Kumamoto vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 81-109

26-28 13-30 25-33 17-18

Position#12

Record4-16

FormLLLLW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game91.1

Kumamoto

Brave Thunders 🏆

Position#1

Record18-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game74.2

NBLRound 11

Other2013-14

Meetings · Kumamoto v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

73-104

104

-31

A02/11

NBL

Trians

73-98

-25

A03/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

86-79 OT

H09/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

87-107

107

-20

H10/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

85-99

-14

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

86-112

112

-26

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

75-81

-6

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

84-87

-3

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

83-86 OT

-3

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

88-74

+14

H01/12

NBL

17-30

17-19

24-30

15-25

24-24

14-25

23-25

12-24

22-21

8-19

30-20

12-12

19-30

18-30

27-23

23-24

22-31

15-22

34-19

14-27

24-32

19-22

21-28

22-30

26-17

14-27

18-23

17-14

24-17

17-21

26-19

17-30

21-19

14-13

27-27

14-17

26-22

14-23

21-13

27-16

174.7Avg total

82.0Scored

92.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	80.8	91.1	171.8	-10.3	20%
Season at home (10)	80.2	85.5	165.7	-5.3	30%
Season away (10)	81.3	96.7	178.0	-15.4	10%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	92.7	174.7	-10.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	88.0	171.2	-4.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	80.7	98.7	179.3	-18.0	8%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	79.8	160.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

89-83

H02/11

NBL

Hokkaido

86-77

H03/11

NBL

Alvark

73-65

A09/11

NBL

Alvark

91-84

A10/11

NBL

Chiba

75-68

H16/11

NBL

Chiba

96-82

+14

H17/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

91-73

+18

A22/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

82-54

+28

A23/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

109-80

109

+29

H30/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

86-64

+22

H01/12

NBL

26-21

22-12

17-22

24-28

18-24

21-15

25-23

22-15

16-18

17-14

20-15

20-18

22-21

23-20

24-18

22-25

20-20

13-10

26-18

16-20

27-20

27-8

19-26

23-28

36-12

18-18

20-20

17-23

24-19

14-9

26-15

18-11

32-25

24-16

30-21

23-18

31-18

26-7

19-19

10-20

160.8Avg total

87.8Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	87.0	74.2	161.2	+12.8	90%
Season at home (10)	89.5	77.3	166.8	+12.2	90%
Season away (10)	84.6	71.1	155.7	+13.5	90%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	73.0	160.8	+14.8	100%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	70.6	163.4	+22.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.0	79.5	155.5	-3.5	17%
vs Similar (8)	81.2	75.4	156.6	+5.9	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	87.1	72.6	159.7	+14.6	94%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KumamotoBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.2	23.1	44.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	24.3	46.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.4	45.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	25.2	46.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	19.7	43.1	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	19.8	45.0	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	18.8	48.8	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.7	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.9	18.1	42.0	+5.9	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	15.6	22.9	38.4	-7.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	15.4	21.5	36.9	-6.1	30%	-
Last 30 away (10)	15.7	24.2	39.9	-8.5	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	22.1	37.1	-7.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.0	24.6	40.6	-8.6	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	16.4	34.2	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	16.1	34.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	16.8	34.1	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	12.9	33.4	+7.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	11.6	33.4	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	18.0	34.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.1	18.2	33.4	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.5	14.9	34.4	+4.6	69%	-

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

34-49

-15

A02/11

NBL

Trians

38-49

-11

A03/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

30-40

-10

H09/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

37-60

-23

H10/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-53

-16

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

43-54

-11

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

40-44

-4

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

41-38

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

35-32

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-45

-5

H01/12

NBL

83.9Avg total

37.5Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	36.8	46.0	82.8	-9.2	15%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	35.7	43.0	78.7	-7.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (10)	37.9	49.0	86.9	-11.1	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	46.4	83.9	-8.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	37.0	49.8	86.8	-12.8	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

