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Kvarner vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-96
13-20 26-25 24-28 9-23
Position#11
Record12-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record30-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game71.1
CroatiaPremijer ligaPremijer liga - Quarter-finals· Centar Zamet
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kvarner v Zadar
29 Jan 2027
KVAR v ZAD
upcoming
16 May 2026
KVAR72
ZAD96
27 Dec 2025
KVAR79
ZAD69
28 Feb 2025
KVAR79
ZAD68
11 Oct 2016
KVAR72
ZAD77
07 Apr 2016
KVAR86
ZAD67
21 Apr 2015
KVAR86
ZAD85
15 Apr 2014
KVAR79
ZAD91
07 May 2013
KVAR70
ZAD72
06 Dec 2011
KVAR67
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
79avg 70
H21/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
75avg 70
A28/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
83avg 70
A03/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
96-67
96
67
+29
93avg 70
H11/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 70
A15/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
56avg 70
H19/04
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 70
A24/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 70
H03/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
62avg 70
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 70
A13/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
25-17
17-12
22-26
31-25
18-18
19-21
13-25
18-17
12-19
18-22
30-22
20-22
29-13
20-21
27-11
23-16
14-22
13-18
19-21
19-21
18-19
11-16
16-19
18-19
22-19
18-28
23-26
32-22
19-20
27-24
16-9
14-22
23-22
14-32
17-15
5-21
27-16
22-24
16-29
161.6Avg total
79.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.383.0161.3-4.735%
Season at home (16)80.179.6159.8+0.556%
Season away (18)76.786.0162.7-9.317%
Last 10 (10)79.282.4161.6-3.230%
Last 5 (5)75.484.6160.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.988.7169.6-7.936%
vs Similar (14)78.779.9158.6-1.236%
vs Weaker (2)82.579.5162.0+3.050%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
71avg 79
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 79
A17/04
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 79
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 79
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
54avg 79
A27/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A29/04
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
62avg 79
A30/04
ABA League
Split
#2
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 79
H03/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
113-71
113
71
+42
119avg 79
H10/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 79
H13/05
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
28-16
27-13
8-16
17-24
24-11
18-15
16-15
28-25
20-16
14-18
17-18
18-17
10-21
20-22
22-15
5-26
20-15
21-19
13-13
20-28
24-14
20-23
24-19
14-22
18-15
25-27
11-22
16-17
27-15
15-23
32-12
25-23
37-13
21-17
30-18
21-5
16-27
24-22
29-16
154.1Avg total
80.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.171.1158.2+16.088%
Season at home (18)90.268.2158.4+21.9100%
Season away (16)83.774.3158.0+9.475%
Last 10 (10)80.873.3154.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)89.875.6165.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.0112.0213.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)68.470.7139.1-2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.570.9158.4+16.690%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
KvarnerZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H21/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A03/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H11/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A15/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H19/04
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A13/05
Premijer liga
80.0Avg total
40.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.483.0-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.041.682.6-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)40.343.083.3-2.725%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.680.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.279.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.444.385.7-2.943%-
vs Similar (14)39.540.680.1-1.121%-
vs Weaker (2)43.041.084.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A17/04
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A23/04
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A27/04
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/04
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A30/04
ABA League
Split
#2
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/05
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H13/05
Premijer liga
77.1Avg total
40.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.377.8+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.282.3+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)37.935.473.3+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.077.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.879.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.042.089.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (9)33.736.870.4-3.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.835.880.5+9.085%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.4
53.0%
53.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.7
31.0%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
74.3%14.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.0
55.6%
53.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.4
33.5%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
74.3%16.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
LLWLLLWLLW
Zadar
WWWLWLLWWW
#11
League position
#1
-3.9
Net rating
+10.8
89.8
Offensive rating
99.3
93.6
Defensive rating
88.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.0%
3-point %
33.5%
63.3%
Assist %
70.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 99.3Defence93.6 · 88.5Shooting50.2% · 53.1%3-point %31.0% · 33.5%Ball care16.0% · 14.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Kvarner   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kvarner wins
8
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
13/05/26Zadar v Kvarner90-70
18/03/26Zadar v Kvarner90-78
27/12/25Kvarner v Zadar79-69
02/10/25Zadar v Kvarner93-71
09/04/25Zadar v Kvarner92-72
28/02/25Kvarner v Zadar79-68
08/12/24Zadar v Kvarner77-63
18/01/17Zadar v Kvarner101-64
11/10/16Kvarner v Zadar72-77
27/04/16Zadar v Kvarner81-66
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26AZadar70-90
09/05/26ACibona68-91
03/05/26HZabok94-75
24/04/26ASamobor81-92
19/04/26HDubrovnik64-75
15/04/26AAlkar69-77
11/04/26HDinamo Zagreb96-67
03/04/26ADubrava78-80
28/03/26AGKK Sibenka81-89
21/03/26HCedevita Junior91-88 OT
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HKvarner90-70
10/05/26HGKK Sibenka113-71
03/05/26HSplit90-67
30/04/26ASpartak Subotica68-86
29/04/26ASamobor88-84
27/04/26AStudentski Centar59-73
23/04/26ACibona70-75
19/04/26HZabok79-77
17/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-65
14/04/26HFMP Beograd76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %35%56%17%
Points / game78.380.176.7
Allowed / game83.079.686.0
Point differential-4.7+0.5-9.3
Avg total161.3159.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.190.283.7
Allowed / game71.168.274.3
Point differential+16.0+21.9+9.4
Avg total158.2158.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%94%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar3430488%87.171.1+16.0
2 Split3426876%90.580.4+10.1
3 Cibona3426876%83.874.7+9.1
4 Samobor34181653%86.685.1+1.4
5 Dubrovnik34181653%79.481.3-1.9
6 Zabok34151944%79.480.5-1.1
7 Dubrava34151944%81.583.9-2.3
8 Cedevita Junior33122136%79.582.6-3.1
9 Alkar33122136%70.978.8-7.9
10 Kvarner34122235%78.383.0-4.7
11 Dinamo Zagreb33102330%83.288.7-5.5
12 GKK Sibenka3382524%76.687.6-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner132624972
Zadar2025282396
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