Koshigaya Alphas vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 77-81

25-15 13-22 22-22 17-22

Position#3

Record3-0

FormWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game68.7

Koshigaya Alphas

Aomori 🏆

Position#8

Record2-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game82.3

B2.League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium

Other2023-24

Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aomori winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlphas

Date

Competition

Niigata

#14

75-65

+10

70avg 82

A07/10

B2.League

Niigata

#14

80-46

+34

79avg 82

A08/10

B2.League

Aomori

100-95

100

96avg 82

H14/10

B2.League

23-25

20-10

15-9

17-21

18-8

17-12

24-12

21-14

33-19

28-28

16-18

23-30

153.7Avg total

85.0Scored

68.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	85.0	68.7	153.7	+16.3	100%
Season at home (1)	100.0	95.0	195.0	+5.0	100%
Season away (2)	77.5	55.5	133.0	+22.0	100%
Last 10 (3)	85.0	68.7	153.7	+16.3	100%
Last 5 (3)	85.0	68.7	153.7	+16.3	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	85.0	68.7	153.7	+16.3	100%

This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aomori

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAomori

Date

Competition

Niigata

49-86

-37

no box

A19/04

BJ League

Sendai

59-71

-12

no box

H25/04

BJ League

Sendai

84-89 OT

-5

no box

H26/04

BJ League

Sendai

91-84

no box

A02/05

BJ League

Sendai

79-64

+15

no box

A03/05

BJ League

Iwate

87-97 OT

-10

no box

A09/05

BJ League

Iwate

57-111

111

-54

no box

A10/05

BJ League

Iwate

#13

84-79 OT

no box

H07/10

B2.League

Iwate

#13

77-68

48avg 61

H08/10

B2.League

Koshigaya Alphas

95-100

100

-5

74avg 61

A14/10

B2.League

7-21

15-25

15-18

12-22

18-21

12-15

11-15

18-20

17-16

25-21

21-13

12-25

–

16-24

19-18

23-22

25-19

13-25

19-29

10-25

15-32

25-17

15-23

18-15

14-17

24-26

13-19

22-15

18-8

19-33

28-28

18-16

30-23

161.1Avg total

76.2Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	85.3	82.3	167.7	+3.0	67%
Season at home (2)	80.5	73.5	154.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (1)	95.0	100.0	195.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	84.9	161.1	-8.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	91.0	171.0	-11.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	72.5	83.4	155.9	-10.9	19%
vs Similar (3)	77.7	72.7	150.3	+5.0	100%
vs Weaker (6)	83.8	69.8	153.7	+14.0	83%

This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Koshigaya AlphasAomori

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	24.7	17.3	42.0	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	33.0	19.0	52.0	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	24.7	17.3	42.0	+7.3	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	24.7	17.3	42.0	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	24.7	17.3	42.0	+7.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.2	18.1	35.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.3	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.4	22.9	40.2	-5.5	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.0	44.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	14.7	20.0	34.7	-5.3	21%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	15.7	33.7	+2.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	21.7	16.7	38.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	18.5	11.0	29.5	+7.5	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	21.7	16.7	38.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	21.7	16.7	38.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.7	16.7	38.3	+5.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	16.9	35.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	20.5	38.9	-2.1	42%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.2	22.2	40.5	-4.0	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	47%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	19.3	34.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.5	14.8	33.3	+3.7	67%	-

Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Niigata

#14

43-35

A07/10

B2.League

Niigata

#14

35-20

+15

A08/10

B2.League

Aomori

61-47

+14

H14/10

B2.League

80.3Avg total

46.3Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	46.3	34.0	80.3	+12.3	100%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	61.0	47.0	108.0	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	39.0	27.5	66.5	+11.5	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	46.3	34.0	80.3	+12.3	100%	-
Last 5 (3)	46.3	34.0	80.3	+12.3	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	46.3	34.0	80.3	+12.3	100%	-

