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Kouvottaret W vs HBA-Marsky Helsinki W Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 71-78
Projected total 148.9
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game74.0
Kouvottaret W
Finland
Vs
28%
72%
■ KOUV 28%■ HBA- 72%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
Finland
Position#1
Record5-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game65.3
FinlandKorisliiga W· MLL Areena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
13 Dec 2026
KOUV v HBA-
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
KOUV v HBA-
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
KOUV55
HBA-94
23 Nov 2025
KOUV58
HBA-81
16 Oct 2024
KOUV75
HBA-57
24 Jan 2024
KOUV74
HBA-49
07 Oct 2023
KOUV65
HBA-76
18 Mar 2023
KOUV72
HBA-80
16 Oct 2022
KOUV87
HBA-73
23 Mar 2022
KOUV84
HBA-80
05 Oct 2021
KOUV76
HBA-72
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Kouvottaret W will host HBA-Marsky Helsinki W on 18 November 2026 in the Korisliiga W, with the model favouring the visitors who sit atop the league with a 5-1 record, 86.7 points per game and 65.3 allowed, while the home side also boasts a 5-1 record, 79.7 points per game and 74.0 allowed, and is third in the standings; the model projects a 71-78 win for Marsky and a total of 148.9 points, giving the home team a 28% chance of victory and the visitors a 72% chance, with a 5% probability of overtime. Kouvottaret have gone 3-0 at home, averaging 81.7 points and conceding 76.0, and have won four of their last five, though they recently lost 83-89 to Espoo Team W away on 7 November and beat PeKa W 86-82 at home on 1 November; HBA-Marsky have won all three road games, averaging 90.0 points and 62.0 allowed, but have only won two of their last five, including a 93-72 away win over Tapiolan Honka on 1 November and a 55-92 home loss to Charnay Bourgogne Sud on 4 November. Their last meeting on 14 March 2026 ended 94-55 in favour of Marsky. The projected spread is 7 points in favour of the visitors, with a 28% chance that the home team covers.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kouvottaret W win
28.4%fair 3.52
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W win
71.6%fair 1.40
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kouvottaret WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
L
52-73
52
73
-21
39avg 61
H27/02
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#2
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
77avg 61
H06/03
Korisliiga W
BC Nokia W
#6
L
58-65
58
65
-7
50avg 61
A11/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
55-94
55
94
-39
41avg 61
H14/03
Korisliiga W
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
86avg 61
H02/10
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
72-55
72
55
+17
70avg 61
A07/10
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#6
W
63-57
63
57
+6
51avg 61
H10/10
Korisliiga W
Vimpelin Veto W
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 61
A24/10
Korisliiga W
PeKa W
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 61
H01/11
Korisliiga W
Espoo Team W
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A07/11
Korisliiga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
22-20
11-24
8-14
19-24
19-18
24-13
15-22
15-15
13-12
10-16
20-22
15-21
10-26
12-17
18-30
26-23
18-23
26-20
26-23
22-16
22-17
15-13
13-9
17-11
9-18
21-18
16-10
19-18
31-17
21-20
7-17
21-18
21-21
23-25
21-18
23-28
20-20
17-15
23-26
150.9Avg total
73.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.774.0153.7+5.783%
Season at home (3)81.776.0157.7+5.7100%
Season away (3)77.772.0149.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)73.677.3150.9-3.750%
Last 5 (5)76.471.0147.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)66.982.6149.5-15.716%
vs Similar (1)83.089.0172.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (4)74.866.5141.2+8.2100%
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
PeKa W
#5
W
82-58
82
58
+24
73avg 64
A03/10
Korisliiga W
Espoo Team W
#2
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 64
H07/10
Korisliiga W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#11
L
54-91
54
91
-37
30avg 64
A14/10
EuroCup Women
BC Nokia W
#7
W
95-56
95
56
+39
0avg 64
A18/10
Korisliiga W
Zabiny Brno W
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
41avg 64
H22/10
EuroCup Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 64
H25/10
Korisliiga W
AEL Limassol W
#40
L
79-88
79
88
-9
79avg 64
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
93-72
93
72
+21
91avg 64
A01/11
Korisliiga W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#11
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
H04/11
EuroCup Women
Pyrinto W
#6
W
84-53
84
53
+31
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
23-16
28-18
10-11
18-19
27-15
34-8
18-28
12-20
13-24
11-24
18-23
27-17
21-9
23-18
24-12
26-24
10-20
9-24
14-27
19-24
24-19
12-25
14-15
23-12
24-25
20-27
12-24
29-8
29-26
15-17
20-21
18-25
13-22
14-21
10-24
23-20
15-12
18-9
28-12
152.5Avg total
76.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.765.3152.0+21.383%
Season at home (3)83.368.7152.0+14.767%
Season away (3)90.062.0152.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.775.8152.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)76.077.6153.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.379.0144.3-13.722%
vs Similar (7)74.174.6148.7-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.564.5147.0+18.086%
This opponent (Kouvottaret W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 143
Over 143
63.9%
Under 143
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 148
Over 148
51.7%
Under 148
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153
Over 153
39.4%
Under 153
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kouvottaret W total 70.5
Over 70.5
52.4%
Under 70.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kouvottaret W total 74.5
Over 74.5
37.2%
Under 74.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kouvottaret W total 78.5
Over 78.5
23.9%
Under 78.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W total 69.5
Over 69.5
79.1%
Under 69.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W total 73.5
Over 73.5
66.1%
Under 73.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W total 77.5
Over 77.5
50.8%
Under 77.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kouvottaret W -3
KOUV -3
21.0%
HBA- +3
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
KOUV
No market prices yet.
