PythiaBasketballBETA
Pro ARound 10· ASV-Sporthalle
Koln hosts Koblenz in the Pro A on 16 November 2026, a match where the balance is razor-thin as the two sides sit at 5-5 and 4-5 respectively, both hovering near the bottom of the standings. Koln's season has seen 82.9 points scored and 90.0 points allowed per game, while Koblenz averages 83.8 points for and 85.9 against, a small edge in offensive output. Koln's home form is uneven, 1-3 with 87.8 points for and 98.0 against, and their last five games have yielded two wins and three losses, including a 69-96 loss to Crailsheim Merlins and a 76-97 defeat by Artland. Koblenz, on the road, has struggled 1-3, 78.8 points for and 86.8 against, and their recent five outings include only one win, a 89-81 victory over Bochum, and losses to Kirchheim and Gottingen. The teams have split their two previous meetings, with Koln's 113-96 win on 6 March 2026 being the most recent. Pythia gives Koln a 54% chance of winning versus 46% for Koblenz, projecting a tight 87-86 scoreline and 172.3 total points, with a 5% chance of overtime. Koln is the model favourite. Koln's home record of 1-3 suggests the game will be a close contest, and the projected points hint at a narrow margin.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 82.9 | 90.0 | 172.9 | -7.1 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 87.8 | 98.0 | 185.8 | -10.2 | 25% |
| Season away (6) | 79.7 | 84.7 | 164.3 | -5.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.9 | 90.0 | 172.9 | -7.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.2 | 96.8 | 181.0 | -12.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 78.9 | 86.5 | 165.4 | -7.5 | 33% |
| vs Similar (13) | 89.4 | 88.1 | 177.5 | +1.3 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 87.0 | 75.5 | 162.5 | +11.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 83.8 | 85.9 | 169.7 | -2.1 | 44% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.8 | 85.2 | 173.0 | +2.6 | 60% |
| Season away (4) | 78.8 | 86.8 | 165.5 | -8.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 86.1 | 168.4 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.0 | 86.4 | 164.4 | -8.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 74.9 | 90.8 | 165.7 | -15.9 | 14% |
| vs Similar (13) | 89.2 | 88.4 | 177.5 | +0.8 | 46% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 93.3 | 84.7 | 178.0 | +8.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 43.4 | 84.9 | -2.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.3 | 41.4 | 82.6 | -0.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.6 | 45.2 | 86.8 | -3.7 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 44.3 | 84.5 | -4.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 47.0 | 89.8 | -4.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (15) | 38.1 | 44.7 | 82.9 | -6.6 | 27% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 44.8 | 43.6 | 88.4 | +1.2 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 44.5 | 32.5 | 77.0 | +12.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.6 | 44.4 | 88.0 | -0.9 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.7 | 44.1 | 88.8 | +0.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.4 | 44.8 | 87.2 | -2.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.8 | 45.3 | 89.1 | -1.5 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 46.8 | 89.4 | -4.2 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 42.9 | 46.5 | 89.4 | -3.6 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 42.9 | 41.9 | 84.8 | +1.0 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 49.7 | 45.7 | 95.3 | +4.0 | 67% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 | Koblenz v Koln | 96-113 |
| 22/11/25 | Koln v Koblenz | 84-92 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Crailsheim Merlins | 69-96 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Artland | 76-97 |
| 01/11/26 | A | OrangeAcademy | 84-81 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Nurnberger | 87-112 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Bayreuth | 105-98 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Giessen | 78-76 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Bremerhaven | 83-85 OT |
| 04/10/26 | A | ETB Miners | 91-85 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Paderborn | 73-90 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Gottingen | 83-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 50% |
| Home | LWLL | 25% |
| Away | LWWWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Points / game | 82.9 | 87.8 | 79.7 |
| Allowed / game | 90.0 | 98.0 | 84.7 |
| Point differential | -7.1 | -10.2 | -5.0 |
| Avg total | 172.9 | 185.8 | 164.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 75% (4) | 0% (1) | 100% (3) |
| Overtime % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 44% |
| Home | WWLLW | 60% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.8 | 87.8 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 85.9 | 85.2 | 86.8 |
| Point differential | -2.1 | +2.6 | -8.0 |
| Avg total | 169.7 | 173.0 | 165.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Crailsheim Merlins | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 82.4 | 68.1 | +14.3 |
| 2 |  Kirchheim | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 91.9 | 77.7 | +14.2 |
| 3 |  Wolmirstedt | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 78.7 | 71.4 | +7.2 |
| 4 |  Heidelberg | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 82.2 | 71.3 | +10.9 |
| 5 |  Giessen | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 80.2 | 75.8 | +4.4 |
| 6 |  Tubingen | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 81.0 | 80.0 | +1.0 |
| 7 |  Bremerhaven | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 80.7 | 83.3 | -2.7 |
| 8 | Koln | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 82.9 | 90.0 | -7.1 |
| 9 |  Gottingen | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.6 | 80.7 | +2.9 |
| 10 |  Paderborn | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.1 | 80.9 | +1.2 |
| 11 | Koblenz | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.8 | 85.9 | -2.1 |
| 12 |  PS Karlsruhe | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 78.3 | 84.1 | -5.8 |
| 13 |  Nurnberger | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 76.4 | 82.6 | -6.2 |
| 14 |  Artland | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 83.9 | 84.7 | -0.8 |
| 15 |  OrangeAcademy | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 80.9 | 86.0 | -5.1 |
| 16 |  Bochum | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 79.7 | 85.8 | -6.1 |
| 17 |  ETB Miners | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 83.7 | 93.1 | -9.4 |
| 18 |  Bayreuth | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 87.7 | 97.1 | -9.4 |
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