KTP Kotka Basket vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 87-78

25-14 26-18 14-30 22-16

Position#8

Record8-8

FormLLWLL

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game87.9

KTP Kotka Basket 🏆

Kobrat

Position#10

Record9-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game84.8

KorisliigaRound 19

Other2022-23

Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kobrat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket Finland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobrat

#10

60-63

-3

A02/11

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

84-85

-1

H04/11

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

75-106

106

-31

A18/11

Korisliiga

Honka

#12

94-78

+16

A22/11

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

99-95

H26/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

87-97

-10

A03/12

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

92-101

101

-9

A11/12

Suomen Cup

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

108-97

108

+11

H13/12

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

71-73

-2

A16/12

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

87-99

-12

A27/12

Korisliiga

24-11

10-23

11-15

15-14

27-18

21-24

22-15

14-28

15-42

22-31

23-21

15-12

24-19

19-16

33-22

18-21

22-22

24-22

24-21

29-30

23-29

23-34

15-14

26-20

23-29

27-23

16-24

26-25

25-24

28-22

26-28

29-23

16-17

27-21

16-17

12-18

24-30

19-24

22-26

22-19

175.1Avg total

85.7Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	88.8	87.9	176.7	+0.9	50%
Season at home (7)	93.1	87.0	180.1	+6.1	71%
Season away (9)	85.4	88.6	174.0	-3.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	89.4	175.1	-3.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	93.4	182.4	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.5	86.2	163.8	-8.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	85.5	85.2	170.7	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker (1)	94.0	78.0	172.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Kobrat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kobrat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lahti Basketball

84-81

A05/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

86-80

H18/11

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

100-62

100

+38

A23/11

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

61-95

-34

A26/11

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

74-77

-3

H30/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

63-88

-25

H06/12

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

81-86

-5

H09/12

Suomen Cup

Salon Vilpas

74-103

103

-29

A13/12

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

82-103

103

-21

H16/12

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

98-100

100

-2

H28/12

Korisliiga

24-21

14-27

30-17

16-16

17-28

26-17

27-16

16-19

26-14

31-16

24-16

19-16

17-27

13-28

9-16

22-24

14-17

27-24

23-21

10-15

15-18

15-22

17-20

16-28

26-26

17-22

17-21

21-17

16-26

15-28

17-25

26-24

17-24

21-26

14-25

30-28

23-26

28-29

30-23

17-22

167.8Avg total

80.3Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.9	84.8	166.7	-2.9	53%
Season at home (9)	81.1	83.7	164.8	-2.6	56%
Season away (8)	82.8	86.1	168.9	-3.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	87.5	167.8	-7.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	96.0	175.6	-16.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	75.4	90.7	166.1	-15.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	83.8	81.7	165.5	+2.1	47%
vs Weaker (5)	87.8	87.0	174.8	+0.8	60%

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KTP Kotka BasketKobrat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	22.8	43.1	-2.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	23.1	42.5	-3.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	24.1	46.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.8	48.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	26.7	46.1	-7.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.6	40.8	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.7	42.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.0	43.4	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.0	22.6	39.6	-5.6	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	22.9	44.3	-1.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	24.5	45.7	-3.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	24.8	49.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	27.0	47.6	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.4	44.6	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	22.8	41.3	-4.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	20%	-

KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobrat

#10

34-34

A02/11

Korisliiga

Salon Vilpas

48-42

H04/11

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

37-73

-36

A18/11

Korisliiga

Honka

#12

43-35

A22/11

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

46-44

H26/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

46-63

-17

A03/12

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

50-52

-2

A11/12

Suomen Cup

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

53-46

H13/12

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

43-38

A16/12

Korisliiga

Lahti Basketball

43-54

-11

A27/12

Korisliiga

92.4Avg total

44.3Scored

48.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	45.6	87.5	-3.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.5	42.9	86.4	+0.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.7	47.5	88.2	-6.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	48.1	92.4	-3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	50.6	97.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.0	53.7	93.7	-13.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Kobrat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KobratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lahti Basketball

