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Chemnitz vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-53
19-16 12-11 27-12 21-14
Position#10
Record7-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#13
Record7-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game76.1
GermanyPro ARound 19
Other2017-18
Meetings · Chemnitz v Paderborn
16 Nov 2019
CHE102
PAD68
16 Mar 2019
CHE79
PAD67
20 Jan 2018
CHE79
PAD53
08 Oct 2016
CHE81
PAD67
11 Mar 2016
CHE80
PAD58
05 Oct 2014
CHE90
PAD96
04 Jan 2014
CHE65
PAD78
29 Sep 2012
CHE88
PAD71
11 Feb 2012
CHE71
PAD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paderborn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OrangeAcademy
#16
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H11/11
Pro A
Vechta
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A18/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H25/11
Pro A
Koln
#5
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A04/12
Pro A
Baunach
#14
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H09/12
Pro A
Ehingen
#15
W
102-69
102
69
+33
A17/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H23/12
Pro A
Baunach
#14
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A28/12
Pro A
Ehingen
#15
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H06/01
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A12/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
14-15
17-16
24-24
–
–
–
–
13-20
20-16
17-19
23-29
14-10
21-22
7-11
7-27
24-18
15-9
20-22
24-18
28-14
16-25
30-16
28-14
18-24
24-19
26-15
16-27
19-21
22-16
19-16
11-18
29-12
29-20
25-24
19-19
10-12
16-24
28-22
16-16
155.9Avg total
78.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.277.0154.2+0.239%
Season at home (8)80.874.5155.2+6.262%
Season away (10)74.379.0153.3-4.720%
Last 10 (10)78.877.1155.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)89.478.8168.2+10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.784.0156.7-11.30%
vs Similar (16)70.473.8144.2-3.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.274.4157.5+8.873%
This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koln
#5
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H11/11
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H18/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A25/11
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#4
L
82-104
82
104
-22
A02/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H09/12
Pro A
Baunach
#14
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A16/12
Pro A
Heidelberg
#3
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H22/12
Pro A
Heidelberg
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A26/12
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A07/01
Pro A
Hamburg
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H12/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
9-26
16-12
9-22
17-21
20-17
24-22
18-19
19-15
11-22
22-24
16-14
16-34
25-28
13-30
28-12
22-25
18-13
8-10
15-21
14-27
20-16
23-15
22-14
16-16
13-11
14-25
21-21
29-18
10-23
22-13
18-21
10-14
10-20
11-23
15-14
14-18
18-16
23-19
17-14
147.7Avg total
70.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.176.1145.2-6.939%
Season at home (10)71.276.9148.1-5.740%
Season away (8)66.575.0141.5-8.538%
Last 10 (10)70.777.0147.7-6.340%
Last 5 (5)68.071.6139.6-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.678.3147.9-8.825%
vs Similar (9)68.671.8140.3-3.256%
vs Weaker (5)80.273.6153.8+6.6100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
ChemnitzPaderborn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OrangeAcademy
#16
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H11/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/11
Pro A
Koln
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
Pro A
Baunach
#14
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/12
Pro A
Ehingen
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/12
Pro A
Baunach
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/12
Pro A
Ehingen
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H06/01
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A12/01
Pro A
73.1Avg total
38.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.437.274.6+0.355%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.835.072.8+2.867%-
Last 30 away (14)37.139.576.6-2.443%-
Last 10 (9)38.834.373.1+4.467%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.040.582.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (16)36.538.174.6-1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.035.373.3+2.773%-
This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koln
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/11
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A25/11
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#4
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A02/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/12
Pro A
Baunach
#14
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/12
Pro A
Heidelberg
#3
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H22/12
Pro A
Heidelberg
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/12
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A07/01
Pro A
Hamburg
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/01
Pro A
73.0Avg total
33.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.838.772.5-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.538.674.1-3.129%-
Last 30 away (13)31.538.870.4-7.323%-
Last 10 (10)33.839.273.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.866.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.739.573.2-5.819%-
vs Similar (9)31.137.969.0-6.822%-
vs Weaker (5)39.037.676.6+1.460%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chemnitz wins
3
Paderborn wins
DateGameScore
21/10/17Paderborn v Chemnitz78-84
04/03/17Paderborn v Chemnitz77-69
08/10/16Chemnitz v Paderborn81-67
11/03/16Chemnitz v Paderborn80-58
12/12/15Paderborn v Chemnitz73-90
13/03/15Paderborn v Chemnitz0-20
05/10/14Chemnitz v Paderborn90-96 OT
04/01/14Chemnitz v Paderborn65-78
20/10/13Paderborn v Chemnitz64-84
07/01/13Paderborn v Chemnitz66-70
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/18AHanau70-74
06/01/18HEhingen102-75
28/12/17ABaunach89-91 OT
23/12/17HPS Karlsruhe84-85
17/12/17AEhingen102-69
09/12/17HBaunach83-67
04/12/17AKoln49-70
25/11/17HPhoenix Hagen73-84
18/11/17AVechta64-89
11/11/17HOrangeAcademy72-67
Paderbornlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/18HHamburg72-67
07/01/18ANurnberger46-71
26/12/17AHeidelberg79-75
22/12/17HHeidelberg64-73
16/12/17ABaunach79-72
09/12/17HPhoenix Hagen63-69
02/12/17APS Karlsruhe82-104
25/11/17AKirchheim68-75
18/11/17HTrier93-92 OT
11/11/17HKoln61-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
Pro A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%62%20%
Points / game77.280.874.3
Allowed / game77.074.579.0
Point differential+0.2+6.2-4.7
Avg total154.2155.2153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Paderborn
Pro A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW39%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%40%38%
Points / game69.171.266.5
Allowed / game76.176.975.0
Point differential-6.9-5.7-8.5
Avg total145.2148.1141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crailsheim Merlins1816289%86.871.7+15.1
2 Vechta1816289%83.270.0+13.2
3 PS Karlsruhe1812667%82.274.0+8.2
4 Koln1812667%73.968.5+5.4
5 Heidelberg1810856%73.972.2+1.7
6 Trier189950%79.778.1+1.6
7 Hamburg189950%74.274.9-0.7
8 Hanau189950%74.175.6-1.4
9 Phoenix Hagen189950%77.279.0-1.8
10 Kirchheim1881044%75.677.2-1.7
11 Nurnberger1981142%69.273.3-4.1
12 Chemnitz1871139%77.277.0+0.2
13 Paderborn1871139%69.176.1-6.9
14 OrangeAcademy1951426%72.581.5-9.1
15 Baunach1841422%69.979.0-9.1
16 Ehingen1841422%74.284.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz1912272179
Paderborn1611121453
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