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Kotor vs Lovcen Cetinje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-87
18-27 16-17 18-18 7-25
Position#8
Record11-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#5
Record16-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game75.7
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 25· Pomeranian secondary school
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kotor v Lovcen Cetinje
28 Mar 2026
KOTO59
LOVC87
02 Nov 2024
KOTO80
LOVC66
26 Mar 2024
KOTO90
LOVC78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kotor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lovcen Cetinje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Kotor
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.5
76.4▼ 3.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.1
89.6▲ 7.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
55%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 12.1
9.0▼ 3.1
🔥 Form · Lovcen Cetinje
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.4
83.0▲ 5.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.1
73.2▼ 2.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
57%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.7
16.5▼ 1.2
KotorMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H18/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
89-101
89
101
-12
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
57-92
57
92
-35
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
8-13
22-25
20-18
22-24
12-21
30-15
21-12
17-13
20-19
15-18
33-15
20-16
18-20
18-15
13-24
23-34
17-22
34-20
15-25
9-30
22-20
16-16
10-26
12-29
19-29
16-16
25-17
20-30
12-23
26-27
26-24
20-26
26-19
20-13
24-13
17-28
19-21
16-17
27-24
161.4Avg total
77.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.981.4160.3-2.546%
Season at home (12)82.777.8160.5+4.867%
Season away (12)75.284.9160.1-9.825%
Last 10 (10)77.783.7161.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)76.489.6166.0-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.283.2158.4-7.925%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.881.4161.1-1.650%
vs Weaker (4)87.080.2167.2+6.875%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
14-20
27-23
22-19
22-20
14-15
23-12
16-11
25-20
26-17
20-16
19-21
25-27
27-7
20-22
22-28
19-19
23-22
21-32
13-14
27-19
24-20
17-17
17-18
22-16
24-19
23-20
18-26
18-14
32-22
15-20
23-17
18-20
23-8
23-19
26-19
20-20
24-20
7-16
14-16
157.5Avg total
83.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.375.7155.0+3.667%
Season at home (12)80.975.8156.7+5.267%
Season away (12)77.775.6153.2+2.167%
Last 10 (10)83.174.4157.5+8.780%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.288.3155.5-21.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.671.8152.3+8.883%
vs Weaker (12)78.173.3151.4+4.867%
This opponent (Kotor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
KotorLovcen Cetinje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KotorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podgorica
#7
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H18/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A21/03
Prva A Liga
80.7Avg total
35.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.679.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)33.544.377.8-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)35.045.780.7-10.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.251.086.2-15.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.243.477.7-9.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.142.380.4-4.243%-
vs Weaker (4)44.041.085.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/03
Prva A Liga
80.3Avg total
44.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.477.6+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.775.9+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.440.079.4-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.880.3+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)46.435.682.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.842.776.5-8.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.236.278.4+5.967%-
vs Weaker (12)39.138.377.4+0.858%-
This opponent (Kotor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kotortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kotor: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.0
55.6%
58.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.6
27.6%
31.5%19.9
🏀 Free throws24.917.2
69.3%
69.7%17.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.417.9
58.8%
58.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.1
32.7%
31.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.8%
69.7%13.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kotor
LWLLLLLWWL
Lovcen Cetinje
LWWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#5
-3.0
Net rating
+8.2
109.7
Offensive rating
113.2
112.7
Defensive rating
105.0
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.6%
3-point %
32.7%
40.9%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 113.2Defence112.7 · 105.0Shooting50.4% · 53.9%3-point %27.6% · 32.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Kotor   ■ Lovcen Cetinje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kotor wins
2
Lovcen Cetinje wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Lovcen Cetinje v Kotor69-72
01/03/25Lovcen Cetinje v Kotor74-58
02/11/24Kotor v Lovcen Cetinje80-66
26/03/24Kotor v Lovcen Cetinje90-78
26/12/23Lovcen Cetinje v Kotor90-75
Kotorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AMornar Bar79-90
15/03/26HJedinstvo90-71
10/03/26ADecic84-104
08/03/26HPrimorje72-91
15/02/26AStudentski Centar57-92
11/02/26HTivat89-101
07/02/26AVukovi Zeta69-75
31/01/26HIbar Rozaje85-65
24/01/26AUlcinj85-72
18/01/26HPodgorica67-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ADanilovgrad65-72
16/03/26HMornar Bar90-66
11/03/26AJedinstvo88-73
07/03/26HDecic87-81
28/02/26HStudentski Centar85-74
15/02/26APrimorje76-87
07/02/26ATivat94-84
31/01/26HVukovi Zeta90-74
24/01/26AIbar Rozaje75-58
17/01/26HUlcinj81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kotor
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%67%25%
Points / game78.982.775.2
Allowed / game81.477.884.9
Point differential-2.5+4.8-9.8
Avg total160.3160.5160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%58%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game79.380.977.7
Allowed / game75.775.875.6
Point differential+3.6+5.2+2.1
Avg total155.0156.7153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2419579%98.681.8+16.8
2 Primorje2418675%92.082.6+9.5
3 Mornar Bar2417771%85.981.7+4.2
4 Lovcen Cetinje2416867%79.375.7+3.6
5 Podgorica25141156%81.077.9+3.1
6 Jedinstvo25141156%86.585.8+0.7
7 Studentski Centar24111346%81.582.4-0.8
8 Kotor24111346%78.981.4-2.5
9 Decic25101540%86.590.3-3.8
10 Tivat2491538%89.994.3-4.4
11 Danilovgrad2491538%80.285.8-5.6
12 Ibar Rozaje2491538%76.282.7-6.5
13 Vukovi Zeta2481633%82.886.7-3.9
14 Ulcinj2552020%78.588.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kotor181618759
Lovcen Cetinje2717182587
← all games of the day
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