PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Gorica vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 61-78
18-9 19-21 14-23 10-25
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game60.0
Gorica
Croatia
vs
KK Zagreb 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game70.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 2· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v KK Zagreb
15 Nov 2025
GORI88
KK Z61
22 Feb 2025
GORI78
KK Z81
14 Oct 2023
GORI61
KK Z78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
92-81
92
81
+11
no box
H25/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
80-107
80
107
-27
no box
A29/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
no box
A31/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
H16/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
80-96
80
96
-16
no box
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 80
A08/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
20-22
24-23
26-20
23-14
28-25
11-36
18-32
13-22
17-19
18-16
23-12
17-18
28-30
15-21
23-15
19-12
24-16
22-31
7-13
19-18
28-24
19-22
14-16
21-21
23-25
20-32
16-18
24-25
14-23
25-21
20-21
19-16
17-15
17-15
20-33
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
170.0Avg total
83.9Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.060.0140.0+20.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.060.0140.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.986.1170.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)85.085.4170.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.590.3164.7-15.89%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.483.8166.2-1.344%
vs Weaker (1)80.060.0140.0+20.0100%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
H25/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
67-88
67
88
-21
no box
A02/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
55-104
55
104
-49
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H23/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
H30/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H06/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A09/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 95
H08/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
19-13
18-28
6-23
19-23
22-23
15-16
11-26
13-19
22-22
13-18
16-18
16-28
15-30
16-20
8-26
16-17
18-19
14-15
17-18
18-23
14-23
12-25
24-20
20-17
16-19
21-17
17-13
27-13
27-25
15-22
13-20
29-14
14-22
9-29
14-21
21-22
25-16
30-17
21-15
150.3Avg total
69.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.070.0167.0+27.0100%
Season at home (1)97.070.0167.0+27.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.980.4150.3-10.530%
Last 5 (5)77.478.6156.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.377.9144.2-11.520%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.374.5156.8+7.773%
vs Weaker (3)93.068.0161.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -5.3-5.3
GoricaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A29/03
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A31/03
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H16/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
80.6Avg total
41.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.379.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.179.6+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)38.541.379.8-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.743.580.3-6.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.038.979.9+2.156%-
vs Weaker (1)40.029.069.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H25/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H16/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H23/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/10
Prva Liga
78.6Avg total
38.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.675.8+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.235.974.1+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.277.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.778.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.837.972.7-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.536.978.4+4.555%-
vs Weaker (3)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.0
58.8%
52.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.09.0
52.9%
71.2%9.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.0
50.0%
52.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.013.0
46.4%
32.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
71.2%14.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WLLLWLLWLW
KK Zagreb
WLWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#3
+22.3
Net rating
+40.5
103.8
Offensive rating
135.5
81.5
Defensive rating
95.0
57.4%
Effective FG%
57.6%
38.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
26.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
43.8%
Off. rebound %
55.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.0%
3-point %
46.4%
53.3%
Assist %
68.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 135.5Defence81.5 · 95.0Shooting57.4% · 57.6%3-point %37.0% · 46.4%Ball care26.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds43.8% · 55.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Gorica   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
0
KK Zagreb wins
No previous meetings.
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60
07/05/23ADinamo Zagreb73-79
30/04/23HSkrljevo83-90
26/04/23HBosco80-96
22/04/23AAlkar109-102 OT
16/04/23HZabok88-93 OT
12/04/23HDinamo Zagreb83-84
31/03/23ASkrljevo71-69
29/03/23ABosco80-107
25/03/23HAlkar92-81
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HStoja97-70
09/05/23ADubrovnik66-86
06/05/23HOmis82-80
30/04/23HKvarner74-66
26/04/23AKastela68-91
23/04/23HOsijek65-69
16/04/23HDubrovnik55-104
12/04/23AOmis64-77
02/04/23AKvarner67-88
25/03/23HKastela61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game60.0-60.0
Point differential+20.0-+20.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+27.0+27.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek110100%100.069.0+31.0
2 Omis110100%94.065.0+29.0
3 KK Zagreb110100%97.070.0+27.0
4 Kvarner110100%91.070.0+21.0
5 Gorica110100%80.060.0+20.0
6 Mladost110100%90.074.0+16.0
7 Jazine110100%90.089.0+1.0
8 Hermes21150%76.587.5-11.0
9 Kastela1010%89.090.0-1.0
10 Samobor2020%72.587.5-15.0
11 Crikvenica1010%74.090.0-16.0
12 Marsonia1010%60.080.0-20.0
13 Stoja1010%70.097.0-27.0
14 Podstrana1010%65.094.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1819141061
KK Zagreb921232578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.