67avg 76
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 76
A13/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 76
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
75avg 76
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
79-60
79
60
+19
80avg 76
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
69avg 76
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
80avg 76
A21/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
23-12
16-29
18-18
20-17
22-13
20-13
20-15
19-24
22-22
22-18
22-20
19-20
11-29
25-22
15-15
9-20
21-24
18-14
17-14
17-18
17-27
18-10
17-17
8-23
31-22
11-23
29-21
16-15
25-21
22-7
16-17
13-19
21-22
18-17
20-16
32-18
14-32
22-18
12-19
151.0Avg total
75.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.873.8148.5+1.025%
Season at home (3)76.774.3151.0+2.333%
Season away (1)69.072.0141.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)75.575.5151.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)75.876.4152.2-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.483.8161.2-6.527%
vs Similar (5)78.482.0160.4-3.620%
vs Weaker (13)78.273.9152.2+4.354%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 75
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
78avg 75
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
92avg 75
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 75
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 75
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 75
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
87-49
87
49
+38
90avg 75
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 75
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 75
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 75
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
28-20
19-22
20-10
19-28
27-15
14-29
27-31
22-18
29-21
24-19
21-10
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
25-29
20-22
14-20
22-25
21-21
13-16
24-16
26-14
25-10
13-24
21-17
15-16
156.4Avg total
80.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.067.6147.6+12.480%
Season at home (2)80.558.0138.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)80.875.6156.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)80.067.6147.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.291.2169.4-13.013%
vs Similar (6)88.289.5177.7-1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.073.1159.1+12.978%
This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Over 153.5
Over 153.5
54.6%
Under 153.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
42.6%
Under 158.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
31.3%
Under 163.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

KK Triglav Kranj total 77.5Actual: KK Triglav Kranj over 77.5
Over 77.5
51.8%
Under 77.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KK Triglav Kranj total 81.5Actual: KK Triglav Kranj over 81.5
Over 81.5
36.6%
Under 81.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KK Triglav Kranj total 85.5Actual: KK Triglav Kranj under 85.5
Over 85.5
23.3%
Under 85.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polzela total 73Actual: Polzela over 73
Over 73
68.0%
Under 73
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polzela total 77Actual: Polzela over 77
Over 77
52.5%
Under 77
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polzela total 81Actual: Polzela over 81
Over 81
36.8%
Under 81
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread KK Triglav Kranj -3Actual: Polzela +3
KK T -3
42.0%
POLZ +3
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
KK T
No market prices yet.
POLZ
No market prices yet.
Spread KK Triglav Kranj 0Actual: Polzela 0
KK T 0
51.1%
POLZ 0
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
KK T
No market prices yet.
POLZ
No market prices yet.
Spread KK Triglav Kranj +3Actual: Polzela -3
KK T +3
60.3%
POLZ -3
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
KK T
No market prices yet.
POLZ
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
KK Triglav KranjPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK Triglav KranjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A21/10
ABA League 2
78.9Avg total
37.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.580.2-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.480.0-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)37.642.880.4-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.278.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.482.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.543.580.0-6.918%-
vs Similar (5)37.844.682.4-6.820%-
vs Weaker (13)40.238.178.3+2.254%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
81.1Avg total
42.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.186.0-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.082.0+6.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.748.289.9-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.581.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.077.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.545.586.0-4.940%-
vs Similar (6)44.840.885.7+4.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.440.786.1+4.856%-
This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Triglav Kranjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Triglav Kranj: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.8
56.7%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.2
27.1%
30.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.3
70.7%
70.0%12.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.6
49.1%
53.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
70.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Triglav Kranj
LLWLLLLWWW
Polzela
WWLWWLLWLW
#8
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+5.5
91.4
Offensive rating
93.9
91.4
Defensive rating
88.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.1%
3-point %
38.5%
75.0%
Assist %
57.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 93.9Defence91.4 · 88.4Shooting49.9% · 52.5%3-point %27.1% · 38.5%Ball care17.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ KK Triglav Kranj   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
KK Triglav Kranj wins
6
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela94-87
24/01/26Polzela v KK Triglav Kranj81-66
02/11/25KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela99-68
30/03/24KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela66-81
22/12/23KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela96-72
23/10/23Polzela v KK Triglav Kranj68-71
27/04/22Polzela v KK Triglav Kranj93-81
26/03/22KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela81-95
18/12/21Polzela v KK Triglav Kranj89-87
09/10/21KK Triglav Kranj v Polzela84-97
KK Triglav Kranjlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26ASutjeska80-87
16/10/26HRogaska72-74
09/10/26HHelios Domzale79-60
30/09/26HPerspektiva Ilirija79-89
26/09/26AZlatorog Lasko69-72
13/05/26APerspektiva Ilirija65-72
11/05/26HPerspektiva Ilirija70-86
08/05/26APerspektiva Ilirija85-84
03/05/26HTajfun Sentjur82-58
30/04/26AZlatorog Lasko74-73
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HGorica74-67
17/10/26ATajfun Sentjur84-67
09/10/26ASencur81-96
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94
04/05/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-68
28/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija87-103
25/04/26HZlatorog Lasko87-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Triglav Kranj
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game74.876.769.0
Allowed / game73.874.372.0
Point differential+1.0+2.3-3.0
Avg total148.5151.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.080.579.7
Allowed / game67.658.074.0
Point differential+12.4+22.5+5.7
Avg total147.6138.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto660100%89.067.7+21.3
2 Perspektiva Ilirija65183%84.570.8+13.7
3 Polzela54180%80.067.6+12.4
4 Sencur54180%88.279.6+8.6
5 Zlatorog Lasko53260%72.677.0-4.4
6 Gorica63350%73.273.8-0.7
7 KK Triglav Kranj41325%74.873.8+1.0
8 Rogaska51420%65.485.6-20.2
9 Helios Domzale6060%67.081.2-14.2
10 Tajfun Sentjur6060%67.084.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Triglav Kranj1724182382
Polzela3924171898
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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