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Kvarner vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-77
17-18 19-18 21-17 26-24
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game73.7
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game55.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 4· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kvarner v KK Zagreb
28 Oct 2023
KVAR83
KK Z77
02 Apr 2023
KVAR88
KK Z67
12 Feb 2023
KVAR74
KK Z66
07 Dec 2022
KVAR68
KK Z66
02 Apr 2022
KVAR59
KK Z71
27 Feb 2022
KVAR93
KK Z80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
96-99
96
99
-3
no box
H15/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A30/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
60-51
60
51
+9
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
no box
A10/05
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 98
H08/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-57
99
57
+42
102avg 98
H14/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
102-94
102
94
+8
102avg 98
A22/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
9-23
23-19
16-11
18-22
26-24
19-30
33-23
23-14
22-21
29-23
13-24
22-11
19-16
22-16
25-14
17-20
19-16
17-21
13-17
14-12
15-10
21-10
10-19
14-21
22-23
17-25
10-17
21-17
22-23
28-17
20-13
26-8
18-17
26-22
29-10
21-39
32-7
25-30
24-18
156.4Avg total
82.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.373.7171.0+23.7100%
Season at home (2)95.063.5158.5+31.5100%
Season away (1)102.094.0196.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.174.3156.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)83.071.6154.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.475.9146.2-5.525%
vs Similar (4)78.884.2163.0-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.469.6154.1+14.882%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
55-104
55
104
-49
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H23/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
H30/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H06/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A09/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 85
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
77avg 85
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-36
78
36
+42
82avg 85
H22/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
22-22
13-18
16-18
16-28
15-30
16-20
8-26
16-17
18-19
14-15
17-18
18-23
14-23
12-25
24-20
20-17
16-19
21-17
17-13
27-13
27-25
15-22
13-20
29-14
14-22
9-29
14-21
21-22
25-16
30-17
21-15
9-18
21-19
23-14
25-10
21-20
25-8
19-4
13-4
146.7Avg total
72.7Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.355.7140.0+28.7100%
Season at home (2)87.553.0140.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.774.0146.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.266.6146.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)66.377.9144.2-11.520%
vs Similar (10)79.671.4151.0+8.270%
vs Weaker (4)89.260.0149.2+29.2100%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
KvarnerKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A12/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A30/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/05
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H14/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A22/10
Prva Liga
76.5Avg total
40.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.075.5+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.435.677.0+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)37.036.573.5+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.476.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.476.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.539.976.4-3.425%-
vs Similar (4)39.841.881.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.133.174.1+8.082%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H16/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H23/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/10
Prva Liga
78.1Avg total
38.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.075.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.374.0+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.776.2-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.478.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.479.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.837.972.7-3.133%-
vs Similar (10)40.636.176.7+4.560%-
vs Weaker (4)46.036.282.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.723.3
63.6%
52.9%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.312.0
42.4%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.314.0
85.7%
71.2%14.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.3
57.1%
52.9%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
32.9%
32.9%26.0
🏀 Free throws18.715.0
80.4%
71.2%15.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
WWWLWLWWLL
KK Zagreb
WWWLWWLLLL
#1
League position
#3
+31.5
Net rating
+40.5
125.1
Offensive rating
115.5
93.6
Defensive rating
75.0
63.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
38.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
41.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
42.4%
3-point %
32.9%
61.3%
Assist %
71.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence125.1 · 115.5Defence93.6 · 75.0Shooting63.6% · 53.9%3-point %42.4% · 32.9%Ball care16.0% · 19.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 41.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kvarner   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kvarner wins
4
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
30/04/23KK Zagreb v Kvarner74-66
02/04/23Kvarner v KK Zagreb88-67
12/02/23Kvarner v KK Zagreb74-66
07/12/22Kvarner v KK Zagreb68-66
13/11/22KK Zagreb v Kvarner74-64
01/05/22KK Zagreb v Kvarner77-68
02/04/22Kvarner v KK Zagreb59-71
27/02/22Kvarner v KK Zagreb93-80
27/11/21KK Zagreb v Kvarner67-76
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AMarsonia102-94
14/10/23HPodstrana99-57
08/10/23HSamobor91-70
10/05/23AOsijek63-86
07/05/23HDubrovnik60-51
30/04/23AKK Zagreb66-74
26/04/23HOmis88-57
22/04/23HKastela87-82
15/04/23HOsijek96-99
12/04/23ADubrovnik69-73
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HOmis78-36
14/10/23AGorica78-61
08/10/23HStoja97-70
09/05/23ADubrovnik66-86
06/05/23HOmis82-80
30/04/23HKvarner74-66
26/04/23AKastela68-91
23/04/23HOsijek65-69
16/04/23HDubrovnik55-104
12/04/23AOmis64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.395.0102.0
Allowed / game73.763.594.0
Point differential+23.7+31.5+8.0
Avg total171.0158.5196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.387.578.0
Allowed / game55.753.061.0
Point differential+28.7+34.5+17.0
Avg total140.0140.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Zagreb330100%84.355.7+28.7
2 Kvarner330100%97.373.7+23.7
3 Osijek330100%92.071.7+20.3
4 Gorica43175%76.867.8+9.0
5 Hermes32167%86.787.3-0.7
6 Jazine32167%93.096.3-3.3
7 Samobor42250%80.582.5-2.0
8 Kastela31233%82.780.3+2.3
9 Omis31233%68.373.3-5.0
10 Marsonia31233%77.085.7-8.7
11 Mladost41325%82.891.8-9.0
12 Crikvenica41325%71.881.8-10.0
13 Stoja3030%85.398.0-12.7
14 Podstrana3030%65.093.7-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner1719212683
KK Zagreb1818172477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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