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La Rochelle vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-86
20-22 20-30 17-19 21-15
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game78.9
FranceLNBRound 8· Salle Gaston Neveur
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
67-49
67
49
+18
86avg 84
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
82avg 84
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
56-64
56
64
-8
70avg 84
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
72avg 84
H27/09
LNB
Paris
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
82avg 84
A06/10
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
60avg 84
A12/10
LNB
Angers
#22
W
81-78
81
78
+3
83avg 84
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
57-94
57
94
-37
59avg 84
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
107avg 84
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
62-83
62
83
-21
71avg 84
A01/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
9-15
25-12
15-12
16-13
17-10
12-21
15-16
18-16
10-17
18-14
10-17
9-17
18-20
20-24
17-17
21-23
20-23
14-17
20-21
11-20
14-22
23-15
14-25
16-37
29-18
25-16
11-7
10-28
15-23
16-16
16-27
32-26
19-19
21-25
23-18
16-23
17-21
16-17
13-22
145.8Avg total
69.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.381.9149.1-14.614%
Season at home (2)60.586.0146.5-25.50%
Season away (5)70.080.2150.2-10.220%
Last 10 (10)69.176.7145.8-7.640%
Last 5 (5)71.485.0156.4-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.081.1151.1-11.129%
vs Similar (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (21)72.466.0138.4+6.571%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
86-61
86
61
+25
104avg 88
A05/10
LNB
Venezia
#11
W
88-66
88
66
+22
85avg 88
A08/10
Eurocup
Limoges
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
87avg 88
H12/10
LNB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
67-63
67
63
+4
63avg 88
H15/10
Eurocup
Dijon
#8
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
106avg 88
H19/10
LNB
Lietkabelis
#18
L
80-84
80
84
-4
66avg 88
A22/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
100avg 88
A27/10
LNB
Aris
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 88
H30/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
103avg 88
H02/11
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
90-83
90
83
+7
60avg 88
A06/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-19
17-18
23-8
17-17
27-19
32-17
12-13
10-23
26-16
19-16
19-15
15-11
23-22
9-16
20-14
16-20
23-21
25-12
16-27
20-18
16-21
20-22
24-23
17-19
28-16
15-20
23-20
22-21
20-20
16-15
30-35
16-17
29-27
20-24
24-28
17-17
21-22
31-29
21-15
161.3Avg total
83.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.678.9164.4+6.757%
Season at home (4)84.087.8171.8-3.825%
Season away (3)87.767.0154.7+20.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.378.0161.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)86.085.8171.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.583.0155.5-10.50%
vs Similar (8)80.881.6162.4-0.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.576.9163.4+9.675%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
La RochelleJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#3
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/09
LNB
Paris
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/10
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A12/10
LNB
Angers
#22
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/10
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#10
L
25-51
25
51
-26
H19/10
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/11
LNB
73.6Avg total
33.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.972.4+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.234.073.2+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)36.235.671.8+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)33.540.173.6-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.847.483.2-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.644.178.7-9.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (21)38.231.269.4+7.081%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A05/10
LNB
Venezia
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/10
Eurocup
Limoges
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H12/10
LNB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/10
Eurocup
Dijon
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
LNB
Lietkabelis
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A27/10
LNB
Aris
#19
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/10
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/11
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A06/11
Eurocup
79.1Avg total
40.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.982.6+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.381.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.583.6+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.279.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.548.587.0-10.050%-
vs Similar (8)40.940.181.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.839.082.8+4.870%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.2
54.0%
54.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.6
24.3%
35.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
74.9%15.1
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.1
49.5%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.4
30.8%
35.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws27.821.9
78.8%
74.9%21.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LWLWLLLLWW
JL Bourg
WLLWLLWWWW
#16
League position
#6
-10.6
Net rating
+7.5
93.1
Offensive rating
109.0
103.7
Defensive rating
101.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.44
24.3%
3-point %
30.8%
70.6%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 109.0Defence103.7 · 101.6Shooting46.9% · 48.4%3-point %24.3% · 30.8%Ball care18.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds18.3% · 34.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ La Rochelle   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
La Rochelle wins
0
JL Bourg wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24ALe Portel62-83
26/10/24ADijon95-88
19/10/24HSaint Quentin57-94
15/10/24AAngers81-78
12/10/24AMonaco62-82
06/10/24AParis75-84
27/09/24HCholet64-78
21/09/24ANancy56-64
06/06/24ABoulazac72-67 OT
03/06/24HBoulazac67-49
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24ACedevita Olimpija90-83
02/11/24HStrasbourg89-96
30/10/24HAris88-91
27/10/24AGravelines-Dunkerque83-75
22/10/24ALietkabelis80-84
19/10/24HDijon88-91 OT
15/10/24HTurk Telekom67-63
12/10/24HLimoges74-70
08/10/24AVenezia88-66
05/10/24ANanterre86-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %14%0%20%
Points / game67.360.570.0
Allowed / game81.986.080.2
Point differential-14.6-25.5-10.2
Avg total149.1146.5150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
JL Bourg
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%25%100%
Points / game85.684.087.7
Allowed / game78.987.867.0
Point differential+6.7-3.8+20.7
Avg total164.4171.8154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet76186%86.374.6+11.7
2 Monaco75271%80.972.3+8.6
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne75271%89.481.0+8.4
4 Paris75271%95.086.7+8.3
5 Saint Quentin75271%81.977.4+4.4
6 JL Bourg74357%85.678.9+6.7
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque74357%77.479.1-1.7
8 Strasbourg84450%85.682.6+3.0
9 Le Mans84450%84.883.5+1.2
10 Limoges84450%78.580.9-2.4
11 Le Portel83538%73.279.1-5.9
12 Dijon62433%83.291.5-8.3
13 Nanterre72529%83.087.0-4.0
14 Nancy72529%84.392.3-8.0
15 Chalon/Saone82625%83.490.5-7.1
16 La Rochelle71614%67.381.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle2020172178
JL Bourg2230191586
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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