48-33

+15

H02/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-39

H03/11

NBL

Alvark

33-32

A09/11

NBL

Alvark

45-41

A10/11

NBL

Chiba

33-30

H16/11

NBL

Chiba

54-28

+26

H17/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

54-30

+24

A22/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

38-28

+10

A23/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

56-41

+15

H30/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

57-25

+32

H01/12

NBL

78.4Avg total

45.7Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	34.8	74.0	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	35.8	77.4	+5.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.2	33.9	71.1	+3.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	32.7	78.4	+13.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	30.4	82.2	+21.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.2	39.3	74.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	33.9	34.9	68.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.4	33.0	76.4	+10.4	81%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	24.6	22.8	47.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	25.4	21.7	47.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.8	23.8	47.6	+0.0	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	22.7	47.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	25.8	24.5	50.3	+1.3	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.2	41.2	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	19.9	43.2	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.7	39.3	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.1	18.1	41.2	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.1	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.6	23.9	43.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.7	23.8	40.4	-7.1	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	17.3	38.2	+3.5	83%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.4	21.0	43.4	+1.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.8	20.7	41.4	+0.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	42.9	44.2	87.2	-1.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	43.4	47.7	91.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	44.6	87.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	43.4	85.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	42.5	48.2	90.8	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.2	81.8	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.3	82.5	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	40.9	85.3	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	45.5	39.1	84.6	+6.4	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	43.7	39.6	83.2	+4.1	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kumamoto wins

Brave Thunders wins

No previous meetings.

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/13	H	Kobe	88-74
30/11/13	H	Kobe	83-86 OT
24/11/13	A	Tsukuba	84-87
23/11/13	A	Tsukuba	75-81
17/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	86-112
16/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-99
10/11/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	87-107
09/11/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	86-79 OT
03/11/13	A	Trians	73-98
02/11/13	A	Trians	73-104

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/13	H	Tochigi Brex	86-64
30/11/13	H	Tochigi Brex	109-80
23/11/13	A	Sun Rockers	82-54
22/11/13	A	Sun Rockers	91-73
17/11/13	H	Chiba	96-82
16/11/13	H	Chiba	75-68
10/11/13	A	Alvark	91-84
09/11/13	A	Alvark	73-65
03/11/13	H	Hokkaido	86-77
02/11/13	H	Hokkaido	89-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	WWLLW	30%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	20%	30%	10%
Points / game	80.8	80.2	81.3
Allowed / game	91.1	85.5	96.7
Point differential	-10.3	-5.3	-15.4
Avg total	171.8	165.7	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	10%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Brave Thunders

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LWWWW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	90%	90%	90%
Points / game	87.0	89.5	84.6
Allowed / game	74.2	77.3	71.1
Point differential	+12.8	+12.2	+13.5
Avg total	161.2	166.8	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	21	20	1	95%	87.5	72.4	+15.1
2	Brave Thunders	20	18	2	90%	87.0	74.2	+12.8
3	Trians	19	14	5	74%	86.8	74.9	+11.9
4	Alvark	21	15	6	71%	82.3	71.4	+11.0
5	Diamond Dolphins	21	13	8	62%	80.9	74.6	+6.2
6	Hokkaido	21	11	10	52%	76.7	76.1	+0.6
7	Tochigi Brex	20	10	10	50%	79.4	79.0	+0.3
8	Tsukuba	21	5	16	24%	69.7	84.8	-15.0
9	Kobe	18	4	14	22%	73.8	83.1	-9.3
10	Kumamoto	20	4	16	20%	80.8	91.1	-10.3
11	Chiba	21	4	17	19%	65.8	76.0	-10.2
12	Sun Rockers	21	4	17	19%	71.8	84.9	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kumamoto	26	13	25	17	81
Brave Thunders	28	30	33	18	109

← all games of the day

Kumamoto vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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