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Kozuv vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-57
20-9 25-19 20-18 13-11
Position#8
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.5
Kozuv 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game92.0
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 7· Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kozuv v Vardar
06 Apr 2024
KOZU74
VARD63
11 Nov 2023
KOZU78
VARD57
20 Jan 2021
KOZU86
VARD82
21 Dec 2019
KOZU87
VARD65
22 Dec 2018
KOZU91
VARD82
10 Dec 2016
KOZU73
VARD49
08 Mar 2014
KOZU84
VARD76
15 Feb 2013
KOZU82
VARD60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kozuv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KozuvMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKozuv
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H08/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
W
86-58
86
58
+28
no box
A22/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
A30/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
H03/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
46avg 67
H30/09
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 67
A08/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
96-69
96
69
+27
99avg 67
H15/10
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 67
A21/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
55-64
55
64
-9
44avg 67
H28/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
86avg 67
A04/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-28
18-22
33-19
22-13
20-17
26-15
18-13
25-23
24-16
6-24
14-20
23-23
22-24
20-18
16-30
14-26
15-23
19-26
16-11
17-26
20-12
19-28
17-14
25-15
29-9
25-21
17-24
20-27
17-28
25-17
18-24
8-15
16-16
14-17
17-16
28-22
22-11
16-30
18-25
158.8Avg total
78.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.380.5155.8-5.217%
Season at home (3)71.773.0144.7-1.333%
Season away (3)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)78.280.6158.8-2.430%
Last 5 (5)77.679.4157.0-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.588.2166.7-9.615%
vs Similar (8)78.084.4162.4-6.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.180.1174.2+14.088%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A21/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#5
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A11/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 69
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 69
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 69
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 69
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
68-119
68
119
-51
52avg 69
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 69
H05/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-20
19-29
15-25
27-22
25-23
17-30
9-37
20-27
23-19
17-21
18-18
–
–
–
–
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
24-30
10-30
21-30
13-29
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
156.9Avg total
70.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.092.0172.0-12.050%
Season at home (4)81.095.2176.2-14.250%
Season away (2)78.085.5163.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)70.886.1156.9-15.330%
Last 5 (5)78.093.8171.8-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.890.9164.7-17.112%
vs Similar (4)87.278.5165.8+8.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
KozuvVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KozuvLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H08/04
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A22/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A30/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H30/09
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/10
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H15/10
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A21/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H28/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A04/11
Prva Liga
80.2Avg total
41.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.982.6-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.784.3+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.843.281.0-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.280.2+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.276.6+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.142.983.0-2.838%-
vs Similar (8)34.641.976.5-7.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.839.588.2+9.288%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H28/10
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
84.2Avg total
38.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.644.683.2-6.128%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.945.985.8-5.933%-
Last 30 away (14)37.143.380.4-6.221%-
Last 10 (9)38.246.084.2-7.811%-
Last 5 (5)35.448.684.0-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.145.183.2-7.028%-
vs Similar (4)41.241.582.8-0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kozuvtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kozuv: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.512.8
45.0%
53.9%25.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.2
40.4%
32.2%33.5
🏀 Free throws20.715.8
76.6%
70.3%15.8
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.2
31.2%
32.2%24.5
🏀 Free throws23.315.8
67.9%
70.3%15.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kozuv
LLLWLLLLWW
Vardar
WLLLWWLLLL
#8
League position
#10
-6.8
Net rating
-13.7
104.9
Offensive rating
96.0
111.7
Defensive rating
109.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.4%
3-point %
31.2%
75.0%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 96.0Defence111.7 · 109.7Shooting52.7% · 48.0%3-point %40.4% · 31.2%Ball care18.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds22.1% · 23.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Kozuv   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Kozuv wins
1
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Vardar v Kozuv95-86
20/01/21Kozuv v Vardar86-82 OT
21/12/19Kozuv v Vardar87-65
19/10/19Vardar v Kozuv64-85
30/03/19Vardar v Kozuv70-91
22/12/18Kozuv v Vardar91-82
11/02/17Vardar v Kozuv73-86
10/12/16Kozuv v Vardar73-49
08/03/14Kozuv v Vardar84-76
16/11/13Vardar v Kozuv59-81
Kozuvlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23ACair 203084-88
28/10/23HTFT Skopje55-64
21/10/23AFeniks 201080-96
15/10/23HOhrid96-69
08/10/23ATikvesh73-80
30/09/23HMZT Skopje64-86
03/05/23HMZT Skopje81-95
30/04/23AMZT Skopje69-83
22/04/23ARabotnicki86-58
08/04/23HGostivar94-87
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91
28/10/23HRabotnicki68-119
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83
13/05/21HMZT Skopje 20-20
11/05/21AMZT Skopje 278-85
07/05/21AKumanovo78-112
21/04/21ARabotnicki72-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kozuv
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game75.371.779.0
Allowed / game80.573.088.0
Point differential-5.2-1.3-9.0
Avg total155.8144.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.081.078.0
Allowed / game92.095.285.5
Point differential-12.0-14.2-7.5
Avg total172.0176.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje76186%79.665.9+13.7
2 Cair 203065183%89.577.5+12.0
3 TFT Skopje65183%72.865.3+7.5
4 Tikvesh64267%82.567.5+15.0
5 Pelister64267%80.271.3+8.8
6 Rabotnicki63350%82.573.8+8.7
7 Vardar63350%80.092.0-12.0
8 Feniks 201073443%78.679.3-0.7
9 Gostivar62433%70.278.0-7.8
10 Kozuv61517%75.380.5-5.2
11 Ohrid61517%71.389.0-17.7
12 FMP Akademija6060%73.297.7-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kozuv2025201378
Vardar919181157
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