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Zielona Gora vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-73
24-19 20-18 16-28 16-8
Position#5
Record11-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#13
Record8-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game89.5
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 23· CRS Hala Zielona Gora
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Lublin
23 Apr 2027
ZGO v LUB
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
ZGO76
LUB73
10 Apr 2025
ZGO101
LUB92
24 Mar 2024
ZGO91
LUB103
27 Oct 2022
ZGO96
LUB67
20 Jan 2022
ZGO85
LUB70
03 Dec 2020
ZGO90
LUB75
09 Jan 2020
ZGO100
LUB93
31 Oct 2018
ZGO92
LUB70
31 Mar 2018
ZGO94
LUB72
01 Apr 2017
ZGO86
LUB75
26 Mar 2016
ZGO100
LUB53
17 Jan 2015
ZGO84
LUB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 79
A02/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
86avg 79
H06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
83avg 79
A11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
91avg 79
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
98-81
98
81
+17
97avg 79
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 79
A05/02
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 79
A12/02
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
60avg 79
H05/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
66-84
66
84
-18
53avg 79
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
22-13
21-25
21-24
19-24
22-9
17-31
24-18
21-24
23-29
21-22
21-23
22-22
15-22
26-15
12-19
19-16
14-29
28-13
28-24
23-6
18-29
24-28
33-18
20-19
14-22
34-16
14-14
23-24
22-19
18-22
23-26
16-18
27-23
15-15
16-19
14-15
24-28
11-23
17-18
167.3Avg total
83.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.981.3165.2+2.650%
Season at home (10)85.881.7167.5+4.160%
Season away (12)82.380.9163.2+1.442%
Last 10 (10)83.384.0167.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)81.280.4161.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.386.3163.7-9.017%
vs Similar (15)82.882.7165.5+0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.679.3169.9+11.278%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#7
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 75
A03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 75
H06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 75
H10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A18/01
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
32avg 75
H23/01
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 75
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
88-97
88
97
-9
84avg 75
A06/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
101-96
101
96
+5
94avg 75
H15/02
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
64avg 75
A08/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 75
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
22-15
14-20
29-28
16-24
23-16
18-17
26-17
23-21
21-27
18-15
19-15
13-22
30-23
19-14
13-22
7-21
13-20
14-21
18-22
20-30
19-29
27-17
21-19
22-26
22-26
23-24
21-21
19-28
30-24
25-20
27-24
18-20
19-22
15-26
26-25
24-24
27-12
26-33
20-22
169.3Avg total
82.9Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.089.5171.5-7.536%
Season at home (13)83.189.8172.9-6.846%
Season away (9)80.488.9169.3-8.422%
Last 10 (10)82.986.4169.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)90.294.4184.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)80.087.8167.8-7.933%
vs Similar (5)87.093.0180.0-6.040%
vs Weaker (3)83.381.7165.0+1.767%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Zielona GoraLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A02/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A05/02
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/02
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H05/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/03
Energa Basket Liga
81.8Avg total
39.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.882.2+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.939.381.2+2.677%-
Last 30 away (17)41.141.982.9-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.981.8-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.680.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.743.780.3-7.017%-
vs Similar (15)41.841.383.1+0.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.037.981.9+6.189%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/01
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H23/01
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A06/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H15/02
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
85.2Avg total
41.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.884.3-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.145.986.0-5.824%-
Last 30 away (13)38.843.382.1-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.285.2-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.292.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.044.983.9-5.919%-
vs Similar (5)41.848.890.6-7.020%-
vs Weaker (3)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.8
54.5%
54.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.6
73.2%
72.7%15.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.9
57.8%
54.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.316.8
72.1%
72.7%16.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
LLLWWWLLWL
Lublin
WLWLLLLWWW
#5
League position
#13
+1.1
Net rating
-4.3
99.1
Offensive rating
99.6
98.1
Defensive rating
103.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
13.8%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.5%
3-point %
32.0%
64.8%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 99.6Defence98.1 · 103.9Shooting52.5% · 53.9%3-point %32.5% · 32.0%Ball care16.6% · 13.8%Off. rebounds29.6% · 18.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zielona Gora wins
3
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Lublin v Zielona Gora77-91
10/04/25Zielona Gora v Lublin101-92
13/12/24Lublin v Zielona Gora91-82
24/03/24Zielona Gora v Lublin91-103
26/11/23Lublin v Zielona Gora91-95
03/03/23Lublin v Zielona Gora76-83
22/12/22Lublin v Zielona Gora88-94 OT
27/10/22Zielona Gora v Lublin96-67
17/02/22Lublin v Zielona Gora82-81 OT
20/01/22Zielona Gora v Lublin85-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ALegia66-84
05/03/26HSzczecin74-75
12/02/26ADabrowa Gornicza86-91
05/02/26AGdynia82-71
01/02/26HGTK Gliwice98-81
25/01/26AGornik Walbrzych89-82
17/01/26ATrefl Sopot75-78
11/01/26ADziki Warszawa86-98
06/01/26HTrefl Sopot92-90 OT
02/01/26ASlask Wroclaw85-90
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HAnwil Wloclawek97-91
08/03/26AOstrow Wielkopolski78-93
15/02/26HCzarni Slupsk101-96
06/02/26ATorun88-97
01/02/26HKrosno87-95
23/01/26HLegia52-84
18/01/26ASzczecin75-81
10/01/26HDabrowa Gornicza81-78
06/01/26HSzczecin83-74
03/01/26AGdynia87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%60%42%
Points / game83.985.882.3
Allowed / game81.381.780.9
Point differential+2.6+4.1+1.4
Avg total165.2167.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWLLWW46%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %36%46%22%
Points / game82.083.180.4
Allowed / game89.589.888.9
Point differential-7.5-6.8-8.4
Avg total171.5172.9169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Szczecin2216673%83.180.5+2.5
2 Slask Wroclaw2115671%89.482.5+6.9
3 Legia2215768%84.378.6+5.7
4 Trefl Sopot2214864%88.083.1+4.9
5 Gdynia2113862%84.281.6+2.7
6 Dziki Warszawa2213959%91.485.1+6.3
7 Gornik Walbrzych22121055%81.082.3-1.3
8 Ostrow Wielkopolski22121055%83.985.7-1.9
9 Anwil Wloclawek22111150%89.386.5+2.8
10 Zielona Gora22111150%83.981.3+2.6
11 Dabrowa Gornicza22111150%87.286.6+0.5
12 Torun2281436%87.589.6-2.1
13 Czarni Slupsk2281436%84.387.7-3.4
14 Lublin2281436%82.089.5-7.5
15 GTK Gliwice2251723%80.189.6-9.5
16 Krosno2231914%81.490.4-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2420161676
Lublin191828873
← all games of the day
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