On 13 November 2026 the Pro A clash between Koblenz and Bochum will see Koblenz as the model favourite, with a 62% chance of victory against Bochum's 38%. Koblenz has gone 3-5 this season, averaging 83.1 points and conceding 86.5, while Bochum sits 2-6, scoring 79.5 and allowing 85.4; both teams occupy the bottom half of the league, Koblenz at 13th and Bochum at 16th. At home Koblenz is 2-2, 87.5 points for, 86.2 against, and has won only one of its last five, losing 81-92 to Kirchheim, 86-107 to Göttingen and 68-83 to Giessen. Bochum on the road is 1-3, 79.2 points for, 88.5 against, and has been winless in its last five, dropping 80-83 to Crailsheim, 83-98 to Bayreuth and 73-76 to Wolmirstedt. Their head-to-head record is even, 3-3, with the most recent meeting ending 89-88 in favour of Bochum on 11 February 2026. Pythia projects a 88-85 win for Koblenz, a total of 172.4 points, a -3.5 line with a 51% chance of covering, an over on 170.0 with a 55% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Koblenz can overcome its recent struggles at home.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Koblenz winWon
61.9%fair 1.62
Best odds1.57
Implied61.3%
Edge+0.6pp
Bochum winLost
38.1%fair 2.62
Best odds2.41
Implied38.7%
Edge-0.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Koblenz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
67.6%
@ 1.44+4.0pp
Under 164.5
32.4%
@ 2.52-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.52
Over/Under 169.75 · main lineActual: Over 169.75
Over 169.75
56.1%
@ 1.80+6.1pp
Under 169.75
43.9%
@ 1.80-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 174.5Actual: Under 174.5
Over 174.5
44.1%
@ 2.20+2.5pp
Under 174.5
55.9%
@ 1.57-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.57
📊 3. Team Totals
Koblenz total 83.5Actual: Koblenz over 83.5
Over 83.5
66.5%
@ 1.47+4.1pp
Under 83.5
33.5%
@ 2.45-4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.31
Koblenz total 87.5 · main lineActual: Koblenz over 87.5
Over 87.5
51.4%
@ 1.88+2.4pp
Under 87.5
48.6%
@ 1.83-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
1xBet
1.69
Koblenz total 91.5Actual: Koblenz under 91.5
Over 91.5
36.2%
@ 2.57+0.4pp
Under 91.5
63.8%
@ 1.42-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.43
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Bochum total 78.5Actual: Bochum over 78.5
Over 78.5
71.5%
@ 1.31+4.0pp
Under 78.5
28.5%
@ 2.72-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
2.72
Bochum total 82.5 · main lineActual: Bochum under 82.5
Over 82.5
57.1%
@ 1.83+4.1pp
Under 82.5
42.9%
@ 2.00-4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.75
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Bochum total 86.5Actual: Bochum under 86.5
Over 86.5
41.8%
@ 2.30+1.1pp
Under 86.5
58.2%
@ 1.53-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.09
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.48
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Koblenz -6.5Actual: Koblenz -6.5
KOBL -6.5
39.9%
@ 2.34+0.4pp
BOCH +6.5
60.1%
@ 1.57-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
KOBL
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.23
Betano
2.20
BOCH
Betano
1.57
Marathon Be
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.46
Spread Koblenz -3.5 · main lineActual: Koblenz -3.5
KOBL -3.5
51.4%
@ 1.83+0.6pp
BOCH +3.5
48.6%
@ 1.91-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
KOBL
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.80
BOCH
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.86
Spread Koblenz -0.5Actual: Koblenz -0.5
KOBL -0.5
61.9%
BOCH +0.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
KOBL
No market prices yet.
BOCH
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
KoblenzBochum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 162.5
71.9%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Bochum +11.5
76.2%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Koblenz over 81.5
73.3%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Koblenz +4.5
74.4%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Won
Bochum +10.5
73.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Bochum +9.5
70.3%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Bochum over 78.5
71.5%
1.31
1xBet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+4.0pp
Won
Koblenz +3.5
71.3%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Koblenz under 93.5
70.8%
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
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Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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