HBA-
No market prices yet.
Spread Kouvottaret W 0
KOUV 0
28.4%
HBA- 0
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
KOUV
No market prices yet.
HBA-
No market prices yet.
Spread Kouvottaret W +3
KOUV +3
36.1%
HBA- -3
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
KOUV
No market prices yet.
HBA-
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
Kouvottaret WHBA-Marsky Helsinki W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kouvottaret WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H27/02
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H06/03
Korisliiga W
BC Nokia W
#6
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A11/03
Korisliiga W
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
#4
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/03
Korisliiga W
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/10
Korisliiga W
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A07/10
Korisliiga W
Pyrinto W
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga W
Vimpelin Veto W
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A24/10
Korisliiga W
PeKa W
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/11
Korisliiga W
Espoo Team W
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A07/11
Korisliiga W
75.4Avg total
37.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.440.275.6-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.039.773.7-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.777.5-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.175.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.240.975.2-6.724%-
vs Similar (1)43.048.091.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (4)40.534.074.5+6.575%-
This opponent (HBA-Marsky Helsinki W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PeKa W
#5
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A03/10
Korisliiga W
Espoo Team W
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/10
Korisliiga W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#11
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A14/10
EuroCup Women
BC Nokia W
#7
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A18/10
Korisliiga W
Zabiny Brno W
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H22/10
EuroCup Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki W
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H25/10
Korisliiga W
AEL Limassol W
#40
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Tapiolan Honka W
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A01/11
Korisliiga W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#11
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/11
EuroCup Women
Pyrinto W
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
Korisliiga W
78.5Avg total
41.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.872.6+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.735.972.6+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.933.772.5+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.078.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.682.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.838.873.6-4.033%-
vs Similar (7)34.736.170.9-1.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.231.672.8+9.686%-
This opponent (Kouvottaret W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kouvottaret Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvottaret W: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.3
42.7%
45.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.4
29.4%
28.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.315.7
70.4%
66.6%15.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
HBA-Marsky Helsinki Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

HBA-Marsky Helsinki W: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.4
48.8%
45.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.9
26.1%
28.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.810.4
61.9%
66.6%10.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kouvottaret W
LWWWWWLLLL
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
WLWLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#1
-5.1
Net rating
-3.2
78.8
Offensive rating
76.3
83.9
Defensive rating
79.5
43.3%
Effective FG%
45.1%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.4%
3-point %
26.1%
53.8%
Assist %
63.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence78.8 · 76.3Defence83.9 · 79.5Shooting43.3% · 45.1%3-point %29.4% · 26.1%Ball care19.1% · 19.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kouvottaret W   ■ HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kouvottaret W wins
6
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W55-94
23/01/26HBA-Marsky Helsinki W v Kouvottaret W83-54
23/11/25Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W58-81
11/12/24HBA-Marsky Helsinki W v Kouvottaret W57-78
16/10/24Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W75-57
24/01/24Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W74-49
17/11/23HBA-Marsky Helsinki W v Kouvottaret W77-64
07/10/23Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W65-76
18/03/23Kouvottaret W v HBA-Marsky Helsinki W72-80
04/03/23HBA-Marsky Helsinki W v Kouvottaret W80-82
Kouvottaret Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AEspoo Team W83-89
01/11/26HPeKa W86-82
24/10/26AVimpelin Veto W78-72
10/10/26HPyrinto W63-57
07/10/26ATapiolan Honka W72-55
02/10/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki W96-89
14/03/26HHBA-Marsky Helsinki W55-94
11/03/26ABC Nokia W58-65
06/03/26HPyrinto W93-97 OT
27/02/26HTapiolan Honka W52-73
HBA-Marsky Helsinki Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HPyrinto W84-53
04/11/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W55-92
01/11/26ATapiolan Honka W93-72
28/10/26AAEL Limassol W79-88
25/10/26HTorpan Pojat Helsinki W69-83
22/10/26HZabiny Brno W59-95
18/10/26ABC Nokia W95-56
14/10/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W54-91
07/10/26HEspoo Team W97-70
03/10/26APeKa W82-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kouvottaret W
Korisliiga W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game79.781.777.7
Allowed / game74.076.072.0
Point differential+5.7+5.7+5.7
Avg total153.7157.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
HBA-Marsky Helsinki W
Korisliiga W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game86.783.390.0
Allowed / game65.368.762.0
Point differential+21.3+14.7+28.0
Avg total152.0152.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 HBA-Marsky Helsinki W65183%86.765.3+21.3
2 Espoo Team W65183%84.077.5+6.5
3 Kouvottaret W65183%79.774.0+5.7
4 Torpan Pojat Helsinki W64267%90.767.2+23.5
5 PeKa W63350%72.779.0-6.3
6 Pyrinto W62433%66.073.5-7.5
7 BC Nokia W62433%72.584.3-11.8
8 Tapiolan Honka W71614%67.983.0-15.1
9 Vimpelin Veto W5050%70.687.0-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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