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KTP Kotka Basket vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-65
23-13 13-18 20-15 18-19
Position#8
Record8-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#9
Record8-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.5
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena (Kotka)
Other2023-24
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat
16 Jan 2026
KTP 96
KOBR79
19 Mar 2025
KTP 90
KOBR85
29 Nov 2024
KTP 80
KOBR65
16 Feb 2024
KTP 80
KOBR82
05 Jan 2024
KTP 74
KOBR65
30 Dec 2022
KTP 87
KOBR78
05 Nov 2021
KTP 92
KOBR86
05 Mar 2021
KTP 108
KOBR110
28 Feb 2020
KTP 88
KOBR94
12 Nov 2019
KTP 109
KOBR97
19 Mar 2019
KTP 94
KOBR69
11 Dec 2018
KTP 100
KOBR92
28 Mar 2018
KTP 113
KOBR119
20 Dec 2017
KTP 105
KOBR89
22 Mar 2017
KTP 85
KOBR76
14 Dec 2016
KTP 76
KOBR85
15 Jan 2016
KTP 93
KOBR78
16 Oct 2015
KTP 99
KOBR105
13 Mar 2015
KTP 91
KOBR86
05 Dec 2014
KTP 97
KOBR84
07 Feb 2014
KTP 91
KOBR78
23 Oct 2013
KTP 92
KOBR73
22 Mar 2013
KTP 101
KOBR78
14 Dec 2012
KTP 113
KOBR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobrat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
76avg 76
H10/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
84-60
84
60
+24
76avg 76
H17/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 76
H28/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
89-97
89
97
-8
80avg 76
H01/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
63avg 76
A09/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 76
H12/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
52avg 76
A22/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 76
H28/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 76
A31/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
88-101
88
101
-13
82avg 76
A02/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
26-19
19-29
21-19
17-19
23-12
21-11
23-18
19-28
19-28
31-27
24-15
33-23
11-17
21-29
24-28
15-26
16-17
15-17
31-16
19-21
26-20
28-11
25-28
20-24
14-34
13-29
18-19
21-20
16-19
17-22
21-16
21-34
21-20
22-19
24-19
25-19
20-24
22-29
21-29
173.0Avg total
84.7Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.487.3172.7-1.947%
Season at home (9)87.184.2171.3+2.944%
Season away (8)83.590.8174.2-7.250%
Last 10 (10)84.788.3173.0-3.630%
Last 5 (5)82.891.2174.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.793.1176.8-9.423%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.583.9167.3-0.453%
vs Weaker (2)96.097.5193.5-1.550%
This opponent (Kobrat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobratFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobrat
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 71
A08/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 71
H18/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
91-74
91
74
+17
82avg 71
A24/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
60avg 71
H28/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
69-88
69
88
-19
58avg 71
H06/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
63-83
63
83
-20
51avg 71
A09/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 71
H16/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
102-87
102
87
+15
100avg 71
H28/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
94-109
94
109
-15
90avg 71
A30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 71
A03/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
20-15
34-13
18-30
21-14
26-23
15-11
15-20
18-21
30-18
20-19
23-16
22-15
18-22
13-26
13-13
18-22
20-27
20-19
11-20
19-15
9-25
18-25
17-18
24-20
18-21
16-24
20-19
25-23
25-22
26-21
26-21
25-30
24-21
15-28
30-30
21-23
19-15
28-21
20-17
163.6Avg total
81.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.181.5163.6+0.547%
Season at home (9)83.179.3162.4+3.856%
Season away (8)80.984.0164.9-3.138%
Last 10 (10)81.682.0163.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.087.8172.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.780.5159.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.885.5167.4-3.735%
vs Weaker (4)85.581.0166.5+4.550%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
KTP Kotka BasketKobrat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H28/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A09/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H12/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A22/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A31/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/01
Korisliiga
85.9Avg total
40.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.088.1-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.184.7+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.549.991.5-8.420%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.385.9-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.087.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.247.890.0-5.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.743.384.9-1.647%-
vs Weaker (2)44.055.599.5-11.50%-
This opponent (Kobrat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A24/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H16/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H28/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/01
Korisliiga
82.7Avg total
41.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.584.0-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.542.086.5+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)38.143.181.2-5.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.982.7+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.841.284.0+1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.043.284.2-2.240%-
vs Weaker (4)42.041.083.0+1.075%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.423.3
50.2%
51.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.613.3
64.6%
73.5%13.3
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobrattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobrat: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.7
53.9%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.1
27.2%
33.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.9
73.2%
73.5%13.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LLLLWWLLWL
Kobrat
WLWLLLLWWW
#8
League position
#9
-4.2
Net rating
-0.5
102.9
Offensive rating
104.7
107.0
Defensive rating
105.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
27.2%
56.5%
Assist %
52.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 104.7Defence107.0 · 105.2Shooting49.8% · 48.9%3-point %32.7% · 27.2%Ball care17.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds31.1% · 35.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Kobrat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
KTP Kotka Basket wins
4
Kobrat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24AHelsinki Seagulls88-101
31/12/23ALahti Basketball88-92
28/12/23HBisons Loimaa75-77
22/12/23AKarhu Basket65-106
12/12/23HKouvot Kouvola98-80
09/12/23AKataja77-76
01/12/23HSalon Vilpas89-97
28/11/23HBC Nokia93-98
17/11/23HPyrinto Tampere84-60
10/11/23HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki90-96
Kobratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ABisons Loimaa88-76
30/12/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94-109
28/12/23HLahti Basketball102-87
16/12/23HHelsinki Seagulls78-84
09/12/23AKouvot Kouvola63-83
06/12/23HKataja69-88
28/11/23HSalon Vilpas66-76
24/11/23ABC Nokia91-74
18/11/23HKarhu Basket77-68
08/11/23APyrinto Tampere88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game85.487.183.5
Allowed / game87.384.290.8
Point differential-1.9+2.9-7.2
Avg total172.7171.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kobrat
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%56%38%
Points / game82.183.180.9
Allowed / game81.579.384.0
Point differential+0.5+3.8-3.1
Avg total163.6162.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1716194%95.478.1+17.4
2 BC Nokia1712571%90.684.5+6.1
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1610662%89.889.1+0.8
4 Kataja1710759%82.582.5+0.0
5 Salon Vilpas179853%85.284.8+0.4
6 Karhu Basket189950%86.982.3+4.6
7 Kouvot Kouvola178947%90.389.4+0.9
8 Kobrat178947%82.181.5+0.5
9 KTP Kotka Basket178947%85.487.3-1.9
10 Pyrinto Tampere1751229%80.188.0-7.9
11 Bisons Loimaa1741324%83.690.2-6.6
12 Lahti Basketball1731418%86.9101.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket2313201874
Kobrat1318151965
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