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Kutaisi vs Orbi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Projected 85-83
Projected total 168.5
Final 80-81
14-20 24-18 22-19 20-24
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.4
Kutaisi
Georgia
Vs
57%
43%
■ KUT 57%■ ORBI 43%
Pythia win probability
Orbi 🏆
Georgia
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.0
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 6· Sports Palace
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kutaisi v Orbi
06 Nov 2026
KUT80
ORBI81
22 May 2026
KUT80
ORBI86
12 Oct 2025
KUT93
ORBI86
10 Nov 2024
KUT108
ORBI94
30 Mar 2024
KUT101
ORBI88
06 Mar 2024
KUT106
ORBI100
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Kutaisi face Orbi in the Superleague on 6 November 2026, with Kutaisi coming off a rough 1-4 season while Orbi sit comfortably in second place with a 3-1 record; the contrast is stark as Kutaisi have struggled overall, averaging 78.8 points and conceding 84.4, whereas Orbi average 84.8 and allow 83.0, and Orbi have won both road games 2-0 with 82.5 points scored and 78.0 allowed. Kutaisi's lone win came at home, 98-81 against TSU, and their last five games show one win and four losses, including a 80-89 defeat to Telavi and a 74-75 loss to Iverioni; Orbi's last five feature four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 82-81 victory over Black Fortress and a 78-75 win over Margveti, with a recent 92-95 loss to Rustavi. In the nine meetings between them, Kutaisi lead 7-2, though Orbi won the most recent encounter 86-80 on 22 May. Pythia rates Kutaisi 57% to win versus Orbi's 43%, projecting a 85-83 score and 168.5 total points; the home line is -2.0 with a 52% chance of covering, and the over line of 167.0 has a 53% probability, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Kutaisi can translate their single home victory into a win against a higher-ranked opponent.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kutaisi winLost
57.1%fair 1.75
Best odds1.83
Implied59.4%
Edge-2.3pp
Orbi winWon
42.9%fair 2.33
Best odds2.50
Implied40.6%
Edge+2.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KutaisiGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKutaisi
Date
Competition
Batumi
#1
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 78
A08/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 78
A10/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 78
H13/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
58avg 78
H15/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 78
H22/05
Superleague
Batumi
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 78
A02/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
46avg 78
A09/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
58avg 78
A16/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 78
H25/10
Superleague
Telavi
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 78
A01/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
17-19
19-14
20-13
11-20
14-14
29-25
28-31
22-25
21-23
18-20
18-28
26-13
23-21
10-27
11-22
25-28
21-15
16-19
18-24
14-26
26-13
18-16
19-25
23-20
16-19
12-31
14-27
14-23
27-12
14-15
19-25
20-26
23-18
29-16
26-21
18-20
22-27
20-16
20-26
162.8Avg total
78.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.884.4163.2-5.620%
Season at home (1)98.081.0179.0+17.0100%
Season away (4)74.085.2159.2-11.20%
Last 10 (10)78.184.7162.8-6.620%
Last 5 (5)78.884.4163.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.892.8167.6-18.020%
vs Similar (11)79.581.7161.2-2.336%
vs Weaker (14)92.683.1175.8+9.579%
This opponent (Orbi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrbiGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrbi
Date
Competition
Margveti
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
20avg 76
A03/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
83avg 76
A08/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 76
A10/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
56avg 76
H13/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
60avg 76
H15/05
Superleague
Kutaisi
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 76
A22/05
Superleague
Telavi
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
56avg 76
A04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
88avg 76
H18/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
70avg 76
A25/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
80avg 76
H01/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
23-21
16-16
15-10
24-20
15-22
17-27
32-23
24-21
28-13
18-24
21-27
11-36
11-21
24-12
22-20
16-26
18-33
15-19
22-18
28-25
15-21
19-16
24-18
18-24
24-21
21-13
24-23
15-30
22-18
27-23
28-24
17-15
20-20
19-14
22-26
20-14
14-19
18-22
30-26
166.8Avg total
82.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.883.0167.8+1.875%
Season at home (2)87.088.0175.0-1.050%
Season away (2)82.578.0160.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.284.6166.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)85.082.4167.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.390.7171.0-10.322%
vs Similar (17)88.187.6175.7+0.459%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.579.8162.2+2.8100%
This opponent (Kutaisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5Actual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
65.5%
Under 161.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5 · main lineActual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
53.8%
@ 1.85+3.3pp
Under 166.5
46.2%
@ 1.91-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5
Over 171.5
41.9%
Under 171.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kutaisi total 79.5Actual: Kutaisi over 79.5
Over 79.5
71.0%
Under 79.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kutaisi total 83.5 · main lineActual: Kutaisi under 83.5
Over 83.5
56.5%
@ 1.83+6.0pp
Under 83.5
43.5%
@ 1.85-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Kutaisi total 87.5Actual: Kutaisi under 87.5
Over 87.5
41.1%
Under 87.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orbi total 77.5Actual: Orbi over 77.5
Over 77.5
70.6%
Under 77.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orbi total 81.5 · main lineActual: Orbi under 81.5
Over 81.5
56.1%
@ 1.82+6.0pp
Under 81.5
43.9%
@ 1.83-6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.83
Orbi total 85.5Actual: Orbi under 85.5
Over 85.5
40.9%
Under 85.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kutaisi -6.5Actual: Orbi +6.5
KUT -6.5
35.3%
ORBI +6.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
KUT
No market prices yet.
