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Krosno vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-99
22-23 27-23 19-30 19-23
Position#16
Record4-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Position#5
Record14-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.9
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 28· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2025-26
Meetings · Krosno v Zielona Gora
23 Apr 2026
KROS87
ZGO99
09 Jan 2019
KROS73
ZGO87
09 Apr 2018
KROS95
ZGO97
04 Mar 2017
KROS57
ZGO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A07/02
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
A17/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H12/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A03/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
87-101
87
101
-14
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
29-19
17-27
19-21
17-23
23-20
17-33
24-18
32-15
24-23
19-27
23-33
14-15
26-25
20-26
14-24
19-22
22-28
16-20
20-21
22-21
24-16
17-28
25-22
25-22
26-25
17-19
12-21
20-30
16-20
18-22
22-23
26-26
27-25
17-24
17-26
23-24
21-20
13-21
32-26
178.7Avg total
85.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.990.7172.6-8.815%
Season at home (13)81.288.2169.5-7.023%
Season away (14)82.593.0175.5-10.57%
Last 10 (10)85.293.5178.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)84.092.2176.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)81.491.1172.5-9.79%
vs Similar (7)82.684.7167.3-2.157%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A05/02
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A12/02
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H05/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#13
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H02/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A19/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-6
18-29
24-28
33-18
20-19
14-22
34-16
14-14
23-24
22-19
18-22
23-26
16-18
27-23
15-15
16-19
14-15
24-28
11-23
17-18
24-19
20-18
16-28
16-8
30-25
16-32
21-18
21-15
22-23
17-17
33-18
24-22
21-19
18-21
26-17
17-18
19-23
11-25
23-21
17-10
161.7Avg total
81.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.680.9164.6+2.752%
Season at home (13)86.081.5167.5+4.562%
Season away (14)81.480.4161.8+1.143%
Last 10 (10)81.879.9161.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)82.479.4161.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.783.0153.7-12.30%
vs Similar (14)81.382.0163.3-0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.079.4168.4+9.677%
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
KrosnoZielona Gora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#13
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/02
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A17/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H12/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
90.5Avg total
46.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.085.4-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.183.7-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.886.8-2.725%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.990.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.891.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.644.985.5-4.326%-
vs Similar (7)44.041.085.0+3.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A05/02
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/02
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H05/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A19/04
Energa Basket Liga
82.4Avg total
39.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.882.1+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.781.5+2.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.842.082.8-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.582.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.484.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.742.379.0-5.733%-
vs Similar (14)40.441.682.0-1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.439.683.0+3.869%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.5
50.4%
54.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.7
34.3%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws26.018.8
72.3%
72.7%18.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.9
53.9%
54.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.6
30.7%
33.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
72.7%14.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
LLLLWLLLLW
Zielona Gora
LWWLWLLLWW
#16
League position
#5
-9.7
Net rating
+1.6
95.7
Offensive rating
92.7
105.4
Defensive rating
91.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
30.7%
67.4%
Assist %
62.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 92.7Defence105.4 · 91.1Shooting50.8% · 51.2%3-point %34.3% · 30.7%Ball care16.4% · 17.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Krosno   ■ Zielona Gora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Krosno wins
7
Zielona Gora wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Zielona Gora v Krosno98-84
24/04/19Zielona Gora v Krosno105-87
09/01/19Krosno v Zielona Gora73-87
09/04/18Krosno v Zielona Gora95-97
03/11/17Zielona Gora v Krosno100-76
04/03/17Krosno v Zielona Gora57-75
12/11/16Zielona Gora v Krosno87-72
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26ADabrowa Gornicza89-91
11/04/26HAnwil Wloclawek87-101
03/04/26AGdynia76-95
29/03/26HOstrow Wielkopolski80-87
21/03/26HGTK Gliwice88-87
12/03/26HCzarni Slupsk77-91
07/03/26AGornik Walbrzych74-90
17/02/26ATorun105-112 OT
07/02/26ATrefl Sopot81-94
01/02/26ALublin95-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26AAnwil Wloclawek70-79
13/04/26AOstrow Wielkopolski82-75
02/04/26HCzarni Slupsk96-80
29/03/26HTorun88-90
19/03/26HLublin76-73
14/03/26ALegia66-84
05/03/26HSzczecin74-75
12/02/26ADabrowa Gornicza86-91
05/02/26AGdynia82-71
01/02/26HGTK Gliwice98-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL15%
HomeLLWLL23%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%23%7%
Points / game81.981.282.5
Allowed / game90.788.293.0
Point differential-8.8-7.0-10.5
Avg total172.6169.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%62%43%
Points / game83.686.081.4
Allowed / game80.981.580.4
Point differential+2.7+4.5+1.1
Avg total164.6167.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %7%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Legia2719870%86.479.6+6.9
2 Szczecin2719870%83.982.1+1.7
3 Slask Wroclaw2618869%89.684.1+5.5
4 Trefl Sopot27171063%88.884.5+4.3
5 Gdynia27171063%85.181.4+3.7
6 Dziki Warszawa27161159%91.885.1+6.7
7 Anwil Wloclawek27151256%88.585.1+3.4
8 Dabrowa Gornicza27151256%87.985.5+2.4
9 Ostrow Wielkopolski27151256%83.084.4-1.4
10 Zielona Gora27141352%83.680.9+2.7
11 Gornik Walbrzych27141352%81.683.9-2.3
12 Torun26101638%87.289.3-2.1
13 Lublin2791833%82.390.0-7.6
14 Czarni Slupsk2781930%82.787.6-5.0
15 GTK Gliwice2752219%79.389.3-10.0
16 Krosno2742315%81.990.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno2227191987
Zielona Gora2323302399
← all games of the day
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