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Polzela vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-49
25-13 23-4 22-19 17-13
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game59.0
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game92.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 2· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2026-27
Meetings · Polzela v Rogaska
03 Oct 2026
POLZ87
ROGA49
06 Apr 2026
POLZ99
ROGA94
22 Dec 2025
POLZ88
ROGA81
18 Nov 2023
POLZ75
ROGA73
11 Mar 2023
POLZ102
ROGA99
21 Oct 2022
POLZ83
ROGA87
16 Mar 2022
POLZ83
ROGA97
26 Feb 2022
POLZ74
ROGA81
14 Nov 2020
POLZ96
ROGA93
28 Mar 2020
POLZ v ROGA
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
POLZ86
ROGA87
09 Mar 2019
POLZ81
ROGA76
12 Feb 2019
POLZ90
ROGA100
28 Oct 2017
POLZ73
ROGA61
29 Mar 2017
POLZ62
ROGA76
14 Nov 2016
POLZ84
ROGA75
16 Dec 2015
POLZ68
ROGA80
29 Nov 2014
POLZ79
ROGA96
05 Apr 2014
POLZ75
ROGA71
15 Feb 2014
POLZ71
ROGA73
20 Mar 2013
POLZ93
ROGA99
03 Nov 2012
POLZ49
ROGA61
21 Apr 2012
POLZ77
ROGA73
29 Oct 2011
POLZ62
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
73-110
73
110
-37
56avg 77
A27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
98avg 77
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 77
A11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
98-103
98
103
-5
96avg 77
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 77
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
78avg 77
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
92avg 77
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 77
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 77
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 77
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
23-26
18-27
15-25
28-15
21-20
24-23
11-26
14-15
24-18
13-20
24-18
23-25
24-24
26-27
25-27
20-15
28-20
19-22
20-10
19-28
27-15
14-29
27-31
22-18
29-21
24-19
21-10
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
168.2Avg total
82.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.059.0133.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)74.059.0133.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.785.5168.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)79.082.0161.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.691.7169.2-14.112%
vs Similar (6)88.289.5177.7-1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)97.077.2174.2+19.888%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 76
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
80avg 76
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 76
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
84avg 76
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 76
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
97avg 76
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 76
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 76
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 76
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 76
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-26
25-16
19-15
24-25
21-21
15-16
23-22
19-26
18-18
18-13
32-25
15-28
20-21
23-24
26-11
17-24
31-17
27-17
31-15
24-20
20-21
22-22
16-19
12-15
19-29
21-27
23-21
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
20-27
29-26
24-21
2-18
172.1Avg total
86.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.092.0167.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)75.092.0167.0-17.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.785.4172.1+1.340%
Last 5 (5)83.887.4171.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.187.6162.7-12.414%
vs Similar (8)84.286.5170.8-2.238%
vs Weaker (8)92.279.6171.9+12.675%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
PolzelaRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
85.6Avg total
43.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.287.9-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.040.285.2+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)42.348.290.5-5.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.185.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.284.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.645.885.4-6.238%-
vs Similar (6)44.840.885.7+4.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.943.594.4+7.475%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
87.3Avg total
41.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.984.0-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.584.8-2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)36.546.683.1-10.114%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.587.3-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.489.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.646.982.5-11.47%-
vs Similar (8)39.142.681.8-3.550%-
vs Weaker (8)45.043.888.8+1.262%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.5
47.6%
53.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.4
37.7%
30.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
70.0%14.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.4
54.7%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.4
33.5%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws28.319.0
67.1%
70.0%19.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
WLLWLWLWWL
Rogaska
LLWLWWLWLL
#3
League position
#7
-3.4
Net rating
+2.1
92.9
Offensive rating
94.4
96.2
Defensive rating
92.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.44
37.7%
3-point %
33.5%
57.8%
Assist %
71.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 94.4Defence96.2 · 92.3Shooting51.3% · 53.0%3-point %37.7% · 33.5%Ball care15.6% · 17.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Polzela   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Polzela wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
06/04/26Polzela v Rogaska99-94 OT
22/12/25Polzela v Rogaska88-81
11/10/25Rogaska v Polzela95-89
29/04/24Rogaska v Polzela84-68
27/01/24Rogaska v Polzela77-69
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94
04/05/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-68
28/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija87-103
25/04/26HZlatorog Lasko87-67
18/04/26ASencur98-103
11/04/26AHelios Domzale75-71
06/04/26HRogaska99-94 OT
27/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto73-110
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HSencur75-92
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79
21/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-92
18/04/26HKK Triglav Kranj96-94 OT
13/04/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek106-73
06/04/26APolzela94-99 OT
28/03/26ATajfun Sentjur87-82
16/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija83-84
09/03/26ASencur78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game59.0-59.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total133.0-133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential-17.0-17.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto220100%82.058.0+24.0
2 Perspektiva Ilirija220100%87.569.0+18.5
3 Sencur110100%92.075.0+17.0
4 Polzela110100%74.059.0+15.0
5 Gorica21150%73.577.5-4.0
6 Zlatorog Lasko21150%66.573.0-6.5
7 KK Triglav Kranj2020%74.080.5-6.5
8 Helios Domzale2020%64.081.0-17.0
9 Rogaska1010%75.092.0-17.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur1010%55.087.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polzela2523221787
Rogaska134191349
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