ORBI
No market prices yet.
Spread Kutaisi -3.5 · main lineActual: Orbi +3.5
KUT -3.5
46.5%
@ 1.91-2.5pp
ORBI +3.5
53.5%
@ 1.95+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
KUT
Pinnacle
1.91
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.74
ORBI
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Spread Kutaisi -0.5Actual: Orbi +0.5
KUT -0.5
57.1%
ORBI +0.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
KUT
No market prices yet.
ORBI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
KutaisiOrbi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KutaisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A08/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A10/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H13/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/05
Superleague
Orbi
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/05
Superleague
Batumi
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/10
Superleague
TSU
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
Superleague
Telavi
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/11
Superleague
80.9Avg total
40.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83.5
Last 30 (30)42.841.984.7+0.947%57%
Last 30 at home (14)46.141.487.4+4.750%64%
Last 30 away (16)39.942.482.4-2.544%50%
Last 10 (10)40.340.680.9-0.340%40%
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.447.083.4-10.620%60%
vs Similar (11)41.040.481.4+0.645%45%
vs Weaker (14)46.541.487.9+5.157%64%
This opponent (Orbi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrbiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Margveti
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A10/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
22-57
22
57
-35
H13/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H15/05
Superleague
Kutaisi
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/05
Superleague
Telavi
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H18/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A25/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/11
Superleague
83.3Avg total
38.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 83.5
Last 30 (30)39.844.584.3-4.737%53%
Last 30 at home (14)37.643.681.3-6.036%43%
Last 30 away (16)41.645.286.9-3.638%62%
Last 10 (10)38.844.583.3-5.740%60%
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.345.684.9-6.233%56%
vs Similar (17)41.545.386.8-3.835%65%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)33.538.872.2-5.250%0%
This opponent (Kutaisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Orbi win
KUT win
no forecast
@ 1.80
ORBI win
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Spread Kutaisi -0.5 · main lineActual: Orbi +0.5
KUT -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
ORBI +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 83.5 · main lineActual: Under 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Kutaisi 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Kutaisi under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Orbi 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Orbi under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half: KUT + total 83.5
KUT & over
no forecast
@ 3.65
KUT & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Orbi (regulation)
KUT
no forecast
@ 1.83
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
ORBI
no forecast
@ 2.25

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KUT win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
ORBI win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KUT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ORBI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Overtime: no94.6%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.1pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kutaisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kutaisi: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.616.5
41.7%
48.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
31.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.917.3
72.4%
64.0%17.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orbitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orbi: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.1
46.4%
48.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
31.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.018.1
72.4%
64.0%18.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kutaisi
LWLLLLLLLW
Orbi
WWLWWLLWLW
#10
League position
#2
-7.7
Net rating
-4.1
82.6
Offensive rating
88.3
90.3
Defensive rating
92.4
43.2%
Effective FG%
47.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.2%
3-point %
32.6%
69.0%
Assist %
68.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 88.3Defence90.3 · 92.4Shooting43.2% · 47.4%3-point %30.2% · 32.6%Ball care14.6% · 16.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Kutaisi   ■ Orbi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kutaisi wins
2
Orbi wins
DateGameScore
22/05/26Kutaisi v Orbi80-86
31/01/26Orbi v Kutaisi75-85
12/10/25Kutaisi v Orbi93-86
12/03/25Orbi v Kutaisi77-89
10/11/24Kutaisi v Orbi108-94
30/03/24Kutaisi v Orbi101-88
06/03/24Kutaisi v Orbi106-100
06/02/24Orbi v Kutaisi70-76
09/12/23Orbi v Kutaisi98-88
Kutaisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ATelavi80-89
25/10/26HTSU98-81
16/10/26AIverioni74-75
09/10/26ACIU65-97
02/10/26ABatumi77-80
22/05/26HOrbi80-86
15/05/26HBatumi70-83
13/05/26HBatumi79-96
10/05/26ABatumi82-90
08/05/26ABatumi76-70
Orbilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HBlack Fortress82-81
25/10/26AMargveti78-75
18/10/26HRustavi92-95
04/10/26ATelavi87-81
22/05/26AKutaisi86-80
15/05/26HTSU71-96
13/05/26HTSU68-89
10/05/26ATSU91-85
08/05/26ATSU88-92
03/05/26AMargveti79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kutaisi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game78.898.074.0
Allowed / game84.481.085.2
Point differential-5.6+17.0-11.2
Avg total163.2179.0159.2
Over 166.540%100%25%
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orbi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game84.887.082.5
Allowed / game83.088.078.0
Point differential+1.8-1.0+4.5
Avg total167.8175.0160.5
Over 166.550%50%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU440100%93.272.0+21.2
2 Orbi43175%84.883.0+1.8
3 Rustavi43175%87.887.5+0.2
4 Batumi32167%75.375.7-0.3
5 Telavi53260%85.482.0+3.4
6 TSU53260%85.084.0+1.0
7 Iverioni42250%77.078.2-1.2
8 Akhaltsikhe42250%75.079.5-4.5
9 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
10 Kutaisi51420%78.884.4-5.6
11 Black Fortress5050%79.288.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kutaisi1424222080
Orbi2018192481
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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