On 15 November 2026 the Premijer liga will feature Kvarner against Alkar, with the model designating Kvarner as the favourite largely because of their 4-3 record, 88.9 points per game and 83.9 allowed, placing them fourth in the league, while Alkar sit eighth with a 2-5 record, 80.7 points per game and 82.7 allowed; Kvarner's home form is strong, 3-1 with 94.5 points per game and 75.8 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 95-81 home victory over Dubrava and a 90-71 win over Zabok, whereas Alkar's road record is 1-2, 82.7 points per game and 86.3 allowed, and they have secured only one win in their last five, a 91-72 home triumph over Dubrovnik. The teams are even in head-to-head history, each winning five of ten meetings, with Alkar's most recent win being a 77-69 victory on 15 April 2026. Pythia projects an 81% chance of a Kvarner win and a 19% chance for Alkar, with a 87-77 scoreline and 164.2 total points; the home line is -8.0 with a 57% probability of covering, the total line is 166.0 with a 45% probability of the over, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on Kvarner's ability to maintain their defensive edge against Alkar's recent struggles on the road.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 88.9 | 83.9 | 172.7 | +5.0 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 94.5 | 75.8 | 170.2 | +18.8 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 81.3 | 94.7 | 176.0 | -13.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.2 | 86.4 | 169.6 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 79.4 | 170.6 | +11.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 78.8 | 91.0 | 169.8 | -12.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (11) | 78.7 | 83.7 | 162.5 | -5.0 | 27% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 90.6 | 77.6 | 168.1 | +13.0 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 80.7 | 82.7 | 163.4 | -2.0 | 29% |
| Season at home (4) | 79.2 | 80.0 | 159.2 | -0.8 | 25% |
| Season away (3) | 82.7 | 86.3 | 169.0 | -3.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.9 | 85.1 | 167.0 | -3.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 81.6 | 161.4 | -1.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 71.2 | 80.9 | 152.1 | -9.7 | 20% |
| vs Similar (6) | 80.3 | 82.2 | 162.5 | -1.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 84.5 | 79.5 | 164.0 | +5.0 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.2 | 42.1 | 83.3 | -1.0 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.5 | 40.1 | 82.7 | +2.4 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.8 | 44.1 | 83.9 | -4.3 | 20% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.2 | 41.3 | 82.5 | -0.1 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 40.0 | 84.2 | +4.2 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 40.6 | 44.7 | 85.2 | -4.1 | 33% | 58% |
| vs Similar (11) | 39.8 | 42.0 | 81.8 | -2.2 | 18% | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 44.3 | 38.0 | 82.3 | +6.3 | 86% | 43% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 83.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.7 | 40.1 | 77.8 | -2.4 | 33% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.4 | 37.6 | 76.0 | +0.8 | 47% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.0 | 42.7 | 79.7 | -5.7 | 20% | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.4 | 43.6 | 86.0 | -1.2 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 43.0 | 87.2 | +1.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 35.5 | 39.9 | 75.4 | -4.4 | 20% | 20% |
| vs Similar (6) | 39.5 | 40.5 | 80.0 | -1.0 | 67% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 45.8 | 40.8 | 86.5 | +5.0 | 50% | 75% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 174.5 | 73.8% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.6pp |
| Alkar under 83.5 | 73.5% | 1.48 | 1.55 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +13.0pp |
| Kvarner under 93.5 | 74.1% | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +8.4pp |
| Kvarner (regulation) | 78.6% | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | +8.0pp |
| Kvarner -1.5 | 78.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.7 | 20.7 | 54.8% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.5 | 9.9 | 34.2% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.4 | 12.2 | 71.7% | 12.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.6 | 21.1 | 54.8% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 8.4 | 34.2% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 13.0 | 71.7% | 13.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 | Alkar v Kvarner | 77-69 |
| 08/02/26 | Alkar v Kvarner | 77-73 |
| 24/11/25 | Kvarner v Alkar | 95-63 |
| 25/04/25 | Kvarner v Alkar | 98-92 |
| 22/02/25 | Alkar v Kvarner | 81-61 |
| 05/10/24 | Kvarner v Alkar | 81-64 |
| 14/03/17 | Kvarner v Alkar | 64-68 |
| 19/11/16 | Alkar v Kvarner | 89-71 |
| 23/03/16 | Kvarner v Alkar | 104-87 |
| 12/12/15 | Alkar v Kvarner | 74-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | A | Zadar | 80-109 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Dubrava | 95-81 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Zabok | 90-71 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Dubrovnik | 91-81 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Dinamo Zagreb | 100-55 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Split | 73-94 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Cedevita Junior | 93-96 |
| 16/05/26 | H | Zadar | 72-96 |
| 13/05/26 | A | Zadar | 70-90 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Cibona | 68-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Dubrovnik | 91-72 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Donar Groningen | 80-92 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Dinamo Zagreb | 75-85 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Split | 75-76 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 78-83 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 82-93 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Skrljevo | 73-88 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Samobor | 95-91 OT |
| 30/09/26 | A | Zrinjski Mostar | 92-87 OT |
| 27/09/26 | H | Cibona | 78-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 57% |
| Home | LWWW | 75% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Points / game | 88.9 | 94.5 | 81.3 |
| Allowed / game | 83.9 | 75.8 | 94.7 |
| Point differential | +5.0 | +18.8 | -13.3 |
| Avg total | 172.7 | 170.2 | 176.0 |
| Over 166.25 | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 29% |
| Home | LLLW | 25% |
| Away | WLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Points / game | 80.7 | 79.2 | 82.7 |
| Allowed / game | 82.7 | 80.0 | 86.3 |
| Point differential | -2.0 | -0.8 | -3.7 |
| Avg total | 163.4 | 159.2 | 169.0 |
| Over 166.25 | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.3 | 67.0 | +27.3 | |
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 90.9 | 76.1 | +14.8 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.9 | 76.1 | +5.8 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 77.2 | 81.2 | -4.0 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.9 | 83.9 | +5.0 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 83.2 | 83.6 | -0.4 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.8 | 88.9 | -9.1 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.7 | 82.7 | -2.0 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.6 | 83.0 | -5.4 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 77.8 | 89.5 | -11.8 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.6 | 85.0 | -10.4 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 76.6 | 83.9 | -7.2 |
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