This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Niigata

22-46

-24

A19/04

BJ League

Sendai

30-36

-6

H25/04

BJ League

Sendai

42-37

H26/04

BJ League

Iwate

35-42

-7

A09/05

BJ League

Iwate

32-54

-22

A10/05

BJ League

Iwate

#13

40-40

H07/10

B2.League

Iwate

#13

37-45

-8

H08/10

B2.League

Koshigaya Alphas

47-61

-14

A14/10

B2.League

80.8Avg total

35.6Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	34.6	37.5	72.0	-2.9	39%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.5	35.1	70.6	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	33.3	40.7	74.0	-7.3	17%	-
Last 10 (8)	35.6	45.1	80.8	-9.5	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	48.4	86.6	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.5	39.5	72.9	-6.0	21%	-
vs Similar (3)	37.7	38.7	76.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.5	30.5	67.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	18.3	13.0	31.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.5	10.5	30.0	+9.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	18.3	13.0	31.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	18.3	13.0	31.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.3	13.0	31.3	+5.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	20.0	39.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.1	21.8	38.8	-4.7	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.3	21.4	38.6	-4.1	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	15.3	34.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	23.0	30.0	53.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (3)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.1	38.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	37%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	16.3	33.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	21.2	44.5	+2.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (1)	39.0	48.0	87.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (2)	38.5	28.0	66.5	+10.5	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.5	40.3	78.8	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	37.9	77.6	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.9	43.5	80.4	-6.6	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	35.2	38.1	73.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	36.2	41.9	78.1	-5.8	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.0	31.7	67.7	+4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.3	39.3	86.7	+8.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 83.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

52%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	23.0	53.1%	52.4%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.7	33.3%	33.6%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	71.0%	14.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀28%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

52%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	17.0	42.0%	52.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.0	36.7%	33.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	30.0	24.0	80.0%	71.0%	24.0

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	15.0	41.3%	52.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.0	31.2%	33.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.0	71.2%	71.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	22.5	54.2%	52.4%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.5	34.0%	33.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.5	75.8%	71.0%	12.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	15.0	41.3%	52.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.0	31.2%	33.6%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.0	71.2%	71.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	22.5	54.2%	52.4%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.5	34.0%	33.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.5	75.8%	71.0%	12.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/2 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Koshigaya Alphas

WWW

Aomori

LWWLLWWLLL

League position

+21.3

Net rating

+2.7

113.7

Offensive rating

113.4

92.4

Defensive rating

110.7

52.0%

Effective FG%

46.9%

43.5%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

18.1%

Turnover %

15.3%

40.5%

Off. rebound %

36.2%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.46

33.3%

3-point %

36.7%

62.0%

Assist %

78.8%

100%

Form (last 3/10)

40%

Profile

■ Koshigaya Alphas ■ Aomori

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Koshigaya Alphas wins

Aomori wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/23	Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori	100-95

Koshigaya Alphaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/23	H	Aomori	100-95
08/10/23	A	Niigata	80-46
07/10/23	A	Niigata	75-65

Aomorilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/23	A	Koshigaya Alphas	95-100
08/10/23	H	Iwate	77-68
07/10/23	H	Iwate	84-79 OT
10/05/15	A	Iwate	57-111
09/05/15	A	Iwate	87-97 OT
03/05/15	A	Sendai	79-64
02/05/15	A	Sendai	91-84
26/04/15	H	Sendai	84-89 OT
25/04/15	H	Sendai	59-71
19/04/15	A	Niigata	49-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas

B2.League 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.0	100.0	77.5
Allowed / game	68.7	95.0	55.5
Point differential	+16.3	+5.0	+22.0
Avg total	153.7	195.0	133.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aomori

B2.League 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	100%	0%
Points / game	85.3	80.5	95.0
Allowed / game	82.3	73.5	100.0
Point differential	+3.0	+7.0	-5.0
Avg total	167.7	154.0	195.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	33%	50%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Koshigaya Alphas	3	3	0	100%	85.0	68.7	+16.3
2	Altiri Chiba	4	4	0	100%	85.5	72.8	+12.8
3	Kobe	3	3	0	100%	85.3	79.0	+6.3
4	Yamagata Wyverns	4	3	1	75%	77.8	75.2	+2.5
5	Fukuoka	3	2	1	67%	74.3	71.0	+3.3
6	Aomori	3	2	1	67%	85.3	82.3	+3.0
7	Kumamoto	4	2	2	50%	87.8	86.8	+1.0
8	Fukushima	4	2	2	50%	83.5	85.0	-1.5
9	Shizuoka	3	1	2	33%	87.3	84.7	+2.7
10	Shiga	3	1	2	33%	82.0	84.0	-2.0
11	Ehime Orange Vikings	4	1	3	25%	70.2	73.2	-3.0
12	Iwate	4	0	4	0%	70.5	81.2	-10.8
13	Nara	3	0	3	0%	74.0	85.0	-11.0
14	Niigata	3	0	3	0%	62.0	82.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Koshigaya Alphas	25	13	22	17	77
Aomori	15	22	22	22	81

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Koshigaya Alphas vs Aomori Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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