38-48

-10

A05/11

Korisliiga

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

#11

43-45

-2

H18/11

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

57-30

+27

A23/11

Korisliiga

Karhu Basket

30-55

-25

A26/11

Korisliiga

Pyrinto Tampere

41-41

H30/11

Korisliiga

Kataja

30-40

-10

H06/12

Korisliiga

BC Nokia

43-48

-5

H09/12

Suomen Cup

Salon Vilpas

31-54

-23

A13/12

Korisliiga

Helsinki Seagulls

38-50

-12

H16/12

Korisliiga

Kouvot Kouvola

51-55

-4

H28/12

Korisliiga

86.8Avg total

40.2Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	41.1	81.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	43.7	82.9	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	46.6	86.8	-6.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	49.4	88.0	-10.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.6	45.3	80.9	-9.8	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.5	40.5	82.1	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.6	41.6	82.2	-1.0	40%	-

This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.4	19.5	42.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.6	22.7	46.3	+0.9	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	22.0	55.0	+11.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.7	41.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.9	22.1	39.0	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	20.6	40.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.2	21.5	43.8	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.7	40.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.8	45.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.5	43.1	86.6	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	46.6	42.9	89.5	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.4	43.2	84.5	-1.8	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.3	82.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.8	84.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.9	44.9	87.7	-2.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	43.5	42.1	85.6	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	43.0	94.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.2	83.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	43.9	84.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	40.9	81.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	46.6	87.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.9	45.3	85.2	-5.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.2	40.2	81.4	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

KTP Kotka Basket wins

Kobrat wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/22	Kobrat v KTP Kotka Basket	63-60
28/01/22	Kobrat v KTP Kotka Basket	79-80
05/11/21	KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat	92-86
05/03/21	KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat	108-110
21/11/20	Kobrat v KTP Kotka Basket	105-100
28/02/20	KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat	88-94
03/01/20	Kobrat v KTP Kotka Basket	75-86
12/11/19	KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat	109-97
27/09/19	Kobrat v KTP Kotka Basket	90-80
19/03/19	KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat	94-69

KTP Kotka Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/22	A	Lahti Basketball	87-99
16/12/22	A	BC Nokia	71-73
13/12/22	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	108-97
11/12/22	A	Helsinki Seagulls	92-101
03/12/22	A	Kataja	87-97
26/11/22	H	Kouvot Kouvola	99-95
22/11/22	A	Honka	94-78
18/11/22	A	Helsinki Seagulls	75-106
04/11/22	H	Salon Vilpas	84-85
02/11/22	A	Kobrat	60-63

Kobratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/22	H	Kouvot Kouvola	98-100
16/12/22	H	Helsinki Seagulls	82-103
13/12/22	A	Salon Vilpas	74-103
09/12/22	H	BC Nokia	81-86
06/12/22	H	Kataja	63-88
30/11/22	H	Pyrinto Tampere	74-77
26/11/22	A	Karhu Basket	61-95
23/11/22	A	BC Nokia	100-62
18/11/22	H	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	86-80
05/11/22	A	Lahti Basketball	84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket

Korisliiga 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	50%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	50%	71%	33%
Points / game	88.8	93.1	85.4
Allowed / game	87.9	87.0	88.6
Point differential	+0.9	+6.1	-3.1
Avg total	176.7	180.1	174.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	57%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kobrat

Korisliiga 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	53%
Home	WLLLL	56%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	53%	56%	50%
Points / game	81.9	81.1	82.8
Allowed / game	84.8	83.7	86.1
Point differential	-2.9	-2.6	-3.4
Avg total	166.7	164.8	168.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	0%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	60% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Karhu Basket	15	13	2	87%	89.3	73.9	+15.4
2	Helsinki Seagulls	17	12	5	71%	88.9	80.5	+8.4
3	Salon Vilpas	17	10	7	59%	89.3	83.1	+6.2
4	Kataja	17	10	7	59%	82.6	79.4	+3.2
5	BC Nokia	17	10	7	59%	74.8	77.1	-2.3
6	Kouvot Kouvola	15	8	7	53%	85.9	85.3	+0.6
7	Kobrat	17	9	8	53%	81.9	84.8	-2.9
8	KTP Kotka Basket	16	8	8	50%	88.8	87.9	+0.9
9	Pyrinto Tampere	16	7	9	44%	82.4	83.8	-1.4
10	Lahti Basketball	17	5	12	29%	80.8	90.1	-9.4
11	Honka	17	4	13	24%	75.5	85.1	-9.6
12	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	17	3	14	18%	81.4	88.8	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
KTP Kotka Basket	25	26	14	22	87
Kobrat	14	18	30	16	78

← all games of the day

KTP Kotka Basket vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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