Koln vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 69-56

16-13 25-16 12-17 16-10

Position#5

Record17-11

FormWLWWW

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game71.1

Koln 🏆

Paderborn

Position#13

Record9-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.5

Allowed / game78.8

Pro ARound 29

Other2017-18

Meetings · Koln v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koln winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koln

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trier

58-79

-21

A20/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

68-70

-2

H31/01

Pro A

Hanau

79-70

H05/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

56-93

-37

A10/02

Pro A

Vechta

57-58

-1

H14/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

68-67

H21/02

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

94-106

106

-12

A28/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

74-67

A04/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#15

91-76

+15

H09/03

Pro A

Hamburg

#11

73-72

A17/03

Pro A

21-16

14-22

13-19

10-22

19-21

21-18

16-16

12-15

19-20

25-11

16-19

19-20

17-28

12-32

13-17

14-16

16-21

16-10

12-13

13-14

14-15

11-15

24-15

19-22

30-29

25-30

21-21

18-26

12-26

23-15

20-13

19-13

26-25

19-9

18-21

28-21

20-16

21-25

13-17

19-14

147.6Avg total

71.8Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	73.2	71.1	144.3	+2.1	61%
Season at home (14)	71.9	66.8	138.6	+5.1	64%
Season away (14)	74.5	75.4	149.9	-0.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	75.8	147.6	-4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	77.6	157.6	+2.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.6	79.4	153.0	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (11)	67.2	70.4	137.5	-3.2	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	77.9	69.1	147.0	+8.8	82%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

#10

53-79

-26

A20/01

Pro A

OrangeAcademy

#16

89-84

H27/01

Pro A

Trier

74-80

-6

A03/02

Pro A

Baunach

#14

80-78

H09/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#15

83-92

-9

A18/02

Pro A

Hanau

75-76

-1

H24/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

84-94

-10

A02/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

72-81 OT

-9

H04/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

77-102

102

-25

A14/03

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

70-72

-2

H17/03

Pro A

16-19

11-12

12-27

14-21

12-20

18-15

30-19

29-30

16-15

14-21

18-25

26-19

21-19

18-18

20-20

21-21

10-26

29-20

22-22

22-24

19-19

19-23

15-18

22-16

9-17

20-36

24-14

31-27

20-9

16-18

17-16

12-22

21-27

17-37

11-16

28-22

19-32

18-9

18-17

15-14

159.5Avg total

75.7Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	71.5	78.8	150.3	-7.4	32%
Season at home (15)	73.2	77.3	150.5	-4.1	40%
Season away (13)	69.5	80.5	150.0	-11.1	23%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	83.8	159.5	-8.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	85.0	160.6	-9.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	70.0	79.9	149.8	-9.9	14%
vs Similar (9)	72.7	75.1	147.8	-2.4	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Koln) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KolnPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.5	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	19.4	35.6	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.7	19.6	34.3	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.3	36.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	13.6	20.3	33.9	-6.8	11%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	15.1	33.9	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.3	39.5	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	17.3	16.9	34.2	+0.4	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.9	18.8	35.6	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	22.0	38.1	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.6	42.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	15.9	21.6	37.5	-5.7	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	17.2	35.1	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

KolnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trier

35-38

-3

A20/01

Pro A

Heidelberg

40-39

H31/01

Pro A

Hanau

44-31

+13

H05/02

Pro A

Kirchheim

29-60

-31

A10/02

Pro A

Vechta

32-31

H14/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

25-30

-5

H21/02

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

55-59

-4

A28/02

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

35-41

-6

A04/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#15

45-34

+11

H09/03

Pro A

Hamburg

#11

41-41

A17/03

Pro A

78.5Avg total

38.1Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.4	76.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	34.1	71.8	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	42.8	81.3	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.5	38.6	74.2	-3.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	38.2	36.4	74.5	+1.8	55%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chemnitz

