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Sencur vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-81
29-25 22-20 20-14 25-22
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game74.5
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game54.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 3· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sencur v Polzela
09 Oct 2026
SENC96
POLZ81
18 Apr 2026
SENC103
POLZ98
27 Sep 2025
SENC97
POLZ65
17 Apr 2024
SENC82
POLZ94
27 Nov 2023
SENC94
POLZ95
03 Mar 2023
SENC83
POLZ68
05 Feb 2023
SENC76
POLZ63
28 Dec 2021
SENC100
POLZ82
19 Dec 2020
SENC97
POLZ65
30 Nov 2019
SENC92
POLZ90
09 Feb 2019
SENC80
POLZ85
23 Dec 2017
SENC81
POLZ76
08 Oct 2016
SENC80
POLZ91
13 Apr 2016
SENC63
POLZ58
12 Dec 2015
SENC20
POLZ0
29 Apr 2015
SENC105
POLZ90
08 Nov 2014
SENC79
POLZ72
14 Apr 2010
SENC96
POLZ119
28 Nov 2009
SENC79
POLZ98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Polzela
#8
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 81
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 81
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
94avg 81
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 81
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 81
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
76avg 81
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 81
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 81
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 81
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 81
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
24-24
27-26
27-25
23-27
15-11
18-19
18-11
20-19
15-19
26-27
28-24
28-24
18-14
14-18
16-14
19-19
12-16
26-16
18-14
18-21
21-19
24-19
19-16
26-24
14-24
15-22
24-16
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
165.1Avg total
84.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.574.5170.0+21.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)95.574.5170.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.480.7165.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)83.480.8164.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.086.7157.7-15.717%
vs Similar ◀ (5)90.495.0185.4-4.640%
vs Weaker (19)87.075.8162.8+11.289%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
98avg 77
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 77
A11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
98-103
98
103
-5
96avg 77
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 77
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
78avg 77
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
92avg 77
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 77
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 77
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 77
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
87-49
87
49
+38
90avg 77
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
21-20
24-23
11-26
14-15
24-18
13-20
24-18
23-25
24-24
26-27
25-27
20-15
28-20
19-22
20-10
19-28
27-15
14-29
27-31
22-18
29-21
24-19
21-10
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
163.5Avg total
84.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.554.0134.5+26.5100%
Season at home (1)87.049.0136.0+38.0100%
Season away (1)74.059.0133.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.179.4163.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)79.071.2150.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.691.7169.2-14.112%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.289.5177.7-1.367%
vs Weaker (8)92.074.2166.2+17.888%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
SencurPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
82.8Avg total
41.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.284.0+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.339.081.3+3.354%-
Last 30 away (17)43.242.886.1+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.482.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.744.281.8-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.047.090.0-4.020%-
vs Weaker (19)44.438.783.1+5.763%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
82.3Avg total
44.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.586.7-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.238.883.9+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.949.089.9-8.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.082.3+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.080.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.645.885.4-6.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.840.885.7+4.083%-
vs Weaker (8)49.141.090.1+8.175%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.2
54.6%
53.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.9
28.6%
30.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws24.318.3
75.3%
70.0%18.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.3
49.0%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.6
38.1%
30.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
70.0%13.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WWLLWWWLWW
Polzela
WWLLWLWLWW
#4
League position
#3
+4.4
Net rating
+4.8
94.9
Offensive rating
94.6
90.6
Defensive rating
89.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.6%
3-point %
38.1%
70.4%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 94.6Defence90.6 · 89.8Shooting50.9% · 52.4%3-point %28.6% · 38.1%Ball care16.4% · 15.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sencur   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Sencur v Polzela103-98
06/12/25Polzela v Sencur81-85
27/09/25Sencur v Polzela97-65
17/04/24Sencur v Polzela82-94
06/02/24Polzela v Sencur80-60
27/11/23Sencur v Polzela94-95 OT
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
28/12/21Sencur v Polzela100-82
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
20/05/26HCedevita Olimpija79-86
12/05/26AHelios Domzale82-75
09/05/26HHelios Domzale75-65
04/05/26AHelios Domzale76-70
30/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija99-102 OT
28/04/26ATajfun Sentjur74-68
18/04/26HPolzela103-98
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94
04/05/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-68
28/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija87-103
25/04/26HZlatorog Lasko87-67
18/04/26ASencur98-103
11/04/26AHelios Domzale75-71
06/04/26HRogaska99-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.5-95.5
Allowed / game74.5-74.5
Point differential+21.0-+21.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.587.074.0
Allowed / game54.049.059.0
Point differential+26.5+38.0+15.0
Avg total134.5136.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Polzela220100%80.554.0+26.5
2 Sencur220100%95.574.5+21.0
3 KK Krka Novo mesto330100%82.366.0+16.3
4 Perspektiva Ilirija32167%85.773.7+12.0
5 Gorica21150%73.577.5-4.0
6 Zlatorog Lasko21150%66.573.0-6.5
7 KK Triglav Kranj31233%75.773.7+2.0
8 Helios Domzale3030%62.780.3-17.7
9 Rogaska2020%62.089.5-27.5
10 Tajfun Sentjur2020%64.593.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2922202596
Polzela2520142281
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