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Knox W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 73-64
14-15 16-11 18-22 25-16
Position#2
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game71.5
Knox W 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game64.2
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2024
Meetings · Knox W v Keilor Thunder W
09 Aug 2025
KNOX80
KEIL73
10 May 2025
KNOX85
KEIL58
13 Jul 2024
KNOX73
KEIL64
17 Jun 2023
KNOX89
KEIL58
14 Aug 2022
KNOX64
KEIL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#5
W
110-62
110
62
+48
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
86-57
86
57
+29
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H23/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-19
29-14
23-12
23-17
25-20
15-17
16-21
20-16
25-13
33-16
13-11
17-19
22-23
19-23
22-21
24-18
31-12
20-16
15-16
20-13
29-19
22-17
20-15
25-22
34-29
22-20
24-13
19-16
31-13
24-20
22-21
21-18
16-21
14-19
14-14
24-11
27-29
29-24
25-12
16-25
162.0Avg total
90.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.271.5156.7+13.790%
Season at home (10)84.973.4158.3+11.590%
Season away (11)85.569.8155.3+15.691%
Last 10 (10)90.571.5162.0+19.0100%
Last 5 (5)91.675.6167.2+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.590.0160.5-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.873.0146.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (22)83.170.1153.2+13.082%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-23
14-8
27-18
30-21
18-16
24-12
22-10
17-19
14-15
11-12
23-19
22-19
19-13
22-22
15-19
25-11
27-21
21-26
11-20
22-13
21-16
13-9
23-27
14-29
17-11
14-23
11-20
15-22
14-6
21-11
19-9
23-13
24-20
18-18
23-17
16-16
23-9
14-24
22-23
146.2Avg total
77.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.864.2141.0+12.590%
Season at home (11)77.160.7137.8+16.491%
Season away (10)76.468.1144.5+8.390%
Last 10 (10)77.968.3146.2+9.690%
Last 5 (5)73.467.2140.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.576.0140.5-11.525%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.072.2144.2-0.275%
vs Weaker (18)78.263.2141.4+15.194%
This opponent (Knox W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
Knox WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#5
W
64-33
64
33
+31
A25/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A16/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H23/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
88.6Avg total
50.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.781.1+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.284.1+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.237.378.5+3.969%-
Last 10 (10)50.238.488.6+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)49.642.291.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.049.584.5-14.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.038.377.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker (22)44.037.881.8+6.377%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A19/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H25/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#13
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A15/06
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
73.0Avg total
39.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.735.973.5+1.852%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.674.2+2.964%-
Last 30 away (15)36.836.172.9+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.173.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.068.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.440.270.6-9.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.038.071.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker (17)42.233.375.5+8.976%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Knox W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
17/06/23Knox W v Keilor Thunder W89-58
02/04/23Keilor Thunder W v Knox W60-81
14/08/22Knox W v Keilor Thunder W64-58
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24HGeelong W97-90
05/07/24AMt. Gambier W68-65
30/06/24ANunawading W98-72
23/06/24HLaunceston W99-78
22/06/24HFrankston W96-73
16/06/24ACasey Cavaliers W86-57
15/06/24HBendigo Braves W87-85
07/06/24HDiamond Valley W88-59
01/06/24HKilsyth W76-74
25/05/24ABallarat W110-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/24HEltham W75-72
07/07/24ASandringham W88-68
05/07/24HDiamond Valley W69-48
29/06/24HDandenong Rangers W56-83
22/06/24ABendigo Braves W79-65
15/06/24ARingwood W84-78
07/06/24HMt. Gambier W78-73
01/06/24AMelbourne Tigers W77-70 OT
25/05/24HKilsyth W94-59
19/05/24ANunawading W79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %90%90%91%
Points / game85.284.985.5
Allowed / game71.573.469.8
Point differential+13.7+11.5+15.6
Avg total156.7158.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%91%90%
Points / game76.877.176.4
Allowed / game64.260.768.1
Point differential+12.5+16.4+8.3
Avg total141.0137.8144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox W2119290%85.271.5+13.7
2 Keilor Thunder W2119290%76.864.2+12.5
3 Dandenong Rangers W2115671%79.671.9+7.7
4 Mt. Gambier W2214864%78.069.8+8.2
5 Sandringham W2214864%76.772.2+4.5
6 Ballarat W2113862%73.075.0-2.1
7 Waverley W2213959%78.676.8+1.8
8 Eltham W2112957%80.675.9+4.8
9 Bendigo Braves W22121055%87.378.5+8.8
10 Geelong W21111052%83.081.0+1.9
11 Frankston W22111150%75.775.6+0.1
12 Ringwood W2291341%76.379.0-2.7
13 Hobart Chargers W2281436%72.476.4-4.0
14 Diamond Valley W2071335%75.579.5-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers W2271532%76.483.1-6.7
16 Launceston W2161529%70.880.4-9.6
17 Kilsyth W2151624%69.580.1-10.7
18 Casey Cavaliers W2251723%74.685.8-11.2
19 Nunawading W2241818%69.582.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W1416182573
Keilor Thunder W1511221664
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