#10

27-31

-4

A20/01

Pro A

OrangeAcademy

#16

30-35

-5

H27/01

Pro A

Trier

30-36

-6

A03/02

Pro A

Baunach

#14

39-37

H09/02

Pro A

Ehingen

#15

39-46

-7

A18/02

Pro A

Hanau

38-42

-4

H24/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

29-53

-24

A02/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

36-27

H04/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

38-64

-26

A14/03

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

37-41

-4

H17/03

Pro A

75.5Avg total

34.3Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.7	39.7	72.4	-6.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.4	38.0	72.4	-3.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.8	41.6	72.4	-10.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	41.2	75.5	-6.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	45.4	81.0	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	33.3	40.6	73.9	-7.3	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	31.4	37.6	69.0	-6.1	22%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Koln) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	17.3	33.0	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.9	17.5	32.3	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	17.1	33.7	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.1	33.7	-0.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	13.5	16.7	30.3	-3.2	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.3	17.3	35.5	+1.0	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.2	33.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	15.5	34.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.0	35.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.3	35.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	15.0	33.1	+3.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	15.5	36.9	+6.0	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	52%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	33.5	68.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.5	32.9	66.4	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	34.1	69.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	35.4	69.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.6	76.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	31.4	37.0	68.4	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	31.6	31.7	63.4	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.7	32.7	72.5	+7.0	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.8	75.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	37.6	74.9	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.7	37.9	73.6	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.7	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Koln wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/17	Paderborn v Koln	61-72
24/03/17	Koln v Paderborn	67-51
12/11/16	Paderborn v Koln	91-81
19/02/16	Paderborn v Koln	83-75
13/11/15	Koln v Paderborn	81-69
30/04/09	Paderborn v Koln	84-68
07/12/08	Koln v Paderborn	93-99 OT

Kolnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/18	A	Hamburg	73-72
09/03/18	H	Ehingen	91-76
04/03/18	A	Chemnitz	74-67
28/02/18	A	Crailsheim Merlins	94-106
21/02/18	H	Nurnberger	68-67
14/02/18	H	Vechta	57-58
10/02/18	A	Kirchheim	56-93
05/02/18	H	Hanau	79-70
31/01/18	H	Heidelberg	68-70
20/01/18	A	Trier	58-79

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/18	H	PS Karlsruhe	70-72
14/03/18	A	Crailsheim Merlins	77-102
04/03/18	H	Kirchheim	72-81 OT
02/03/18	A	Phoenix Hagen	84-94
24/02/18	H	Hanau	75-76
18/02/18	A	Ehingen	83-92
09/02/18	H	Baunach	80-78
03/02/18	A	Trier	74-80
27/01/18	H	OrangeAcademy	89-84
20/01/18	A	Chemnitz	53-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koln

Pro A 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	61%
Home	LWLWW	64%
Away	LLLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	61%	64%	57%
Points / game	73.2	71.9	74.5
Allowed / game	71.1	66.8	75.4
Point differential	+2.1	+5.1	-0.9
Avg total	144.3	138.6	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	29%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	43% (7)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Paderborn

Pro A 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	32%
Home	WWLLL	40%
Away	LLLLL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	32%	40%	23%
Points / game	71.5	73.2	69.5
Allowed / game	78.8	77.3	80.5
Point differential	-7.4	-4.1	-11.1
Avg total	150.3	150.5	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	71% (7)	100% (2)
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Crailsheim Merlins	28	25	3	89%	90.3	74.1	+16.2
2	Vechta	28	25	3	89%	84.3	70.4	+13.9
3	Heidelberg	28	18	10	64%	76.1	73.1	+3.0
4	PS Karlsruhe	28	17	11	61%	83.1	77.0	+6.1
5	Trier	28	17	11	61%	80.6	78.0	+2.5
6	Koln	28	17	11	61%	73.2	71.1	+2.1
7	Phoenix Hagen	28	15	13	54%	80.5	80.0	+0.5
8	Hanau	28	14	14	50%	74.6	77.0	-2.4
9	Chemnitz	28	13	15	46%	77.7	76.1	+1.6
10	Kirchheim	28	13	15	46%	77.4	78.1	-0.7
11	Hamburg	28	12	16	43%	75.6	76.9	-1.2
12	Nurnberger	28	9	19	32%	70.5	76.5	-6.1
13	Paderborn	28	9	19	32%	71.5	78.8	-7.4
14	Baunach	28	7	21	25%	73.8	81.6	-7.8
15	Ehingen	28	7	21	25%	75.5	85.6	-10.1
16	OrangeAcademy	28	6	22	21%	73.3	83.6	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Koln	16	25	12	16	69
Paderborn	13	16	17	10	56

← all games of the day

Koln vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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